According to Jinshi Data, CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.6%.
By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 52.1%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 44.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 3.7%.