According to Jinshi Data, CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 89.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 10.7%.

By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 51.8%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 43.7%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 4.5%.