analysis based on chart and liquidity map for #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥 /USDT

1. Price movement forecast (short-term, medium-term):

Short-term forecast:#BTCprice is in the support zone around $64,000. It is likely that in the coming days the price will test this support with the possibility of a short-term rebound to $66,000 - $67,000.

Medium-term forecast: If the current support level is broken, the price may drop to the next support level around $61,000 - $62,000. If the support level holds, a recovery to $68,000 is possible.

2. Support and resistance levels:

Support:

$64,000 (current support level)

$62,000

$61,000

Resistance:

$66,000

$68,000

$70,000

3. Possible entry, exit, stop loss points for a long position:

Entry point: around $64,000 (if a rebound from the support level is confirmed).

Exit point: $66,000 (first resistance level), $68,000 (second resistance level).

Stop Loss: $63,000 (below key support level).

4. Possible entry, exit, stop loss points for short positions:

Entry point: around $66,000 (if a rebound from the resistance level is confirmed).

Exit point: $64,000 (first support level), $62,000 (second support level).

Stop Loss: $67,000 (above key resistance level).

5. Long and short scenario, probability assessment:

Long scenario:

Indicator:

Volume: Current volumes are moderate, support around $64,000.

Volume Profile: Significant volumes are concentrated at the $64,000 levels.

Ichimoku Cloud: the price is on the border of the cloud, a rebound is possible.

Parabolic SAR: the indicator is above the price, indicating a downward trend.

EMA: The price is below the 50 EMA, indicating a bearish trend.

RSI: indicator around 30, indicating oversold conditions.

Probability: 40%

Short scenario:

Indicator:

Volume: current volumes are moderate, a breakdown of support is possible.

Volume Profile: Significant volumes are concentrated below the current price.

Ichimoku Cloud: the price is on the border of the cloud, a breakdown downward is possible.

Parabolic SAR: the indicator is above the price, indicating a downward trend.

EMA: The price is below the 50 EMA, indicating a bearish trend.

RSI: indicator around 30, indicating oversold conditions.

Probability: 60%

Additional data (last 7 days):

Exchange reserve: decreased by 2.5%.

Net deposits on exchanges: down 1.8%.

Capital inflow: capital outflow prevails, decrease by 3.2%.

Inflow of large holders: inflow prevails, increase by 1.5%.

Growth of active addresses: increase by 1.2%.

Growth of new addresses: increase by 1.0%.

Trade volume: growth by 2.3%.

Conclusion:

Based on the analysis of indicators and the current market situation, a more likely scenario is a further decline in the price of#BTCin the short term. However, long positions also have a chance of success provided that the $64,000 support level remains stable. Short positions seem to make more sense based on current market conditions and performance.
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