UBS's heavy prediction: The Fed may cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of the year! Will the pound rebound strongly against the US dollar?

On August 9, UBS Global Wealth Management released its latest report, which put forward a remarkable view: the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by as much as 100 basis points in the rest of the year, while the Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates by only 50 basis points. This comparison will directly affect the flow of global fixed income investment and push up the exchange rate of the pound against the US dollar (GBP/USD).

UBS analysts pointed out that this difference may lead to more capital inflows into sterling assets, pushing the pound against the US dollar to 1.30 by the end of the year. This forecast reflects investors' expectations of monetary policy divergence in the coming months, suggesting that the Fed's accommodative stance will significantly weaken the relative strength of the US dollar.

This view deserves great attention from the market, especially against the backdrop of obvious divergences in the monetary policy paths of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. For investors, this not only means potential appreciation of the pound, but also heralds subtle changes in global capital flows. Only by keeping a close eye on the market and seizing this possible exchange rate change opportunity can you remain invincible in the ever-changing financial market! If you want to learn more about market trends and strategy analysis, please continue to pay attention to Boshi's in-depth analysis and precise guidance!

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