Analysis of two schools of thought on Bitcoin cognition

At present, most people in the industry have two main schools of thought on Bitcoin:

School 1: Payment currency
School 2: Stored value asset

People in School 1 hope that more and more merchants can support Bitcoin payments, and Bitcoin can be used and circulated directly like currency, and can be directly exchanged for living and production materials such as houses, cars, bread, and milk.

People in School 2 hope that Bitcoin can follow the old path of gold, with scarcity as the main way, become a stored value asset, and even rise to the level of a national strategic reserve asset! #BTC

K-line chart patterns that newbies in the cryptocurrency circle must know:

1. T-shaped line (dragonfly)

2. V-shaped reversal

3. Long upper shadow

4. Long cross line

5. Long lower shadow

6. Water lily

7. Big positive line

8. Big negative line

9. Inverted V-shaped reversal

10. Inverted hammer

11. Hanging neck line

12. Stacked multi-party cannons

13. Stacked short-party cannons

14. Top cross

15. Dongfanghong big sun rise

16. Guillotine

17. Multi-party cannon

18. Dawn is coming (counterattack line)

19. Bald positive line

20. Bald negative line

21. Evening cross star

22. Evening star

23. Golden spider

24. Nine Yin white claws

25. Drastic rise and red

#BTC

Girls' secret language, if you don't understand it, you're doomed!
1. "Pighead" = (worry about you)
2. "Got it" = (obey you)
3. "Hmm" = (listen to you)
4. "Haha" = (must laugh)
5. "Uh" = (I miss you)
6. "Hmm" = (very happy)
7. "Hmm" = (I love you)
8. "Huh" = (I'm jealous)
9. "Hehe" = (must not laugh)
10. "I know" = (care about you)
11. "Tsk" = (don't want to pay attention to you)
12. "What are you doing" = (miss you)
13. "Go away" = (come and comfort me)
14. "You take care of me, you take care of me hehe" = (a little happy)
15. "Hehe" = (smile)
16. "Silly" = (care about you)
17. "Hmm" = (I like you) #BTC

The first day of July saw a big rise, and today the group started to recover again!

1: The current market is quite tangled. Some people continue to be bullish and ask everyone to enter the market quickly, otherwise they will miss the last train. Every round of bull market starts unexpectedly, and most people will be thrown off the bus. This statement is actually quite correct. The market must start when most retail investors are still expecting a lower price. Throwing retail investors off the bus is the essence of market control.

2: But some people also said that a large wave of negative news is coming, and the market will continue to fall, so he has now cleared all his positions and will wait until Bitcoin is 50,000 before entering the market. Many investors look at the left and then the right, and they all think it makes sense, and then they are obsessed.

Personally predict that July should go up first and then down! $BTC

Is the cryptocurrency market going to surge next?

I looked at the macro trends of the past few days, and overall it is still in a neutral to bearish state.
There are a few things to pay attention to next!

1. Near the end of the month, at the end of June, many derivatives will be delivered, and it is estimated that the market volatility will be very large, and the specific spot may also be affected

2. The US TV debate on the 27th will also lead to increased volatility

3. The Mentougou incident. Among the 140,000 bitcoins, 65,000 were given to individuals and 30,000 were given to institutions.

It is said that there is linear selling pressure, which is not yet fully understood.
But anyway, it is not bullish, so don't be too fomo or too casual these days.

Pay attention to the market and keep a close eye on it. If you didn't enter the market a day or two ago, don't rush to get on board now.

I personally predict that bitcoin will bottom out again! #BTC

How much do you know about women's secret codes?

① I'm too tired today! Meaning - you are not allowed to touch me!

② I don't deserve you! Meaning - you don't deserve me!

③ Leave me alone! Meaning - you will suffer if you don't care!

④ Get out of here! Meaning - come and coax me!

⑤ Not considering marriage for the time being! Meaning - I don't consider marrying you!

⑥ You are a nice person! Meaning - I don't have any feelings for you!

⑦ No need! Meaning - you only know how to ask, can't you just do it!

⑧ I won't buy it, it's a bit expensive! Meaning - it depends on how you do it!

⑨ What are you doing? Meaning - why don't you send me a message?

⑩ I'm fine, it doesn't matter! Meaning - I have something to do, can't you see? #BTC #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

Analysis of Bitcoin Volatility and Market Trends

Recently, the price of Bitcoin has been falling, but its volatility has reached a critical point, with the current volatility of 1.25%
What kind of level is this? Let's analyze the historical low volatility time points through historical data:

Since 2018, Bitcoin's volatility has been close to the low volatility state of 1% to 2% at the following 7 time points:

1. The last drop in the bear market in 2018: In the bear market, the price of Bitcoin fluctuated for 91 days. This kind of low-volatility oscillation market usually does not exceed three months in the extreme oscillation time of the currency circle.

After 91 days of oscillation, Bitcoin experienced a BCH fork, and the market fell for two months

2. Bottom of the bear market in 2018:
After the plunge, it fluctuated with low volatility for 105 days, which was also about three months, and then rose from US$3,000 to US$14,000.

3. The recovery after 312: After 77 days of fluctuations, the price of Bitcoin rose from about $7,000 to $64,000.

4. The last round of bear market: Before FTX exploded, Bitcoin fluctuated for six months, and then the market plummeted.

5. After FTX exploded: The market only fluctuated for one and a half months, but the price soared from $15,000 to $30,000.

6. In August and September last year: After two months of fluctuations, the price of Bitcoin rose from $25,000 to $70,000.

7. The current market: We are also in a low-volatility fluctuation stage, and the time has exceeded three months.

If the real direction of the market is to fall, there will generally be a false signal of rising, and then the falling market will start; if the market is rising, there will also be a false signal of falling, and then the rising market will start. For example, the Defi market in 2020, although it experienced a wave of sell-offs in September, the market eventually started to rise. What do you think of this wave? #BTC

There are currently four key points in the cryptocurrency circle:

1. The bull is now back to drink water, and the second half of the bull market is unstoppable.

2. March, April, May, and June are the most difficult, and it will be better from July. Before the end of August, the fixed investment will be fully invested and entered the market, and the market will be cleared at the end of November. Enter the market before the Spring Festival and clear the market in April 25.

3. From February to June 24, the outstanding cryptocurrencies are PEPE, PEOPLE, ONDO, JASMY, BNX, and ENS

4: The second half of the year will revolve around the election as the main narrative + the Fed's interest rate cut expectations + Bitcoin ecology + RWA + AI

Summary: There is hope for a big market in the next three months, and it is expected that a super violent bull market will usher in the next three months! #BTC

How powerful can capital be?

1. For 1 yuan, customers can lie with their eyes open and post pictures to give good reviews.

2. For 10 yuan, a takeaway boy can deliver food to you in a 16-level typhoon.

3. For 100 yuan, a grown man can carry a refrigerator to your door.

4. For 1,000 yuan, a daughter who has been raised by someone else for more than 20 years can stand by your side.

5. For 5,000 yuan, an idealistic college student can work for you for a month.

The above is just the explicit world of capital you see. Now let's take a look at the implicit world:

1. Financial capital can kill the real economy and even eat up a country.

2. Capital can control politics, buy off and tame officials. For example: "In the Name of the People"

3. Capital can create financial slavery and enslave all labor by controlling the flow of money.

4. Capital can force the population of the labor force of the nation to become "extinct" through real estate capitalization and education capitalization.

5. The essence of official corruption is the capitalization of power. Officials cash in on power, "store" power in the form of capital, and then react on power itself!

If capital is too concentrated within a country, it will trigger an economic crisis or even revolution, such as Germany before World War II. The transfer of economic contradictions abroad is colonial aggression wars and Nazi aggression wars. If economic contradictions are involuted, it will eventually lead to domestic revolution. #BTC

Regarding the next trend, I will briefly say three points:
1. The daily level trend is short-term bearish, and long-term bullish. At present, the decline is very limited, and there is at most one last decline. The reversal will be in the middle and late next month. At that time, a mysterious fund will enter the market to pull up the market. At the last moment, don't cut your meat in the pit.
2. Most of the copycat targets have refused to fall. At this time, don't scare yourself, and don't listen to those bearish remarks. Whoever asks you to cut your meat now has bad intentions. Even if you sell it at the bottom of the rebound, you have to buy it back.
3. Finally, there is no hurdle that cannot be overcome. Now it depends on who has stronger endurance. The bull market process is ups and downs, and it takes a long time and a long way. It will not be overthrown and restarted. As long as the general direction is correct, some small callbacks in the process can be ignored directly. August will usher in a major turning point!
When water reaches the end, it is a landscape, and when people reach the end, they are reborn. #BTC

How about working in the cryptocurrency industry full-time?

I have a friend who entered the cryptocurrency industry in 2018, but he was just a small player. In 2020, the epidemic started for three years, and he quit his job to work in the cryptocurrency industry full-time. It took off at the end of last year, and it has been almost a year since A8!

Spot holdings of Bitcoin + Ethereum + distributed investment, a total of about 25 Bitcoins.

Back to the question itself, working in the cryptocurrency industry full-time will make you very tired. You may spend more than 15 hours in front of the computer every day. If you do contracts, you don’t have time to go out and socialize, and there are more conflicts in the family. Your wife and parents will think you are not doing your job, but seeing your results will make them shut up to a certain extent, but the premise is that you get the results, but most people will not have good results in the cryptocurrency industry. I hope you will consider it carefully! #btc

What is self-discipline? Let's see how self-disciplined successful people are.

1. Insist on going to bed early and getting up early. Prepare to go to bed at 10 pm and get up on time at 5 am. It is not the alarm clock that wakes you up, but the long-term habit and the dream in your heart. ​

2. Insist on aerobic exercise for 30 minutes, which can be running or swimming, plus 100 squats and 100 pelvic floor exercises. ​

3. Insist on reading for 1 hour. You can read history, philosophy, celebrity biographies, and classics. ​

4. Insist on finishing today's work today, improve your execution, and never procrastinate when doing things. ​

5. Take a shower, change clothes, shave every day, and make yourself clean and refreshed. ​

6. It is best to cook your own meals every day, do not order takeout, eat less pre-prepared dishes, maintain a balanced nutrition, eat more vegetables and less meat. #BTC #ETH

ONDO: The best performance among the copycats, with the smallest decline. The leader of RWA, invested by Wall Street BlackRock, you can’t deny it. I can only say that Chinese projects are too rubbish! #ONDO #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

The market keeps falling! It's time to launch a cryptocurrency declaration!
Cryptocurrency Declaration:
The bad news will go away, start to hold on to the coins
I will not sell the coins, will not look at the price, will not ask about the rise and fall
Hold the coins faithfully, I am a believer in blockchain
I am the flame to resist the plunge
The light at the time of the surge, the shield to protect the coins
Let's invest in long-term value together,
Until the bull market ends, let's achieve wealth freedom together! #BTC