According to Jinshi Data, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 93.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.7%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 5.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 88.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 6.3%.