According to TechFlow, on September 18, Greeks.live researcher Adam posted on social media that three hours before the Fed's interest rate decision, futures data showed a 60% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut and a 40% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. The cryptocurrency options market reflects huge differences, with ultra-short-term options having an implied volatility of up to 70%, and put options having a significantly higher implied volatility. Option transactions are concentrated in BTC $58,000 and ETH $2,200 put contracts, showing an overall bearish trend. The market believes that a 25 basis point rate cut is less than expected, while a 50 basis point rate cut may indicate a deterioration in economic indicators.