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At 8:30 tonight, the highly anticipated non-farm payrolls data will be released.

If the number of new jobs exceeds 200,000, the market is expected to rise slightly, and the market generally expects that the Fed may suspend interest rate cuts in November.
If the number of new jobs is between 160,000 and 200,000, this will be the best case scenario, which will neither affect inflation expectations nor change interest rate cut expectations, and the market is expected to continue to rise.
If the number of new jobs is between 140,000 and 160,000, the market may rise, but at the same time it may cause concerns about a recession.
If the number of new jobs is less than 140,000, the market may fall directly, and concerns about a recession will increase.

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During the holiday, Hong Kong stocks can be said to be extremely enthusiastic😂
In just one day, the prices of many stocks doubled, especially real estate stocks, which had experienced a very tragic decline before, and almost fell to the bottom. Now, their rebound strength is as fierce as the previous decline.
Compared with the increase in the currency circle altcoins, the performance of Hong Kong stocks is even more amazing. Most of the people who profited in this wave of market are newcomers to the market, while experienced old leeks are still trying to get their money back. Although the current money-making effect is very obvious, I still want to remind everyone that although the market has just started to pick up, it will inevitably be accompanied by a sharp rise.
In the bull market, not everyone can make money~

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The price of Bitcoin once plummeted by more than 4%, causing more than 150,000 people in the virtual currency market to be liquidated within 24 hours, with a total loss of up to 3.6 billion yuan!
This time, the violent fluctuations of Bitcoin are comparable to a roller coaster. The market just hit a two-month high and then quickly fell back. It was like being pushed into a marathon immediately after enjoying a short sweetness, which made people feel exhausted.
Overnight, the virtual currency market seemed to have become a "large rollover scene". 150,000 investors were unfortunately forced to withdraw, with a cumulative loss of 3.6 billion yuan.

In the final analysis, the Federal Reserve and ETFs are like playing a game of hide-and-seek, which has also implicated miners. The halving of mining income seems to require them to maintain operations only with enthusiasm. . .

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In the cryptocurrency market, it is crucial to grasp the timing of bottom-fishing for those currencies that have experienced several times of surge and then plummeted. To profit from such fluctuations, it is necessary to deeply understand the strategies of the dealers and the psychology of retail investors.

The dealer needs to find an opportunity to exit after the currency price soars, while retail investors often try to bottom-fish when the currency price is cut in half. In fact, in the process of the currency price falling from the highest point, there are not many people who dare to continue to short, so there are relatively few counterparties in the market.
In order for the dealer to make money and exit successfully, it is necessary to create enough counterparties. They may choose to quickly smash the market when the currency price is still hot, fall to the bottom-fishing price that retail investors think is suitable, and then let the currency price go sideways to attract retail investors to buy.
In this process, the dealer may make several small pull-ups and smashes at about 50% of the halved price. This small fluctuation is not enough to scare away retail investors, nor is it enough for them to leave the market with profits. At the same time, it can attract more retail investors to enter the market and provide enough counterparties for the dealer.
When the counterparty accumulates to a certain extent, the dealer may not stay for too long. Once there are enough retail investors on the bus, they will continue to smash the market until the new retail investors face the situation of being cut in half again. When these retail investors cut their losses and leave the market, it is the time for the dealer to close their long positions.

Therefore, for the dealer, the sideways stage after the coin price is cut in half is very critical. They must attract enough counterparty like attracting customers to ensure that they can exit safely in the next operation and maximize their profits.

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Keep this principle in mind: hold your position and be patient. In the investment world, frequent trading is often not as effective as long-term holding. Market cycles typically last four years, and long-term holding is often the best strategy for achieving significant gains. In a bull market, many people's biggest regret about the currency they hold is often not because they did not buy it, but because they failed to hold on to it.

Don’t be envious of the crazy rise in the A-share market next door. Hold on to the cryptocurrency in your hands and prepare for the market wave that may come in the fourth quarter.
Are you ready?

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When choosing cryptocurrencies to invest in, it is crucial to study their fundamentals in depth:
Be sure to avoid "air coins" and "junk coins" that have no real value support, because even if the market is generally good, these coins may only recover their investment indefinitely without achieving real appreciation.
In each round of market conditions, different coins often perform differently. Some may perform well in the early stage, some in the medium term, and some may perform at the end of the market.

Personally, I prefer coins that perform well in the medium term because they usually represent more stable, reliable and lasting investment opportunities.
October is a promising month. The main trends in the market have not yet fully unfolded, which means we still have the opportunity to capture those coins with potential.

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When trading, potential strong currencies can be identified by analyzing multiple dimensions such as short-term trading volume, number of exchanges, position changes of the top 20 addresses on the chain, contract positions, and price fluctuations.

However, the performance of these indicators will vary greatly with different stages of market conditions. For example, the characteristics of trading volume will change significantly in different periods such as bear market, late bear market, early bull market, and bull market. Therefore, trading strategies need to be adjusted flexibly, especially those closely related to trading volume, because they are too complex to generalize.

Trading volume strategies are particularly effective in the late bear market and early bull market, and are more likely to reveal the activities of bankers. In these two stages, due to the sluggish overall market trading volume, the trading volume and on-chain activities of all currencies are relatively weak, which makes those currencies with abnormally active trading volume easier to identify. In this case, due to the limited number of targets, we can track the movements of bankers through detailed analysis.

However, at the current stage, due to the generally large market trading volume and the high enthusiasm of retail investors, it is difficult to distinguish whether the short-term rise of the market is driven by retail investors or by market makers in the early stage of building positions, which makes the market situation complicated and unpredictable.

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The evolution of the bull market📈
🚀Initial surge: The price soared, and I kept wondering: Is this bull market really coming? The increase was so large that it was frightening. I dared not add positions easily and could only stand aside and watch👀
😮Continued rise: Wow, the bull market is really coming! After so much increase, I was still a little nervous. I bought a small amount to test the water first, and then added positions after a correction. Seek victory in a stable way💸
💪Top stage: Add positions! Add positions! Start using leverage, the 100,000 target feels like it is within reach, and I feel anxious. I feel that if I don’t enter the market, I will really miss it🏃‍♂️
📉 Technical adjustment: The market began to pull back, and I silently said to myself that this is just a short-term adjustment. Don’t be afraid, continue to add positions💪
😱Continued decline: Oh, why is the market going down all the time? I started to panic and hurriedly chose to cut losses, fearing that I would lose more💔
😢Long-term decline: I was stuck and could only wait for a long time. This waiting time may be as long as three years, which is really anxious⏳

What stage do you think you are in now?

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The market is experiencing a correction, but you don't need to worry too much.
I still stick to my point of view. The bull market trend still exists. You just need to wait patiently for this final correction stage.
We must realize that the total amount of funds in the market is fixed when there is no increase in currency issuance. Funds will flow to investment channels that look more attractive, such as the recently popular A-shares. Even after the holiday, cryptocurrencies may face more severe challenges, but for those who are short, this may be good news because the market may provide you with a good entry position.
At the same time, don't forget to give priority to buying Bitcoin when investing, because its stability is second to none in the market.
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In the cryptocurrency market, every price correction is a major test of patience and determination.
The market often encounters unexpected plunges, which seems to test the psychological endurance of investors. Faced with a sharp drop in prices, many people may panic and rush to sell in an attempt to reduce losses.
But those experienced old leeks know that short-term market fluctuations are normal, and real investment opportunities are often hidden in these declines. If you feel anxious every time the market pulls back, it will be difficult for you to seize the subsequent market rebound.

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Will the Fed's rate cut necessarily lead to a big rise in the cryptocurrency market?

When the Fed raises interest rates, global capital tends to flow to the United States due to high interest rates and the global hegemony of the US dollar. The United States also often uses war and other means to deal with its debt problems.
However, this time the US strategy of trying to suppress an economy through high interest rates does not seem to have worked. For example, the economy successfully launched the Dongfeng ballistic missile, the real estate market fell but the overall situation was stable, the ability to cope with the blockade of lithography technology was demonstrated, and Huawei's achievements in mobile phone innovation.
At the same time, the United States itself was forced to cut interest rates due to reasons such as its inability to bear high interest rates.

In addition, the uncertainty of the US election and the challenges of the development of new energy vehicles have made the United States want to seek advantages in the field of digital currency. Although CZ has been released, it is difficult for him to return to China due to the complexity of domestic policies.
Combined with the relevant situation of the previous bull market, we can see that the trend of digital currency is affected by many factors, and the relationship between the Fed's interest rate cut and the rise and fall of the cryptocurrency market is not so simple and direct. Therefore, in fact, interest rate cuts do not necessarily lead to a big rise in the cryptocurrency market.

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The essence of trading is to "let go", including giving up some profits and some opportunities, rather than blindly pursuing them. Risk management is not only about being aware of the risks in trading, but more importantly, being willing to accept the various consequences of risks.

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