$BTC cycle theory from November 28th.
Using 4-year time cycles allows us to accurately predict Bitcoin's behavior over time since its inception.
The cycles are centered around November 28, the date of the first halving.
Bitcoin's price movement began with the first bottom on October 8, 2010. From this point on, the cycle curves reach a peak every 4 years.
The tops and bottoms occur at the corresponding times with a deviation of +/- 21 days from November 28th. Tops are formed during the rise, and bottoms are formed at the peak.
After Bitcoin bottoms, the price makes its first cyclical move (orange) and enters a period of stagnation. This is the longest part of the cycle, and Bitcoin remains at a price level of about half of the previous ATH (all-time high) until the curve bottoms out again.
At the bottom of the curve, the main part of the bullish cycle begins (blue circle).
These time cycles remain relevant today. We are now almost at an early peak (4) and entering the middle of a recession cycle.
This happens in June of the following year when the bottom is reached. In the second cycle, this happened 2 years later, in June 2016.
Finally:
The Taurus cycle will begin on November 28, 2024.
The next peak will be November 28, 2025 with a deviation of +/- 21 days.
The next bottom will be November 28, 2026 with a deviation of +/- 21 days.
Next mid-cycle recession: June 2027.
