There are two main reasons why the Fed has been reluctant to cut interest rates:

Failure to achieve the harvest target:

The Fed has always influenced the global economy by manipulating the dollar cycle, first cutting interest rates, issuing bonds, and printing money,

pushing up asset bubbles in other countries, and then raising interest rates to tighten liquidity, waiting for the right time to burst the bubble and buy core assets at the bottom.

This strategy has been tried and tested in the past,

but this time it failed to trigger a systemic financial crisis as expected,

partly because the core assets of the target countries are mostly controlled by the state,

and it is difficult for foreign capital to penetrate.

High risk of interest rate cuts:

Once interest rates are cut, the US dollar may depreciate, causing global investors to sell US bonds.

In recent years, the United States has significantly increased the US debt ceiling, and the debt scale is huge.

Rate cuts will increase US debt interest expenses, further increase the fiscal burden, and may accelerate the shaking of the US dollar's hegemony.

Given the current economic and corporate conditions in the United States, the Fed dare not act easily.

From the perspective of the increasingly tense international situation, the United States is desperate.

Supply chain, dollar hegemony, and military action are the three sickles that the United States uses to harvest and deter the world.

When the supply chain and dollar hegemony cannot achieve their goals, the only thing left is force. The situation will become more complicated! !

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