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Sharp decline after fluctuations rose: This week, Bitcoin's price experienced significant volatility, dropping by 7% early on Friday before regaining upward momentum, and once again breaking above the $100,000 mark in the early hours of December 20, recovering most of the losses since the sharp decline after hitting a new high, but then experiencing another drop on the 20th.
Some investors are cautious: There have been consecutive large net outflows from Bitcoin spot ETFs, and investors' cautious attitude has significantly increased, but some capital inflows have also been attracted recently.
Factors influencing the trend
Policy and regulatory factors: The International Monetary Fund approved a $1.4 billion extended fund loan to El Salvador but restricted its public sector from participating in Bitcoin-related economic activities and trading and purchasing Bitcoin, which has had a certain impact on Bitcoin. Additionally, changes in the policies and regulations of various governments towards cryptocurrencies directly affect Bitcoin's price, such as a shift in attitude from the U.S. government and regulators, which has brought positive effects to the cryptocurrency market, but there is still uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's regulatory policies.
Macroeconomic factors: The U.S. inflation rate is expected to drop to 2% in 2024, which may benefit Bitcoin's price. The uncertainty of the global economic situation often increases investors' demand for safe assets like Bitcoin, but changes in the economic situation may also lead to shifts in investors' risk preferences, affecting Bitcoin's price.
Market sentiment factors: Market sentiment is greatly influenced by Bitcoin's price fluctuations, and investors' emotions are also quite evident. On one hand, the significant volatility in Bitcoin's price has led to a heightened cautious attitude among some investors; on the other hand, its price increase has attracted attention from some investors. The CMC Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index once reached 83, indicating an extreme greed range, reflecting investors' optimistic expectations for Bitcoin's future performance, but this sentiment can change at any time.