I would like to start with the fact that when the Notcoin project appeared, I took it very seriously, yes, I tapped, but the main thing is that I bought NFT vouchers on time at a good price, and when the listing took place, I dumped everything into a glass, not at the very high of course, but in general I got my 600 bucks. Normal hamster loot, so to speak.
When the hamster went to the masses, I immediately got the feeling that they wanted to repeat the Notcoin experience, but given the number of "players" I understood that they would not give everyone money (any tangible ones) and as a result I did not become very active, as it turned out, I was right. As a result, I can be grateful that the hamster appeared on futures, where in a short on the tenth shoulder I took my usual 700 bucks, and closed this story for myself.
What could happen next to the hamster?
Based on the fact that this is a regular memecoin without any functionality, then you shouldn't expect growth due to innovations, I think there will be manipulative growth due to the market maker (surely both the emission and the money supply are allocated to them). In this scenario, the growth will be on a full-fledged bull, and they will make their 5-7 x from the bottom, but will not reach the initial values on the listing. The fact that the startup wants to thoroughly unload on its adherents once again is evidenced by the huge number of bots writing "tozemuny" in the Binance and Twitter feeds
Other TON projects
Against the backdrop of the tapalok effect, a whole bunch of similar projects have sprung up, I won’t list them all, you know it yourself, they collaborate with each other
Of the notable ones - I think Blum will be slightly different from the others, there will still be a DEX in Telegram without KYC (it will probably end up being a dump) and if of course their token is utilitarian - like BNB, and also comes out during the growth period of the rest of the market, then perhaps the price after the listing will grow for some time. If there is no utility - then you can also short - another piece of trash.
And what about TON itself?
In my opinion, the tone of the project is quite utilitarian, taking into account Telegram's client base, gas prices, and other nuances.
BUT the project is completely personalized and clearly depends on the personality of Pavel Durov and the events associated with him. Whether this is good or bad, decide for yourself.
I think on a full-fledged bull it will reach 10 bucks, but where will others shoot? That's the question!
Conclusions
1. If you've read this far, you're a persistent cryptan 😂
2. I do not advise anyone to invest without their own conclusions, do not listen to anyone or listen - but make your own conclusions and research
3. Be critical and don't believe in "mana from heaven". If someone gives you $5, they do it only to take $50 from you.
4. Don’t get involved in projects with all your money, and especially with borrowed money.
5. Having invested money in crypto - be ready to say goodbye to it, take it seriously.
