Tonight's decisive battle for CPI! Will it skyrocket?
The market expects that CPI will drop significantly compared to before. In fact, the US stock market has risen for several days in advance, and the cryptocurrency market has also risen a little. So the market has actually priced in this positive news.
Whether there will be additional gains tonight depends on whether the data can be lower than market expectations. The market expectation for CPI has reached 3.1%, and the probability of being lower than it is not very high. However, the market expectation for core CPI is not high, still 3.4%, which can be expected.
I think the cryptocurrency market has no room to fall, even if it is bad news, it will not fall much, but if it is good news, it should be pulled up a lot. In the long run, the decline in CPI will allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates earlier, and the interest rate cut in September is basically a foregone conclusion.
So the bull market will slowly start with the release of water, and what we have to do now is to wait patiently, and we can also buy low and sell high at ordinary times to play the band.