News:

1. According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting 25 basis points by November is 95.6%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 4.4%;

2. FOX reporter: Ripple founder donated $1 million XRP to Harris Political Action Committee;

3. Binance founder CZ posted on the X platform, "There are deep fake videos of me on other social media platforms. Please be careful of scams.";

Technical:

BTC: After breaking through 59,000 the day before yesterday, it began to rebound without a callback, with a range of more than 4,300 points. This callback to 59,000 did not go through the bottoming process. This kind of rebound without a bottoming process will not last long, and it will not have a high height. In addition, the selling pressure of the locked-in disk in the 61,800-62,600 range in the past few days was also released across the board. From the perspective of the dog dealer's thinking, combined with the shrinking adjustment on the weekend, it should be the stage of doing locked-in disks now, and the next wave of decline can usher in a larger space. From the 4-hour line level, after a sharp rise, it began to enter a technical correction callback market! Intraday operations are mainly based on selling high and buying low. The support below focuses on the 62000-61500 position, and the pressure above focuses on the 62800-63300 position!

ETH: It fell from 2700 points in the first wave to 2300, and entered a phased rebound to around 2500 points. It fluctuated for a long time in the 2420-2460 range, and the selling pressure was relatively heavy, resulting in a relatively small rebound space in the past two days, and the rebound strength was relatively weak! From the 4-hour line, it touched the previous low of around 2310 in the early morning of the previous day, and began to rebound. Yesterday morning, it stopped rising at the top of the previous box oscillation, and it has been adjusted back at present! Intraday operations are mainly based on selling high and buying low. The support below focuses on the 2425-2405 position, and the pressure above focuses on the 2460-2480 position!

Shanzhai: Two Shanzhai that were highlighted in yesterday's research report:

People: The 0.077-0.08 position was given as a bearish opportunity, with a high of 0.0806 in the morning. In the environment of the strong rise of the big cake, it still hit a high and fell back many times. Combined with the trend of the pin in the past few days, the dealer's shipment was more obvious! At the same time, we must also pay attention to controlling risks!

SUI: Yesterday, the focus was on the multiple drops to 1.78 without breaking, and the 4-hour line stood firmly on the 90-day moving average. Beware of a sharp rebound. Yesterday's rebound was as high as 15%

The currency market fluctuates greatly, and you need to be cautious when entering the market. Personal opinion, no suggestions, only for sharing

#9月美国CPI实现6连降 #加密市场反弹