The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in August is 95.9%.

On July 30, according to CME "Fed Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 95.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.1%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 88.7%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 11%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 0.3%.

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