If Donald Trump wins the presidential election again, there could be implications for both the US dollar (USD) and cryptocurrencies. Here is the analysis:

  1. US dollar (#USD )

    • Short term: If Trump keeps his hands off the Federal Reserve and does not implement intervention policies that weaken the dollar, factors favorable to the currency could predominate in the short term.

    • Long term: If his victory leads to a permanent change in the US political system, the effects would be overwhelmingly negative for the dollar.

    • History: Following Trump's surprise victory in 2016, the Dollar Index (DXY) rose 5.5% in six weeks, but then fell about 11% in his first 12 months in office1.

  2. Cryptocurrencies:

    • Bitcoin (#BTC☀️ )Market leader, Bitcoin promises continued growth. Its institutional adoption and scarcity could drive its price.

    • Ethereum (#ETH ): Platform for decentralized applications (dApps) and smart contracts. Ethereum 2.0 will improve scalability and security.

    • Altcoins: Coins like Litecoin (#LTC ), XRP, and others with growth potential could benefit from widespread cryptocurrency adoption2.