According to ChainCatcher, the prediction market Polymarket has launched two prediction markets: "Who will the HBO documentary identify as Satoshi Nakamoto" and "When will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be confirmed."

Among them, in the prediction market of "Who will be identified as Satoshi Nakamoto in the HBO documentary", Len Sassaman has a probability of 39%. It is reported that Len Sassaman is a well-known computer scientist and cryptographer, known for his contributions in the fields of privacy protection, anonymous communication and network security. Hal Finney has a probability of 17%. It is reported that Hal Finney is a well-known computer scientist and programmer, known for his important role in the early development of Bitcoin. Finney was one of the early readers of the Bitcoin white paper and made the first transaction within a few days of the launch of the Bitcoin network. He was the first person to accept a Bitcoin transaction and sent 10 Bitcoins to Satoshi Nakamoto. At present, there are $132,000 in funds participating in this prediction market.

As ChainCatcher previously reported, documentary filmmaker Cullen Hoback and HBO recently announced the premiere of their upcoming film “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery,” and hinted that the true identity of Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto may finally be revealed.