Shares of MicroStrategy could see a 30% increase if Bitcoin reaches $150,000 by the end of 2025, according to an Aug. 2 analyst report shared with Cointelegraph. Benchmark fintech analyst Mark Palmer suggests that the stock could climb to $2,150 per share, given that MicroStrategy continues the Bitcoin purchasing spree initiated by founder Michael Saylor in 2020. Currently, the stock trades at approximately $1,450.
“Our valuation assumes that [MicroStrategy] will continue to aggressively accumulate Bitcoin during the next 1.5 years and that Bitcoin’s price will reach $150,000 by the end of 2025,” Palmer told Cointelegraph via email.
On its Aug. 1 earnings call, MicroStrategy reaffirmed its commitment to Bitcoin by introducing a unique performance metric: Bitcoin yield. This metric measures the ratio of BTC holdings to outstanding shares, effectively setting BTC-per-share as a key performance indicator. The goal is to “demonstrate the efficacy of its bitcoin acquisition strategy and its use of intelligent leverage,” Palmer explained.
“While [MicroStrategy’s] approach has had plenty of detractors, […] management has responded to criticism by pointing to the scoreboard: since the company adopted its bitcoin acquisition strategy on August 10, 2020, the company’s stock has appreciated by 1,206%,” the report noted, adding that MicroStrategy has significantly outperformed both Bitcoin and other stocks during this period.
Benchmark’s “buy” rating is “based on a sum-of-the-parts analysis that combines (1) our estimate of the year-end 2025 value of the company’s Bitcoin holdings and (2) our estimate of the year-end 2025 value of its enterprise software business,” Palmer stated.
MicroStrategy’s stock has declined by about 10% since its investor call, following losses of $5.74 per share, attributed to declining revenue in its core enterprise software business. Despite this weak quarter, the company acquired 12,222 BTC for $805 million—approximately $65,800 per coin—financed through “cash flows, as well as proceeds from equity and debt financings,” CEO Phong Q. Le mentioned during the call.
MicroStrategy now holds a substantial stockpile of 226,500 BTC, valued at around $14.7 billion at current prices.
