Last month it was still close to 800,000, and this month it is back to the starting point

Is there any hope of breaking through 100,000 this month? Friends

#加密市场急跌

Two major events worth paying attention to:
One is the Trump administration to take office on the 20th;
The other is whether Japan will announce an interest rate hike on the 24th;
I believe that the market is also on the way. Especially eos, sol, ray, ADA, XRP...these are all very strong. XRP has been ranked third in market value, and it is still so strong. SOL also rose sharply yesterday. It proves that big funds are quietly entering the market.

Even LTC is hyping to pass ETF, which proves that the market is now ready to move, so friends on the bus, wait patiently...what is coming will never be absent!

January 16, Market Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy:

$ETH and $BTC experienced a fluctuating pullback yesterday, but the extent of the pullback was very small.
I had already pointed out yesterday that due to the V-shaped reversal pattern presented the day before, the pullback space is usually quite limited in such cases. By evening, after the CPI data was released, the market ended the short-term adjustment from the day and began to accelerate upward.

For the current trend, I judge it to be a wave of fluctuating rebound. Other varieties, after experiencing a long period of decline, have also reached a point for a wave rebound.
Of course, since it is a wave rebound, its patterns can be diverse. Today, attention should be paid to the support level of the second futures contract around 3330; if it is a slow pullback, there is still an opportunity to go long. If a continuous downward pullback is observed, especially if it breaks below 3250, then one should exit when a rebound occurs. This wave rebound may present a sideways pattern, and everyone must remember to take protective measures.

On January 16, market hot spots:

1. AIXBT, Griffain, ARC and other AI sectors hit new highs; Virtual and Buzz rebounded. It is the leader in AI applications, and Griffain is the leader in DeFi AI.

ARC is the Rust framework, which recently cooperated with EVM. Virtual refunded transaction tax, and Buzz is DeFi Ai, which won the first place in the Sol hackathon.

2. The old coin XRP hit a new high, and XLM followed suit.

XRP executives met with Trump, and the market expected XRP to be the first to launch ETFs. XRP's market value will exceed ETH if it rises by another 30%.

3. The public chain SOL rebounded.

Jupiter of the Sol chain was airdropped again, and the airdrop value of a single address with a transaction amount of 100 Wu was about 4000 U.

Pay attention to this week's token unlock overview:

▪️ 30,239,792,488 will unlock 64 million tokens on January 15, worth approximately $27.34 million, accounting for 2.65% of the circulating supply.

▪️ SEI will unlock 55.56 million tokens on January 15, worth approximately $21.30 million, accounting for 1.32% of the circulating supply.

▪️ $ARB will unlock 92.65 million tokens on January 16, worth approximately $67.68 million, accounting for 2.2% of the circulating supply.

▪️ APE will unlock 15.6 million tokens on January 17, worth approximately $17.04 million, accounting for 2.16% of the circulating supply.

▪️ ONDO will unlock 1.94 billion tokens on January 18, worth approximately $2.31 billion, accounting for 134.21% of the circulating supply.

▪️ UXLINK will unlock 26.56 million tokens on January 18, worth approximately $32.41 million, accounting for 15.63% of the circulating supply.

These tokens have a large number of unlocked tokens.
It is advised not to touch them for a short term of 1-2 months.
Unlocking continuously increases the supply, diluting your tokens and your principal! ​

Last night, the altcoins probably hit the bottom, with the worst-performing ones being the three fools act, neiro, $PNUT , all of which fell a complete 80%.

The best performer was Ripple and $DOGE .

Additionally, Squirrel listed on Coinbase in the middle of the night; the timing for the listing wasn't great, but let's continue to stay optimistic.

Dogecoin $DOGE 's current low point average has risen, and it has already shown a bullish trend on the four-hour time frame.

The previous round was led by Gray's transparent card, and this round is led by BlackRock's transparent card. Recently, ETH ETFs have seen continuous net inflows, while BTC ETFs have experienced net outflows. The shift in speculative trends is also quite evident.

Today a friend asked me, how to choose potential altcoins?

Choosing quality altcoins actually has a method.

First, let me talk about popular tracks: public chains, MEME, AI, gaming, L2, DEFI... It's dazzling to see. However, within the same track, some projects are racing ahead while others move as slowly as snails.
Take the MEME track for example, People, Doge, and Floki are all familiar faces.
But if you look at their performance, it's like heaven and earth. People is like a laid-back youth, unable to rise, while DOGE is simply shooting up like a rocket!

Why is this happening? Let's analyze.

First, the narrative!
This is a major topic. Why is Doge so popular? It's not just because Musk mentioned it a few times on Twitter; the traffic and funds just poured in, and the price naturally went up.

Secondly, the team behind the project is also very important.
You need to see if they are actively operating, if they are proactively shaping the narrative and advancing the project. Just like Doge, after BN, they actively expanded to other platforms.

Finally, strong market maker support is also crucial.
Without these big players backing them up, can the price stay stable? So, choosing altcoins is like choosing a partner; you need to evaluate from all angles, not just look at the surface (the name) or listen to others' one-sided opinions. You must think for yourself, analyze the underlying logic and potential.

Who will Musk bring to Mars first? I believe that the first person to land will definitely not be a human, because this is a huge risk to humans.
Then letting Doge go up first will be more in line with the Western standard of doing things. They will not calculate how much a person's life is worth, and will not harm a life for the sake of profit. This is absolutely not allowed.
So the possibility of Doge going up first is very high... ​​​

The first quarter of the 25th year belongs to the Ethereum ecosystem!

In March, the Prague upgrade meeting of $ETH was hyped in advance, continually reminding us of the ETH ecosystem tokens: OP, SSV, LDO;

Additionally, Eigen, ENS, ENA, and BB are all ETH ecosystem tokens;
Be patient with the tokens you hold, as the big brother of Bitcoin will only continue to oscillate upward.

My personal view remains that I see it above 150,000, and if $ETH stabilizes at 3500, it will go to 4000u! Step by step, with each footstep, we can reach the end.
The range will oscillate around $BTC , and the altcoin market will continue to rise!

January 9, Market Trend Analysis and Action Plan:
Yesterday morning, I had already suggested the downward swing of $BTC , but by yesterday morning, this downward swing had not yet been completed.
At this moment, we also saw that the market rebounded in the morning, but the strength of this rebound was relatively weak. After that, it began to fluctuate downwards again, continuing until the early hours.

So, can we expect a rebound today?
Because the downward movement of $ETH and Bitcoin started at different times on the 7th. Yesterday, Aunt had an extended trend, and looking at it this morning, the current downward phase is basically over. It is expected that during the day today, Aunt is likely to show a fluctuating rebound pattern.

As for Bitcoin, its short-term rebound resistance is approximately in the range of 97000 - 98000. We mainly need to observe the strength and pattern of the rebound; we cannot directly state the target for the rebound, as resistance needs to be broken through one by one.
It is expected that this rebound may last until the evening, and of course, this process will definitely be quite fluctuating and will not continuously surge upwards. If you want to position for a fluctuating market, you can adopt a strategy of high selling and low buying. Of course, after the final rebound is completed, you can continue to short again.

$ORDI is currently priced at 24. Has the bottom been reached?

Doraemon believes that around 20, it may be the time when your perseverance will see the light of day! Hold steady!

Today, Wednesday, $BTC is directly looking at a rebound around 95,000.

This position is also the support level of the lower track, and the support level is both low and stable. Don't be scared by yesterday's small pullback.

​95,000 to buy more, target 98,700, defense 94,700. Today, the bulls will blow the horn of counterattack.

Don't forget that you are in a bull market now, and the pullback is an opportunity for you to buy more! ​​​

$BTC A large bearish candlestick with high volume has come down, indicating the start of a new four-hour downtrend, and this also continues the daily downtrend that began from 108000.

Next, the focus should be on whether there is any divergence in the four-hour downtrend around 90000; if so, it suggests a high probability that the daily downtrend will come to an end; alternatively, if there is significant volume at this point, a small to large trend reversal is likely.

The previous daily uptrend lasted for two months, and this daily pullback can be seen as a third buy position from the perspective of the theory of intertwined trends, lasting for a perfect month. Therefore, the likelihood of a bottom next week is very high, leaving some time to welcome the new administration in the U.S.

On January 8, interpretation of the market trend and operational ideas:

The market trends of $BTC and $ETH were in a state of fluctuation and topping during the day, but started to accelerate downwards in the evening, quickly breaking below the turning point we mentioned yesterday.
The market has completed the previous daily wave's rise and has entered the process of wave pullback.
This market has just started to decline, and $ETH already shows signs of breaking down, so I believe this is not the right time for a wave-based rebound operation.

During yesterday's downward wave, the trends of the second pancake and the big pancake were not very synchronized. The big pancake started to decline only in the morning, while the second pancake and other varieties had already started to decline in the early morning.
From the trend of the big pancake, after a short-term rebound in the morning, there should still be another wave of decline before a larger rebound occurs. It is expected that the big pancake will break below 96000 again, with the daily wave pressure around 99000. After a small wave of short selling, it is still possible to go short.

Good morning! $BTC has once again broken through 100,000

The current market is in an upward trend at the daily level. It is important to note that after this wave of increase ends, it will enter a short-term pullback.
Today, pay attention to the short-term turning point of $ETH near 3580. If the short-term adjustment breaks below this position, the market will enter an adjustment phase, and then one can take advantage of the short-term rebound to participate in the downward adjustment of the market.

$FIL trend has begun to rise, it is the leader in storage infrastructure.
But looking at $FIL , although there are many trapped positions above, it cannot withstand the support from Grayscale.

Engaging in stablecoins and the F3 network upgrade, these positive factors, let's see if we can pull off something big!

The last round of storage didn't perform well, let's see if the traffic brought by Grayscale's support can push it up; in the short term, we can make a swing trade, and if it performs, the first target above can see around 7.
In 2025, it will be the last sprint opportunity for FIL!

It's getting better, Big Pancake 9w8, not far from the 10w barrier

$OMNI has also risen, on the 3rd we positioned ourselves in the small family for $OMNI , entering around 8.2

Expected increase of 20% for profit taking, today's highest reached 10.69

In just three days, an increase of 26%, perfectly meeting and exceeding expectations

Without further ado, everyone in the bull market, keep it up

If you want to understand specific opportunities and decisions, you can get the position allocation strategy in the small family, teaching you how to make money in a bull market and earn coins in a bear market.

AI Sector: agix, fet, wld, ai, nmr, these altcoins are leading figures in the AI field and are my top picks.

Not only do they possess strong technical capabilities, but they have also gained widespread recognition in the market. If you are optimistic about the future development of AI technology, then these cryptocurrencies are definitely worth your attention and involvement.