I think many people are overly optimistic about Bitcoin's potential price rise this cycle. I believe that as the crypto market matures, it becomes increasingly difficult to achieve significant returns. Therefore, I predict that BTC will not exceed $120-150k by the end of this cycle. Historically, the returns on investment have decreased with each halving event. The latest halving price was around $63k, so a reasonable target for the next all-time high would be a 2x increase from there. Predictions of $200-500k or more are unrealistic. I suggest saving this post and revisiting it when BTC approaches $100k. At that point, many people will be predicting unrealistic targets of $1M or more, which will be a sign to sell and exit.

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