FED Interest Rate Decision
When we look at the markets' expectations that the FED will cut interest rates
- Expectation that the FED will cut by 25 basis points: 50%
- Expectation that the FED will cut by 50 basis points: 50%
It is interesting to see which data updated the expectations in this way, but I think the FED will cut by 25 basis points
If the FED surprisingly cuts by 50 basis points, the markets may get the perception that the economy will get worse, but everything ends with Powell's message after the meeting
If there will be no recession and he speaks in a way that supports the soft landing rhetoric, it would be great.