😱Both the stock market and the cryptocurrency market fell, labor data to blame?

🤔The stock market and the cryptocurrency market experienced a sudden plunge last Friday, and the reason was that the labor data was far below expectations. Only 114,000 new jobs were added in July, far below the expected 175,000, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.3%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the expected 4.1%. Such data made the market uneasy and triggered widespread concerns that the US economy may enter a recession.

🗣️The market has interpreted these data in a variety of ways. Some people worry that this may be a precursor to a recession, while others believe that this may prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates ahead of schedule and bring new vitality to the market. But no matter which interpretation, it shows the market's sensitivity to data and uncertainty about the future.

💥But it is important that we cannot rely solely on mainstream media reports to make investment decisions. The market is often affected by the hype of mainstream media and large institutions, who may interpret the data according to their own interests, and sometimes even create panic or optimism to achieve their low-level accumulation goals. Therefore, as investors, we need to have our own judgment and should not be swayed by short-term market fluctuations.

🔍There is also a view that although the current employment data may be worrying, they are only part of the complexity of the economy. Investors should pay more attention to long-term economic trends and fundamentals rather than short-term market fluctuations.

💬 So, what do you think of the current market conditions? What do you think these labor data mean for the market? Is it a signal of a recession or a prelude to a rate cut by the Fed? Share your thoughts in the comments section!

#劳工数据 #股市暴跌 #币市动荡 #投资决策

🧐Will Bitcoin's historical trajectory repeat itself? Cyclic analysis predicts that this round is expected to reach $180,000

On Tuesday, Bitcoin fell nearly 15% from its historical high of $108,200 to a low of around $92,000 this week.

According to data analysis by X platform analysts, from historical data, after the third halving event in May 2020, Bitcoin rose by about 30% after a brief reversal of about 250 days, and then rose by 140% in the next 290 days. In other words, the historical high of the previous cycle was reached 546 days after the halving.

The most recent Bitcoin halving (the fourth halving) occurred in April 2024, and the price trend of this round is similar to the previous cycle. That is, if Bitcoin follows a 30% correction pattern, the price could fall to around $75,000, and from this level, a similar 140% increase could mean reaching the current all-time high of about $180,000 in October 2025.

Although historical patterns provide a reference for market trends, historical patterns do not always accurately predict the future. Therefore, investors should consider these market indicators and the macroeconomic environment when making investment decisions. At the same time, market participants are closely watching liquidity, network activity, and exchange order books for signals that match the market's bullish sentiment.

According to a tweet from Dennis Porter's social platform X, Satoshi Action recently developed a model predicting that as Bitcoin reserves increase, the price of Bitcoin could reach $1 million in 2027 based on the intensification of global demand for Bitcoin supply. Although this model provides a possible perspective for the future trend of Bitcoin, investors should be cautious and take into full account the various uncertainties in the market.

In short, facing the fluctuations in Bitcoin prices, investors cannot rely solely on historical trends and model predictions. They need to fully consider macro factors such as global economic conditions, policies and regulations, technological development, as well as liquidity, network activities and market sentiment to make wise investment decisions.

💬 What do you think of the next price trend of Bitcoin? Will it reach $180,000 as the analysis says? Or will it reach $1 million in 2027?

#比特币 #价格预测 #历史走势 #投资决策

🚀 3.58w pieces! Whales hoarded record amount of Bitcoin in July! 🐋

Recently, there has been significant hoarding behavior in the Bitcoin market, especially among "whale" investors who hold large amounts of Bitcoin. 🦈

Foreign media reported that the hoarding speed of these long-term holders reached a record high in July, hoarding a staggering 35.80,000 Bitcoins in just one month. This number far exceeded the 140,000 Bitcoins involved in the Mt. Gox compensation case. Bitcoin, which accounts for only about a quarter of what whales hoard in a month.

According to the report, analysts at CryptoQuant pointed out that Bitcoin is currently in a new accumulation stage, which may indicate that. Looking back at the last accumulation stage, the price of Bitcoin was still hovering between US$20,000 and US$30,000.

However, during the current accumulation stage, the price of Bitcoin has fallen in the price range of US$60,000 to US$70,000, showing that the market's assessment and re-expectation of Bitcoin's value have increased significantly.

📊Although there have been panic reports on Mt. Gox repayment and other incidents in the market recently, the data in the figure shows that the giant whales have not been affected by this, and instead "accumulated" Bitcoin even more crazily.

In sharp contrast, many retail investors, driven by panic, may choose to sell their Bitcoins or hesitate to enter the market at a high price!

Does this phenomenon remind investors that while whales are actively hoarding Bitcoin, should retail investors re-evaluate their investment strategies and consider whether to follow the footsteps of these market leaders?

🤔Just imagine, if the value of Bitcoin reaches more than 100,000 US dollars at the end of the year, will investors who missed the current accumulation opportunity regret it! So, are you aware of the trend and urgency of seizing current investment opportunities?

Finally, when retail investors make investment decisions, rational analysis and overall judgment of market trends are crucial.

💬 #比特币巨鲸 #市场积累 #投资决策