Donald Trump is considering whether to participate in the debate with Kamala Harris, and despite the threats, market data shows that he will participate with an 84% probability. Polymarket traders have high confidence that the debate will go ahead, despite Trump's hesitation to participate in ABC News, which he believes is biased against him. In addition, the controversy over whether the microphone will be muted during the debate also continues, and traders have low confidence in this.

Key Points

- Trump is considering whether to participate in the debate with Harris, but the market believes that he will participate with an 84% probability.

- Polymarket platform bets show that investors' confidence in Trump's participation in the debate mainly remains above 80%.

- The total amount of bets is about $22,000, which is small compared to other events.

- Trump expressed hesitation to participate in the debate, believing that the organizer ABC News is biased.

- Traders generally have low confidence that the microphone will be muted during the debate, with only a 40% probability that it will be muted.