As BTC price approaches 56,500, it may have reached today's high. I personally hold a bearish attitude towards the current market trend.

The main adverse factors facing the market in the near term include the German government's large-scale Bitcoin sales, which seems inevitable. The second is the Mentougou compensation incident, which has also exacerbated the panic in the market.

Some similarities between the current market trend and the previous bull market are that it may be in the stage of falling back and consolidating after the first wave of rise. Similar to the market waterfall event on May 19, 2021 (although the probability of such an event is small), it will usher in a new round of rise.

Personally, I expect that the panic in the market has not yet reached its peak, so the final bottom-picking opportunity may appear below $50,000.

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