Bitcoin, with its characteristics and history of strong volatility, has always attracted great interest in the global investment community. Based on past Halving cycles, the fluctuations and peaks of Bitcoin do not seem to be random. Data from previous Halving cycles show that Bitcoin reached its peak during certain time periods, allowing analysts to somewhat predict the future trends of this digital currency.
In the 2015-2017 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 518 days after Halving. In the 2019-2021 cycle, this time extended a bit longer, reaching 546 days. Based on these models, the peak of the next bullish cycle could occur from mid-September to mid-October 2025, which is about 500 days after the most recent Halving event.
However, currently Bitcoin is lagging about 35 days behind its historical pace. The reason may stem from macroeconomic factors, adjustments in the financial market, or the growth in blockchain infrastructure and interest from major institutional investors. A prolonged consolidation phase after Halving could help realign this cycle, creating opportunities for better preparation for the next bullish phase.
Consolidation Strategy: A Foundation for a New Bull Run
The consolidation phase after this Halving, if it occurs, will be an important stepping stone for the Bitcoin market. This is a period when Bitcoin's price may fluctuate slightly or remain within a certain range, giving investors more time to prepare and allowing fundamental market factors to be strengthened. This consolidation strategy helps the market to reduce short-term volatility, creating a stronger foundation before entering a strong growth phase when Bitcoin reaches new anticipated peaks by late 2025.
Positive Signals for Investors
With the signs from past Halving cycles, investors can expect a higher price in 2025. However, the success of investing will depend on risk management and the long-term plan of each individual. Factors such as inflation, monetary policy, and legal changes regarding cryptocurrency also need to be closely monitored as they can impact the speed and intensity of Bitcoin's growth in the coming period.
In summary, if the traditional Halving model continues to apply, we can expect a strong growth phase for Bitcoin around the end of 2025. The current consolidation phase will be an ideal time to build strategies and prepare for a promising race in the cryptocurrency market.