The market has shown optimism about the US approval of Ethereum ETFs, and this expectation has increased market confidence. Bloomberg terminals have added some Ethereum ETFs and are ready to start trading next week.

Technically, the daily chart of Ethereum shows that the price has been fluctuating in the range of 3350 to 3500 since Monday's rise. 3500 is a key pressure level that needs time to digest.

In the 4-hour chart, the MACD and KD indicators are being repaired, especially the MACD is above the 0 axis, indicating that even if there is a pullback, the market does not need to worry too much.

Investors should pay attention to the secondary golden cross buying opportunity after the MACD pullback is in place. In addition, the EMA moving average shows that the short-term EMA has signs of crossing the long-term EMA.

In summary, the bullish pattern remains strong, and the current repair is aimed at laying the foundation for better upward momentum.

#以太坊ETF批准预期 #山寨季何时到来？ #美联储何时降息？ #BTC下跌分析 #德国政府转移比特币

Isn't this the opportunity?

SATs finally waited for you to call back. If you don't get on board now, when will you get on board?
#德国政府转移比特币 #BTC下跌分析 #美联储何时降息？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #山寨季何时到来？

Grayscale has recently increased its holdings in BCH, Solara, LTC, LINK, ZEC, FIL and other currencies. Whether the bull market is over depends on whether these large institutions have increased their holdings when the market falls. As long as the large institutions are frantically increasing their holdings, just follow the operation. No matter how panicked the market is or how bearish others are, the vision of large institutions is definitely better than that of most retail investors.

#以太坊ETF批准预期 #山寨季何时到来？ #美联储何时降息？ #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #BTC下跌分析

Last week, many people were bearish, and today they are bullish. So you must have your own opinions in this circle, otherwise you will be led by the market or by the external information. The money is yours, so you must make your own decisions!

The Mentougou crisis has not been resolved yet. The payment in batches will have a long-term suppressive effect on BTC. If there is no interest rate cut in July and August, the market will still be in chaos. Only by releasing water and cutting interest rates can money really flow into the market!

The next operation must not be full, leaving yourself a little room to increase the average price or capture new opportunities. Looking back at the market some time ago, it must be very uncomfortable to be full, and there is no bullet to increase the position. This is very undesirable and very uncomfortable!

I hope that those who are full will remember the suffering some time ago and improve the operation of the subsequent market layout!

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#币安合约锦标赛 #3friends #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美联储何时降息？

Bitcoin has received major positive news, and the market has rebounded strongly! It is said that the German government has shipped all the bitcoins, and the spot Ethereum Fund (ETF) is about to be listed. Can this counterattack completely eliminate Wolverine in one fell swoop?

Recently, two good news came from the Bitcoin market. First, the German government has shipped all the bitcoins, and the balance has returned to zero. This news has undoubtedly brought great confidence to the market. Secondly, the spot Ethereum Fund (ETF) has been approved and is expected to be listed next week, which will further boost the prosperity of the cryptocurrency market.

With this round of rebound, market sentiment does not seem to fluctuate. Is it because everyone has consumed their remaining bullets in the early stage?

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#币安合约锦标赛 #德国政府转移比特币 #美联储何时降息？ #德国政府转移比特币 #美国6月CPI大幅降温

Yesterday, Bitcoin fell first and then started to rise in the evening, which was in line with the expectation of rising. Today, the number of BTC positions in Germany was cleared, and the macro environment was improved again. The expectation of interest rate cut in September continued to increase, and the confidence of traders will gradually recover. It will continue to be bullish in the future. There is no need to worry about the short-term fluctuations in 5. The trend of Bitcoin is better than Bitcoin, and the callback is not large. The macro environment has improved. ETF has been postponed again, and the speculation expectation has increased. ETH may rise significantly in the future. It is still possible to consider building a collection and wait for the positive outbreak. The altcoin sector follows the mainstream and adjusts synchronously. Patiently wait for the mainstream to stabilize. You can consider following up on the altcoins under ETH.

Intraday market analysis: BTC 1-hour and 4-hour levels return to healthy levels, the daily level is lower than the healthy level, and the golden cross on the 4-hour axis is formed. It continues to be bullish, and the macro environment has improved. Good, the expectation of interest rate cut increases again, the negative fundamentals are being digested, the upper resistance of the day is 59000-59500, the lower support is 56500-57000, and the probability of rising today is higher
ETH1-hour and 4-hour levels return to healthy levels, the daily level is lower than the healthy level, the golden cross on the 4-hour axis is formed, and it continues to be bullish. The macro impact has improved, the chain continues to be sluggish, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has increased again. ETH can still be stored during the day for short-term gambling. The upper resistance of the day is 3300-3350, and the lower support of the day is 2990-3050. There are more chances of rising today, and it can still be stored, waiting for the subsequent market to start

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#美国6月非农数据高于预期 #币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美联储何时降息？ #德国政府转移比特币

After the Ethereum spot ETF is successfully passed, if funds continue to flow in, Ethereum ecosystem projects may have a wave!

Layer2 aims to support the prosperity of the ETH ecosystem with high TPS and low GAS. Its importance is self-evident. Major projects include MATIC, MNT, ARB, STX, IMX, OP, STRK, ZK, AEVO, MANTA, BLAST, etc.

LSD protocol is a node-related pledge service that appeared after ETH switched from POW to POS. Major projects include LDO, SSV, RPL, FXS, etc.

DeFi applications cover Dex, lending, stablecoin trading, stablecoin issuance, etc. Major projects include Pendle, UNI, AAVE, COMP, CRV, MKR, etc.

Stablecoin protocol based on ETH pledge
There are many ways to issue stablecoins, one of which is to issue pledged assets. The largest pledged asset includes ETH. After LSD and re-pledge, the project party will use the pledged ETH to obtain liquidity income, and the stablecoin will have a natural yield. Major projects include ENA, LBR, etc. However, ENA has fallen by as much as 60% in the past 30 days.

Re-staking
Re-staking means staking assets again after the initial pledge. Re-staking has developed into one of the mainstream DeFi applications on Ethereum. Major projects include REZ, ETHFI, ALT, BB, etc.

The passage of Ethereum ETF may bring huge development opportunities to the Ethereum ecosystem

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#美联储何时降息？ #德国政府转移比特币 #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

Where did the German government get its Bitcoin?

In January 2024, police in the eastern German state of Saxony announced the seizure of nearly 50,000 BTC, which was worth about $2.2 billion at the time. The Saxony police commented at the time: "This is the largest amount of Bitcoin seized by law enforcement authorities in the Federal Republic of Germany so far."

After the seizure, the German Federal Criminal Police Office transferred the Bitcoins to one of its own controlled addresses.

How many Bitcoins did the German government hold?

At present, the German government's holdings that can be tracked through public information and on-chain analysis are only the funds seized from Movie2k.to mentioned above, which is about 50,000 BTC.

However, considering that the Saxony police described the seizure as "the largest amount of action" rather than "the first action" at the time, it is not ruled out that the German government has previously obtained some Bitcoin through other actions.

Therefore, we conservatively judge that the German government held at least 50,000 BTC before the sell-off.

When did the German government start selling? How far has the selling progress reached?

On June 19 this year, Arkham monitoring found that the German government-related addresses transferred 6,500 BTC, and transferred 2,500 of them to exchanges such as Kraken and Bitstamp through new addresses. The price of BTC on that day was about $64,000.

Since then, the German government-related addresses have continued to transfer BTC almost every day, ranging from hundreds to thousands. Yesterday, the German government's sell-off reached its peak. On-chain analyst Ember Monitoring pointed out that the German government transferred a total of 16,038.7 BTC (about $915 million) to exchanges and market makers yesterday.

As of the time of posting, the German government-related addresses still hold about 27,500 BTC, which means that the German government may have sold 23,500 BTC, and the sell-off progress is close to half.

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#ASI代币合并计划 #币安合约锦标赛 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #德国政府转移比特币

Can BTC still reach $100,000 in 2024?

The market conditions in the past two days have indeed exceeded many people's expectations. Under more extreme market conditions, technical indicators seem to be temporarily invalid. In the past week, BTC has directly fallen from about $64,000 to about $54,000, a drop of about 16%, which is also relatively rare.

Moreover, according to the Fear and Greed Index, the current value of the Fear and Greed Index is 26. It seems that the market conditions in the past two days have indeed caused panic among many people.

But when others start to suffer losses and choose to give up, it just means that you should consider entering the market. If you still believe that this round of bull market is still there, then the 47,000-56,000 range may be the last entry opportunity for you in this cycle.

In short, from the overall situation, this volatility may continue until the end of the third quarter of this year, and the market may usher in a new direction in September and October.

Therefore, patience is the key, continue to ignore short-term fluctuations, and learn to make friends with cycles.

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#ASI代币合并计划 #币安合约锦标赛 #美联储何时降息？ #BTC走势分析

All the single talks are back to the original today?

Emphasize that the recent market is only suitable for waiting and watching, and the big cake will definitely have the chance to break again.

1: Next, everyone can pay attention to several important things coming this week. One is whether Bao’s speech on Capitol Hill will continue to bring a big drop. After all, it is difficult for Bao to not fall.

2: There is also the release of CPI data. Take precautions in advance and don’t be pierced by a needle after the news is released. If it is good, the big cake is expected to return to the range above 60, but the previous data is also good. It still fell. So now Bao’s speech is more important than the data.

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#BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ #ASI代币合并计划

Recently, many fans have asked me about bottom-fishing. I sent them to you to see the varieties. Many of them are junk coins that I have never heard of. My head hurts when I see them.

Don’t think that some junk coins are safe and can be bottom-fished after they have fallen by more than 80%. I tell you, there are still eighteen levels of hell below those junk coins. Even if it falls by 90%, it can still fall by more than 50%.

Only leading coins such as BTC ETH BNB have certainty.

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#BTC走势分析 #ASI代币合并计划 #美联储何时降息？ #美国6月非农数据高于预期

At 20:30 tonight, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the latest non-farm report, covering key employment market indicators such as unemployment rate, non-farm population, wages, and labor force participation rate that are closely watched by the Federal Reserve and the market.

The consensus expectation of Wall Street investment banks for this non-farm report is that the U.S. unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 4% in June; the seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population is expected to record 190,000; the average hourly wage monthly rate is expected to record 0.3%, lower than the previous value of 0.4%, and the annual rate is expected to record 3.9%, which is significantly slower than the previous value of 4.1%; the labor force participation rate is expected to rise slightly from 62.5% to 62.60%.

A number of data released this week showed that the U.S. economy and employment performance have gradually become weak, leading to Wall Street's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Tonight's report is even more important in this context.

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#德国政府转移比特币 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #BTC走势分析 #非农就业数据即将公布

Alas, the cryptocurrency market is going to be difficult this time. It is expected to fall to around 56,000, and the strong support is at 52,000. The consensus is that the 2024 half-year reduction should go all the way up, as it has been the case in the previous few times. But now various accidents happen frequently, and the 10 billion Mentougou selling pressure has scared the market.

1. After the high stagnation of the monthly line, a correction is formed. It is currently in the 4th wave adjustment. For the correction position in the future market, you can pay attention to the BOLL band middle track

2. The daily line is a bearish combination of the evening star with a deformed title in the recent K-line. The pressure level is at the double suppression of the BOLL band middle track + the channel middle track

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#以太坊ETF批准预期 #ASI代币合并计划 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #币安合约锦标赛

Yesterday, Bitcoin continued to fall, in line with expectations. The macro environment + fundamentals are still negative. Powell made a hawkish speech yesterday, and the expectation of interest rate cuts was reduced again. Market confidence was hindered again. The recent market may continue to fall. We still need to wait patiently. Focus on Friday's non-agricultural data market, which is related to the overall trend of this month.

Bitcoin fell synchronously with Bitcoin. The macro environment is still not optimistic. It is close to the lower edge of the box again. The overall situation is still not optimistic. It may continue to fall under the influence of macro confidence. In the near future, we should focus on defense. The cottage sector will follow the mainstream to pull back synchronously. Some currencies have fallen sharply. Watch more and do less.

Intraday market analysis

BTC1 hour, 4 The hourly level is lower than the normal level, the daily level is lower than the healthy level, the macro-environmental impact is still there, the fundamental negative is still there, and yesterday's hawkish negative market continues to be sluggish, the upper resistance is 62000-62200, the lower support is 60000-60500, and the probability of continued correction today is greater, waiting for a deterministic signal

ETH1 hour, 4 small average levels are lower than normal levels, the daily level is lower than the healthy level, the macro-influence is still there, the chain is also sluggish, and yesterday's hawkish negative market continues to be sluggish, the upper resistance is 3400-3420, the lower support is 3250-3300, and the probability of continued correction today is greater, waiting for a deterministic signal

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#meme板块关注热点 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #ASI代币合并计划 #非农就业数据即将公布 #MiCA

More optimistic sector targets:
$WIF
is the first choice for big funds. WIF is the first MEME coin on SOL that is sought after by the world. It is backed by Musk and Wall Street, so it has a high popularity. It is considered to be the representative of the hat dog.
$BOME and $BONK
are the first choice for medium funds. The market value is fully circulated. BOME is a successful listing on Binance Exchange in just three days. It is similar to the past shiba project, and its potential should not be underestimated. Bonk rebounds fiercely every time, but the wash is more severe.
$NOS
This project belongs to the GPU project on SOL and belongs to the AI ​​project. We have analyzed before that the current AI sector has a strong rebound. This year, it has performed quite well. In one year, it has increased by 700 times, from 0.01 to 7.3 in March. It is a new 100-fold coin project born in a standard bear market. The current price has fallen back to around 3.1 US dollars, the current market value is 160 million, and the overall FDV is about 300 million. Compared with RNDR's 3 billion, there is still a lot of room for growth.

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#meme板块关注热点 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #ASI代币合并计划 #非农就业数据即将公布 #MiCA

Whether there is still a bull market for altcoins is a question that has been discussed in the circle for the past six months.

On the one hand, the VC funds are large, and the entry of new retail investors is less than expected. It is difficult for funds to take over new coins and old tokens that are still alive in the market, resulting in the increase in project valuations in the primary market.

After the token is launched, high FDV and low circulation appear. The last round of bull market was that crypto institutions pledged BTC and leveraged, and then these leveraged funds flowed into the altcoin market, thereby promoting the growth of the overall crypto market value and bringing about the so-called altcoin bull market.

This time, the spot ETF is managed by the custodian, which directly blocked the liquidity of the altcoin market. However, there are still catalysts in July, just like the ETH ETF mentioned above. If it is successfully passed on July 8, it will be the biggest benefit for my wife this year. Not only my wife, but the new trend of SOL spot ETF has brought a newer and clearer logic to attract and create liquidity in the crypto industry.

Whether the altcoins can go against the sky in July depends on whether the SOL ETF is approved. Regardless of whether it is approved or not, how will ETH and ETF perform in the future? The logic and trend of the ETF bull market seem to be unstoppable. The curse will be broken with market changes.

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#以太坊ETF批准预期 #meme板块关注热点 #ASI代币合并计划 #非农就业数据即将公布 #IntroToCopytrading

The monthly line has a clear unilateral upward trend. It has maintained high resilience in the previous decline of the market. The TON concept is a hot spot this year, and there is still room for speculation in the later period.

The shape tends to be wedge-shaped. It usually occurs at a high level and has a high probability of falling. It needs to be treated differently at this stage.

Morphological prediction: Pay attention to the breakthrough of the upper track of the wedge. If it constitutes a breakthrough, the falling wedge will not be established. On the contrary, it constitutes an acceleration of the rise. Refer to the potential channel trend.

Given the overall high position, it is difficult to grasp the trading point, but there are certain highlights in the speculation opportunities of the hot concept in the medium and long term. Therefore, a certain courage and game spirit are required in the overall transaction.

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#非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #ASI代币合并计划 #MiCA #以太坊ETF批准预期

The big coin rose slightly over the weekend and started to rise in volume this morning. There was no negative news in the fundamentals. It was purely capital-driven. The macro environment + fundamentals are still negative. The market environment has not fully recovered. Don't be blindly optimistic. Pay attention to the breakthrough of the 64300 resistance level during the day. The expected one-time breakthrough probability is not high, and there is still a need for correction. Compared with the big coin, the trend of the second coin is healthier. The ETF extension has been passed, and the ETH speculation expectation has been continued. Under the influence of the macro environment, it is still not optimistic. The ETH chain ecology has been extremely depressed recently, and the overall situation is still not optimistic. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3550 during the day. If it can break through and stand firm, the subsequent market will improve. The Shansai sector will rise synchronously with the mainstream. After waiting for the mainstream to break through the key position, you can consider building Wei on the right side. Intraday market analysis BTC1 hour , 4-hour level is about to enter the overbought range, the daily level is back to a healthy level, the macro environment is still influencing, the market has not reversed, the fundamentals are still bearish, waiting for the key position to break through before taking action, the upper resistance is 64500-64800, the lower support is 62000-62500, today pay attention to the breakthrough of the resistance level, the probability of a one-time breakthrough is not high, wait and see

Waiting for a deterministic signal ETH1 hour, 4 small average levels are about to enter the overbought range, the daily level is back to a healthy level, the macro influence is still there, the chain is also sluggish, and there is no clear reversal signal, the upper resistance is 3550-3580, the lower support is 3400-3450, today pay attention to the breakthrough of the resistance level, the probability of a one-time breakthrough is not high, wait and see, waiting for a deterministic signal

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#Meme板块普涨 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #IntroToCopytrading #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #非农就业数据即将公布

Attention to unlocked tokens! ! ! !

dydx will unlock about 8.33 million tokens at 8:00 on July 1, accounting for 3.12% of the circulation, worth about 11.18 million US dollars;
Sui will unlock about 64.19 million tokens at 8:00 on July 1, accounting for 2.65% of the circulation, worth about 50.1 million US dollars;
io will unlock about 7.5 million tokens at 21:00 on July 1, accounting for 7.89% of the circulation, worth about 23.55 million US dollars; ​​​

#美联储何时降息？ #以太坊ETF批准预期 #Meme板块普涨 #币安合约锦标赛 #MiCA

After a weekend of dawdling, Bitcoin finally broke through 63,000. Bitcoin followed closely and broke through 3,400, leading the entire altcoin to stand up.

ENS PEPE SSV rebounded in the Ethereum ecosystem. Sony Group acquired the cryptocurrency trading platform Amber Japan; ether.fi: The new proposal was voted through, and 25 million ETHFI will be airdropped to pledgers in the third quarter.

It seems that the market is getting better. Come on, everyone. It's a new month and the monthly line has closed. Everyone is comforting each other that July is the day to turn around.

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#美联储何时降息？ #以太坊ETF批准预期 #IntroToCopytrading #MiCA #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低