#CPI&PPI来袭，美国通胀升还降？ #特朗普当选概率上升

The Fed has started a cycle of interest rate cuts. It will definitely cut several times within a year! ! This is unshakable. Newbies should not be misled. If the US does not cut interest rates here, how can it pay back the tens of trillions of dollars of debt?

Although the broad CPI that most people pay the most attention to has decreased, it has increased a little compared with market expectations, and the problem is not too big. I personally think it is still good. The monthly rate and core monthly rate of CPI are the same as last month, and they are slightly higher than expected. The annual rate of core CPI has increased somewhat, but the increase is not high, and according to the recent inflation increase, it is the lowest in the past three years. So in essence, it is not too bad data.

And judging from the current data, the probability of the Fed changing its interest rate cut strategy in November is also very low, and a 25 basis point interest rate cut in November is still the biggest possibility.