History cannot repeat itself, but it is always strikingly similar. Looking back at the big bull markets in 2017 and 2021, each bull and bear cycle is accompanied by the halving of Bitcoin.

According to this rule, there will be a bull market in 2025 and a bear market in 2026. But will ETFs change the cycle and bring the bull market ahead of time?

At present, we have not seen it yet. Only when Ethereum breaks through its historical high of 4,800 and Bitcoin stabilizes at 70,000 US dollars, and these two conditions are met at the same time, then we can confirm that the bull market has begun.

Once you confirm that Daniel is turned on, please remember

1. No warehouse change

1. Why not switch back and forth in real time according to market conditions? First, most people can't keep up with the operation, don't doubt it; second, for novices, as long as they choose the right target, it is a great wisdom not to change the position.

2. When a certain currency was experiencing stagflation before, some people started to get anxious, saying that they were seeing other currencies rising, but why wasn’t it rising?

If a coin is one of the hottest leaders in a bull market, then stagflation does not mean that there is something wrong with it. It must be that it rose too fast in the early stage, leading to stagflation or even a sharp correction.

3. Instead of being anxious at this time, you should rush in aggressively - the longer the callback time, the more amazing the subsequent performance will be.

Sure enough, a few days after the anxiety, it began to explode. As long as you choose the currency according to the above requirements, there is no possibility of stagflation as long as the bull market is not over.

4. If there is short-term stagflation, it is a good time to buy, just like a spring is compressed by external force, the tighter it is compressed, the greater the subsequent force. The so-called sector rotation and catch-up growth all follow this logic

5. If something is good, you can see it, and others can see it too. Just wait patiently. When the wind that belongs to it arrives, the previous stagflation will just cause it to be in a low value, and then there will be a lot of funds coming in. This is the correct explanation of "how long it is horizontally, how high it is vertically"

2. Only buy, not sell

1. Any selling/swing in the bull market will eventually make you beat your chest and stamp your feet. The coins you have will definitely become less and less, because the cash you hold will become less and less able to buy the original number.

2. The large fluctuations seem to have a lot of profit margins, so you can't help but do the swings. However, since the bull market can start at any time, and you will not be willing to get on the train when it just starts, you always want to wait for it to come down before following up, which eventually leads to never getting on the train again, and completely missing the entire bull market for a small profit.

3. In fact, the bull market is very simple. If it falls, buy it. If it rises, stop. Control your hands and only buy, don't sell. The bull market usually lasts for several months. I don't believe that this range is not enough for you. The coin band of this band, the long-term one can just hold it.

So how did the bull market end?

1. From the perspective of public opinion outside the venue

1. News dominated the screen. Someone came out of prison and became a billionaire, just because of the 108 bitcoins he hid between his fingernails.

A certain big V announced that he was Satoshi Nakamoto and claimed that his private key had been lost... Bitcoin, the currency circle, and the wealth myth dominated the screen.

2. Global science popularization. All kinds of grandpas and aunties, taxi drivers, have begun to popularize blockchain with you, talking about Satoshi Nakamoto, L2, encryption algorithms... All major media have begun to talk about the value of Bitcoin and the role of blockchain...

2. From the perspective of the market

The bull market can be roughly divided into the following stages:

1. BTC's dominance rate is rising, and the blood-sucking copycats, BTC and Bitcoin ecology will continue to be strong.

2. ETH continued to soar, and hot altcoins rose along with Ethereum, such as AI, Web3, L2, chain games, metaverse, new public chains, and BTC ecology.

3. All coins are rising, and your assets can double after a night's sleep. It's the MEME performance season, with local dogs flying all over the sky, and all kinds of copycat coins, wild coins, and air coins are rising to the point that you doubt your life.

The price skyrocketed dozens of times a day, and there were more wealth myths than flyers. FOMO reached its peak.

4. The market collapsed across the board, mainstream coins retreated sharply, altcoins plummeted, local currencies returned to zero, and we entered this round of bear market.

Finally, please remember that if you don’t sell your coins at the beginning of the bull market, you will be trapped for a maximum of about half a year. When the big bull market comes, even garbage can fly to the sky. The general principle of the entire cycle is to ensure that you have money in the bear market and coins in the bull market.