The blockchain-based election betting site Polymarket priced in a 60% chance of a Trump victory, breaking the 60% threshold for the first time since late July, days after President Joe Biden bowed out of the race.
Other prominent sites which allow users to wager money on the outcome of the election have similar shifts toward Trump: Betfair places a roughly 58% chance at a Trump win, Kalshi 57%, PredictIt 54% and Smarkets 58%.
Election Betting Odds, which aggregates implied betting odds across the five major markets, gives Trump a 57% chance at victory, tilting in Trumpâs favor by the widest margin since July 29, up from about 48% at the end of September
Source: Forbes
