Original Qiqi Baicaidi Qiqi Baicaidi
Disclaimer: In the investment field, information changes rapidly. I record the stock market and my thinking process in plain language every day. The following content is my observation and thinking and does not constitute any investment advice. All profits and losses have nothing to do with me ☺️
Now that incomes have dropped, everyone has downgraded their consumption. In the past, people bought things on JD.com and Taobao, but now they buy things on Pinduoduo and live streaming. A department store in Jiangsu found an MCN company, which claimed to have a group of Internet celebrities with 1 million to 5 million fans. The two companies then signed a contract for 5 live broadcasts, guaranteeing sales of 420,000 yuan, and the MCN company charged a service fee of 25,000 yuan.
It stands to reason that the sales of a millionaire online celebrity who sells goods through live streaming should not be too bad, right? The fact is that after three live broadcasts, the sales were zero, and the MCN company was sued in court.
Many people question whether the millions of fans of influencers are fake. It is very likely that there is a special industry chain for influencers to increase their fans. The quotes vary according to the quality/verticality of the fans. In addition, the purchase conversion rates of general fans and vertical fans are also very different.
Today’s online celebrities are very competitive in live streaming. They have millions of fans, but only hundreds of people are online during the live streaming. The atmosphere group is working hard to promote the products, but no one buys. The bad economy has brought a chill to everyone. In the end, the court ordered the MCN company to return the service fee.
…back to the market…
1. Good news is everywhere, but they just don't buy it. Today, the Shanghai A index rose slightly by 0.08% to close at 2976 points; ready to welcome 3000 points? The total turnover of the two markets was 640.7 billion, which was still very small. Foreign capital fled 7.2 billion, and 2,400 stocks rose, accounting for 45%. Mainly AI chip concept stocks, semiconductor stocks, and automobile complete vehicle sectors rose.
2. On July 4, Shanghai issued a demonstration application license for driverless intelligent connected vehicles. Sai Ke Intelligent Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. was allowed to put 5 vehicles into Lingang for the first time to test driverless driving. Each vehicle is equipped with a safety officer in the co-pilot position, and passengers can place orders on WeChat mini-programs. There was no splash when the document was released, but today there are overwhelming news reports. Baidu's 30% surge last week was due to driverless driving. Now the concept of driverless driving is falling. Is this an institution looking for someone to take over?
3. On Sunday, I was looking forward to the trend of the U.S. stock market after the opening on Monday, and I was not disappointed. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed up collectively, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.53% to 40,211 points, a record high. Most large technology stocks rose, with Apple up more than 1%, with a total market value of 3.59 trillion U.S. dollars, setting a new record high. It is worth noting that Trump Media Technology Group rose more than 31%! China Golden Dragon Index fell 3.64%. At present, the odds of betting on Trump to take office are 1.3, and the odds of betting on Biden to take office are 5. The certainty of Trump taking office has increased. According to Trump's style, the decoupling between China and the United States will become more and more serious.
……Coin circle………
4. Has anyone benefited from this rebound? I held Bitcoin and Ethereum for a long time and did short-term SOL, and gained 15 points. The impact of Trump's shooting, coupled with the return of gambling funds to the cryptocurrency market after the end of the European Cup, the entire crypto market started to rise early! Bitcoin rose to 65,000, and then fell a little bit.
After Trump was shot, he is currently in an absolute lead. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell does not have to worry about the election situation and only needs to make decisions based purely on the economic situation. His speech last night seemed very dovish, "Recent data has increased confidence in the path of inflation to the 2% target." It is estimated that the September interest rate cut will come soon. After all, the old man will stay in office until May 2026, which is good for the economy, the capital market and the crypto market.
The European and American markets are still strong, and the rise of Bitcoin is a direct response to Powell's speech. But there was no action in the Asian market today. The current long-short ratio has risen to nearly 1:1, and the bullish sentiment is still strong.
5. The world currency WLD did not rise much yesterday, but it rose nearly 25% today. I really don’t understand it. The logic of this coin itself has not changed. Why did it surge so much today? In the case of subsequent lifting of the ban and the current world chain ecology has not changed, I chose to leave the market with a loss of 35% while it is rising. I will not touch this coin again during this period. It is beyond my cognition.
6. How many new value coins have you bought? The decline of newly listed value coins in the past year has made people lose hope. Some netizens have summarized a list:
BB 0.88U-->0.3U, a decrease of -64%
STRK 2.6U-->0.46U, a decrease of -93%
AEVO 3.94U --> 0.335U, a decrease of -91%
W 1.86U-->0.05U, a decrease of -87%
ENA 1.52U-->0.34U, a drop of -76%
REZ 0.29U-->0.053U, a decrease of -81%
OMNI 55.5U --> 10.6U, a drop of -80%
SAGA 7.89U-->0.89U, a drop of -88%
ZK 0.29U-->0.13U, a decrease of -56%
IO 6.5U --> 1.95U, a decrease of -69%
There are still many valuable coins that are not listed. In the last bull market (2019-2021), there were not so many valuable coins with stories to tell. Now when buying coins, people are blowing bubbles everywhere and looking for KOLs to promote them, so you need to have the ability to choose carefully.
The above is my learning and record today. Friendly exchanges are welcome!
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