Remember what happened to $BTC in October 2023? Everyone went short with 32k because they understood that the economy was in bad shape, there was nothing to grow on. The price flew to 36k, all the bloggers and investors sold bitcoins for 34-38k. And they switched to altcoins, saying that they had to exit in March 2024. Large marketing campaigns of you know what coins and platforms began.
By March, no one left the market, on the contrary, those who woke up brought money, because #btc set a peak, everyone hoped for a multiple increase in altcoins. But everything began to fall on the news of the sudden trial of #Ethereum
In early June, everyone hid and waited for a pump, but it was not there - sales of Mt. Gox and Germany, the Israel-Lebanon war — survived. Waited for the adoption of the ETF at #ETH and everything collapsed by 50%!
By autumn, the economic and geopolitical situation became even worse than last year.
But do you know what's in people's minds?
Now, after all this, absolutely EVERYONE believed in continued growth and a fabulous altseason. And of course, it will happen 🙃
#PEPE #SOL

$BTC The price has rolled down beautifully, leaving no gaps above and cooling greed. What a drop: bearish divergences on the timeframe, real belief in growth even among bears, numerous altcoin unlocks this week, a truce between Israel and Hezbollah.
What will support growth: the release of positive US GDP data and decreasing inflation data in Japan, inflows into ETFs, the adoption of crypto-regulatory laws in various countries (as it was in 2021).
Overall, look at these liquidations! Remember in mid-2023 exchanges complained about poor balances, low incomes, and activity. Now it's beautiful, in any direction - hundreds of billions! 🏄🏼‍♀️
As a result: many technical indicators suggest a prolonged correction, and then the month will still see super growth with a close above 70k; looking at the S&P 500 - we could drop over the weekend to 80k, touch 80-82k three times, small traders will sell off, and we could go over 100k, planting FOMO deeper.
Or maybe not 😈
#BTC #bitcoin

Everyone is interested in two questions: will $BTC consolidate at 100k and will it exit the alt at the first plus? Well, let's figure it out:
1. On the CME, the price was above 100k, which is more like an error, and closed at 99.5k, more often the price reaches the closing price so as not to leave a gap. Now Bitcoin has left the channel for 97.5, the next level is 94.8k. Last weekend, Boba fell, this weekend too, which suggests that without ETF sales, they are not trying to drive the price. According to StochRSI and MACD, the seller prevails. According to the glass, a block of 100k is 1000k bitcoins for sale, so several approaches are needed to break through the value. S&P500 closed marking time.
2. Tether is printing more actively than in the spring. Domination is marking time. In theory, when the situation worsens, high-risk assets grow, judging by the actions of the current US administration, assets will warm up until mid-January.
Looking at the long-awaited pluses or breakeven on the altcoin, is your hand reaching out to get out? Is there faith in Tuzemun? Write your feelings below, this will help you understand the psychological climate.
On Wednesday and Friday, the release of economic data, given that Paul warned us about the growth of inflation, the crowd may not be scared.
#bitcoin

$BTC Everything. According to trading data — today there is an outflow. Daily divergence has appeared on the indicators, which adds to the weekly and monthly divergence. Now we must understand that the growth is not entirely on volumes; there are volumes, and they are the largest, but for the current price — insufficient.
The logic of a retail trader — short from 75k, long above 91k 😈 Therefore, we are creeping up slowly by a thousand, shaking out the long traders.
If choosing, it is more likely that the price will reach 98k than correct below 83-85k. After all, inflows on FOMO could pour above 100k, or at least short liquidity.
MACD, RSI — the seller prevails with rising prices at the bottom. However, the week is cosmic; even the candles look amusing. Do you notice how you really start to believe in the price of #BTC at 115k, 140k? How it seemed unrealistic at 32k, or rather — uninteresting.

$BTC Mid-November, the US president is known, #BTC updated ATN, bearish divergences, everyone is setting up for a banana tuzemun 🍌
CME closed with a growth of 92.2k, so the opening of the new week is expected around these values, but all weekend longs are being led in a downward sideways trend.
S&P500 closed on growth above the level, two gaps above, two gaps below. A cheerful baby 🤡
Daily MACD indicates exhalation, although weekly and monthly are super. Despite greed and overbought, there are no divergences on professional indicators yet, and MACD, RSI are already forming on publicly available ones. Maybe they will add volume.
The very fact that now is a dense period of large liquidations and purchases tells us about the attraction of those very liquid masses to the market, while there is no helicopter money either in the US or in China, and credit rates are high. Therefore, I am more inclined to continue the sideways movement, pumping up and leading players to some confusion. Still, to drag the price here for 5-7 days, well, that's it.
Tomorrow it is better to wait for the opening of the US stock market to sense the trend 🏄🏼‍♀️

$BTC 10 days in a row of acute greed. Let's measure your temperature: are you still experiencing FOMO or apathy already? 😈
I have mixed feelings: when I see #XRP #DOGE growing, I feel tired. I find these coins disgusting because of the pain of people in 2021, and they do not inspire admiration for the magnificence of these technologies.
But when I see #bitcoin growing, FOMO tickles my ribs, and inside I am happy for spot traders who have a unique chance to get out of it at a good price before the financial crisis, before the settlement of world conflicts, which will entail investing money in the real economy and assets.
Another thing that confuses me is that I am starting to think that Bob would have been perfomil regardless of the elections. And besides, the very fact that I'm starting to allow 115k, 140k for #BTC in my head makes me think - is this the end? If even I am being forced to believe that there is only growth ahead? 🏄🏼‍♀️

$BTC will it go up or down? How to trade?
First, look at the beautiful pictures #BTC worked out on short TFs: range, mirror trend line, inverted head and shoulders, cat ears 🥲
Second, now we see bearish divergences on the month and week, but at the bottom, MACD and StochRSI are simply asking for unloading. Now, most likely, there was a false exit for 90k, we are waiting for a retest of 87.9k and 85.6k.
Third, Boba was the main influencer in Trump's election campaign, would he have performed like that if the Democrats had won? Read my repost, there are very funny comments there 😉

$BTC So, what have you seen lately?
1. We are watching the copulation of the best trading pairs: Trump/BTC, Elon/DOGE, Microstrategy/ETF 🦄
2. We are watching the confrontation: Memcoins/Common Sense, XRP/Gensler, Polymarket/CIA, USD/Paul, Israel/Iran. The victory is clearly for the former.
3. And we are watching how the clans of "losers" are sticking together, although of course, these people are geniuses! And the "Democrats" wanted to have fun at their expense, but in the end, the "Republicans" are dancing: CZ/Buterin, FTX/Binance and the whole old guard.
And I even have an answer to the most hamster question - when will the altseason start? 🐹
When will the bloggers say that it is over, and when will Trump rehabilitate the geniuses (who are scamming the Democrats) and bring them back into line. Otherwise, how can he pardon Biden's corrupt fraudster son and not release the head of FTX?
But it is even more important for us to find an answer to the question: would #bitcoin have grown if Harris had won? There is a feeling that the one who is smarter is the one who rode the wave 🏄🏼‍♀️
#DOGE #XRP #ETH

$BTC That's it - people who didn't believe in such growth became the liquidity that paid for it 💭
More than a billion dollars were liquidated in a couple of days, so if you, like me, were looking for liquidity to justify the "to the moon" mood, then most likely you became it.
Looking at the liquidation map, there is joy that following discipline, this ATN safely slept through. Definitely would have been itching to open a short at 76k, 82k, 85k. But what's worse, I remember how people were in a state of FOMO all 2021, hoping for a repeat of the rally, took out loans to buy off all the moves before the collapse of Terra Luna.
It is becoming obvious that we will stand in a sideways range of 90-85k, let's see what peaks they will make - downward or upward.
#bitcoin #xrp #DOGE #BTC

$BTC On CME made $90,770. For the second day in a row, I can't tear myself away from the screen, the interest is such that it feels like I'm in a position. As the classics say — "A wonderful miracle!". I'm tired 🏄🏼‍♀️ Bravo to the traders who will wait for the breakthrough of 100k!
On cryptocurrency exchanges, there is still no 90k, but there is volume in the order books. Next, the volume is at 88,900k, 90k, 92k, 95k.
Everyone understands that there should be a rebound, and it will be rapid when the long holders start to cascade close. But if we settle into a flat, then this will inform me that the long holders are still holding. Now we pass the baton #ETH #SOL #BNB
I ask your holy underwear, don't short on emotions, have a plan and a stop.
And fortunate long holders or spot traders, share your joy with me — I'll buy candies ($10), perfume ($250), a pool subscription ($35). You can send it via my code on Binance — 152498553 💞 cellu, I'll send a photo report.

$BTC Soon the CME will open, and it's quite interesting what will happen with the gap. There, #BTC closed at 77.3k, which means a gap of about 3k. This gap is more significant than Iran, bringing a lot of short liquidity. What will happen: Will Bitcoin drop to 77k before the opening or will the gap remain below while the trend continues upward?
I lean towards the second option: The US is actively promoting its ETFs, so a new ATH should be reflected on the Chicago exchange, along with a nice figure of 80k, to show on TV what Trump is capable of. Therefore, a drop in the next few hours is not highly expected. Although no charts will suffer if Bob drops a little to close the gap and then returns to a round number.
A week of maximum FOMO and greed doesn't lead people to any thoughts, and we all together are waiting for #STRK at $2, #TRB at $540, #XRP at $4, and #SHIBA at $100 ;)

$BTC 79k! 🏄 What do you dislike about the chart? Hourly and 4-hour timeframes: clear divergences, weakening uptrend, and rising price. If this trend is reflected on the daily timeframe, then we will most likely touch the imbalances and levels — 73.7k, 71.6k.
But! I saw the same thing when the price was ranging — 35-38k, 41-44k, 50-53k. At that time, the price was just making higher peaks, MACD was unloading, going down into the red zone, while RSI was dropping to the floor, and then they both went up together, breaking the usual understanding under the influence of the trend and incoming volumes.
Any technician expects that indicators should work out, but it is important to remember more significant arguments. If the price bounces off 75.7k, then I will likely consider it as a range.
This doesn't mean it will be the same now; for the last couple of months, #BTC has been more obedient, which means I urge you to think for yourself. Many don't want to do that😈
#HMSTR #SOL #ETH

$BTC On SME already 77k. I consider 75.5k as a forming mirror level. In the last 24 hours, a large number of withdrawals have been made! Although $2 trillion has entered the stock market. As for the news agenda - it's boring. I'm tired of discussions about elections, I want action already, after enduring 4 years of leftist wordplay and foolishness. China allocates $1 trillion, what's more important: what will they do about deflation and how will they manage the money? We'll see later.
Many are sure that Trump will not be able to change the structure of financial institutions, development plans, and international obligations approved by leftists around the world. We'll see about that too, a personality can be more than a collective.
I want detox, it's too sweet. All MACD and RSI point to the presence of volume and buyers. I will watch the level of 71.8k, there are imbalances below, but now #BTC is in no hurry and can move slowly. Divergence only on the monthly chart.
Actually, I had a dream today that right in the moment #bitcoin out of nowhere falls to 56k with thick candles, the app is glitching and not loading trades. My dreams about crypto have not come true before. Once in a dream #BNB at $837, then it falls from $2900 to zero, just plain zero. Although everything is ahead :)

Tomorrow the decision on the Fed rate. Let me remind you, it was expected that under Harris it would decrease by 0.25%, under Trump it may be left as is.
S&P500 immediately opened with a breakout of $5900, with two gaps and imbalances below, there is room to fall. But! Not now. The dollar also rose, possibly reflecting tomorrow's pause. After all, gold has also pulled back; let’s assume investors who shifted assets into gold on 05.08 are now exiting and looking for alternative investments.
$BTC demonstrated a technical situation — it bounced off the high, refueled, went up, and bounced off a round number when closing long positions. It closely resembles October '23, when it reached 32k, rolled around 30-32k, jumped to 36k, returned, and began to grow day by day.
In theory, to grow to 80k on short liquidity, ambiguous situations need to be created that will be perceived negatively by the crowd. But! Right now there is liquidity for growth without shorts, and volumes are still coming in. Let's keep an eye on it. If they take a pause lasting about a year on rate cuts — this is for growth.
I suggest not to jump into the fire if you didn’t have a plan before this, let’s wait for the rate, the speech of the Fed chair, and the final counts 🐰
#STRK #SOL #XRP #BTC #eth

$BTC Let's take a look at the indicators. MONTH: opened bouncing off the level of 71.6k, decreasing volumes on MACD, RSI indicates a balance between sellers and buyers, it looks like the next movement is being decided here and now.
WEEK: opened above the previous one, buyers still prevail, considering that ETF holders already have 1 million bitcoins, MACD also confirms growth. Distribution continues. Upper target 71.9k.
DAY: opening bounced off the level of 66.8k under the value zone, RSI is bouncing off the floor, it needs to hold above 69.5k, upper target like the week also at 71.9k, lower target at 65.5k, MACD bars are somewhat aggressive, the right shoulder is below the left, which may indicate a slight bearish divergence.
I repeat, inside it feels like there should be some sharp drop, but that doesn't mean we should analyze the indicators in favor of our expectations. Looking at the chart, there is no feeling that the bearish divergence is strong and will start playing out in the near future.
#BTC #bitcoin #TROY

$BTC They chant like a mantra a dozen reasons for continued growth and the subsequent alt season:
1. The Fed is lowering rates, soon loans will become cheaper, everyone will take out loans and buy altcoins.
2. Everything always rises before elections, and then there will be a Christmas rally.
3. Military conflicts are about to end in peace, which will provide a positive backdrop for growth.
4. After the lifting of sanctions, economies will start to grow, including money flowing into crypto.
5. A small amount of #BTC on exchanges due to demand, hence the price will rise.
6. ETF approval has attracted institutional investors with huge investments.
7. Experts predict growth, and only argue about final prices.
8. China, by sponsoring its economy and attracting foreigners, will stimulate crypto growth.
9. Every rally ends with an alt season, and it hasn't happened yet, which means growth is not over.
10. The elections will pass, and the new president will definitely launch the crypto rocket.
You are surely familiar with these arguments for growth, some of them hold true, while others are myths. Maybe growth will continue, though I don't think so; I can't recall growth in a cheerful atmosphere, but now they are gradually starting to unleash the negative, which I will analyze next time.

$BTC Have you noticed how candidates fool the crowd before elections? I assume there will be a decline during the elections (November 4-7). Because the Democrats are sure that there will be growth with Harris's victory, the Republicans are confident with Trump's victory. What ideas are being promoted:
1. #XRP sponsors Harris (like FTX) in hopes of aiding the case against the SEC.
2. A16Z sponsors both sides.
3. Harris will distribute 'helicopter' money, and the population will invest it in crypto.
4. Under Trump, Gensler, who conducts a tough policy against CBDC, will resign.
5. Trump will lower taxes, meaning the population will have more for investments.
6. Standard Chartered 'SOL will grow 5 times if Trump wins, and #ETH up to $10k.'
7. Harris plans to encourage cryptocurrency for 'black people.'
8. Some bloggers believe that there will be growth only #BTC under Trump.
9. Bloomberg: there will be no ETF under Harris for #SOL .
10. Trump will use #bitcoin to pay off US debt.
BOTH candidates were silent on this topic during the debates, Harris is indifferent, while Trump is interested in earning from NFTs and others.
So why the decline? Because expectations (priced into the market) from the elections are inflated, and everyone will be disappointed when they realize there are more important matters in the REAL world.