2025 Altcoin Investment Strategy:

As we enter 2025, while Bitcoin may be the best holding choice in 2024, altcoins are likely to become the main investment opportunity in 2025.

Whenever the altcoin market season arrives, many altcoins will experience varying degrees of price increases. Although the increases vary greatly among different coins, the final increase figures are not as important compared to the profits missed due to exiting too early (difficult to capture all the gains).

For investors, there is no need for overly complicated coin selection; choosing altcoins seen on the Binance platform can serve as entry targets, and positions can be gradually increased.

The key is to always pay attention to exit signals and strictly follow the plan to exit the market in batches.

By adopting a gradual operation and gradual exit strategy, once the exit is completed, do not reinvest this year's and next year's funds into this market to avoid excessive exposure to risk.

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ACT

At the 4-hour level, a bottom pattern has been formed.

If the price pulls back to 0.32, 0.308 or 0.285, you can enter the market in batches.

The short-term target profit is set at 0.4. The medium-term profit target is 0.52, 0.64, and may even reach 0.8.

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Practical Tips for Short-Term Trading:

Do not rush to buy at high positions, and do not rush to sell at low positions: When the market is at a high level, maintain patience; when at a low level, do not hastily sell, but wait for the trend to be confirmed before making decisions.

Refer to candlestick charts for decision-making: When a bearish candlestick appears, consider entering a buy position, and when a bullish candlestick appears, consider selling, closely following the market trend.

Judge the strength of the rebound by the intensity of the decline: If the decline is relatively gentle, the rebound is usually weak; but if the decline is rapid, the rebound is usually strong.

Use a pyramid building strategy: Buy in batches, increasing the purchase amount as the stock price declines, gradually lowering the cost.

Respond to fluctuations followed by consolidation: After experiencing significant rises and falls, the market usually enters a sideways consolidation phase. At this time, avoid liquidating at high points, and do not fully invest at low points; instead, wait for a signal of a trend change before taking further action.

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When picking an altcoin, track and narrative are key factors.

For example, popular tracks such as public chains, MEME, AI, etc., although they belong to the same track, the performance of different projects is significantly different.

Taking the MEME track as an example, Doge and Floki once skyrocketed, while People remained stagnant. The reason behind this is: strong narratives can stimulate traffic, and support from Musk on Twitter has brought huge increases to Doge! In addition, Doge's community and team are actively operating, with continuous cross-chain expansion, and the strong support of market makers also provides guarantee for its rise, ensuring that its price continues to rise.

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Today, Ethereum (ETH)'s key support level is at 3377. As long as the price remains stable above this level, the 1-2 hour timeframe will maintain a bullish trend.

The target/resistance levels above to watch are 3405, 3435, and 3472.

If the price can stabilize above 3405, then the daily level correction will end, and the market is expected to start moving upwards.

If the price pulls back and falls below 3377 today, the 1-2 hour timeframe will turn into a correction, and support levels to watch are 3351, 3313, and 3271.

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The secondary market remains volatile, and altcoins overall have not shown significant declines.

Ordi, Pnut, and ACT are forming a bottom and may be potential coins.

FTM is about to undergo a currency swap, with the current price around 0.8.

FTT has compensation this month and is expected to rise steadily.

In the AI sector, Virtual continues to rise steadily and has not yet launched BN spot.

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The first contract code of today — pnut is here. Enter decisively to go long at the current price of 0.681, with a stop loss set at the 0.65 level, and the profit target aimed at the 0.78 point.

This rephrasing maintains the original meaning while making certain adjustments to the expression of the sentences, in order to reduce the repetition with the original text, while emphasizing the key information of contract trading, more in line with the description style of a professional trading scenario.

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Does Dogecoin still have a chance? Let's uncover the three key factors behind its previous surge!

First, the overall market performance is good, which has driven the rise of Dogecoin (DOGE).

Second, a public statement from Musk, along with the establishment of his D.O.G.E department, directly triggered the surge of DOGE.

Third, the market has cycles, with several waves of enthusiasm related to Shiba Inu and meme coins occurring every year, the last wave of enthusiasm was in March.

However, the current situation is different. Now, the overall market is on a downward trend, with Bitcoin and other altcoins also falling, making the first driving factor no longer valid. Although Musk has made statements recently, the market's reaction has already been digested, and many investors have not yet cut their losses, the bubble is still being digested. In the short term, it will be difficult for Musk to make another statement, so the second driving factor is also no longer applicable.

As for cyclicality, the current market is generally declining, and the rotation between sectors has completely disappeared, all are in a downward rotation. Therefore, I personally believe that it will be quite challenging for Dogecoin to return to levels above 0.4 in the short term. Although the market may experience a rebound, it is unrealistic to expect a quick recovery.

My suggestion is to consider reallocating, shifting towards leading coins in other sectors, looking for those that have not yet surged significantly and are in the bottom region. Especially those projects that have star effects and are receiving attention from big names in the same sector.

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Ripple (XRP) aims to provide fast, low-cost cross-border payment solutions, thereby simplifying the process of international remittances.

Through partnerships with global banks and financial institutions, XRP has been deeply integrated into the global financial system.

Although XRP faces legal challenges from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which may impact its short-term performance, its outstanding performance in practical applications still makes it a favorite among many investors.

For those who focus on the practical application of technology and long-term stability, XRP is undoubtedly a highly attractive investment option.

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The current downward adjustment has not yet ended, and breaking the support level is just a matter of time.

During the downward pullback, if there was no high-position chasing of long positions, a lot of risks have actually been avoided. If one can timely switch to short positions and go with the trend, it would better reflect the trader's capability.

Recently, the price of Bitcoin has been in a volatile range. Although there has been a certain decline, it has not completely broken through the downward space.

Especially on Monday, after the price fell, it found support, but the technical indicators did not show signs of a strong reversal.

Additionally, this week lacks significant data or events to drive the market, so the lack of upward momentum makes the pullback entirely foreseeable.

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After breaking the first support level at night, BNB quickly launched a strong rebound, breaking into the second resistance zone.

Today, attention should be paid to the price level of 702. Only if it stabilizes above this position can the hourly level continue the rebound trend.

The key resistance levels above are around 710, 717.3, and 728.

If 702 support is broken today, it means that the rebound momentum is insufficient, and the price may continue to decline. Pay attention to the performance of the support levels below at 695.2, 685.7, and 677.6.

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Assets on-chain and on exchanges indeed present two distinctly different trends.

On-chain tokens, such as AI Agent projects, have performed quite impressively recently. For example, the price of ai16z has quintupled this month, with its market cap skyrocketing to $1.9 billion. Other mid-cap tokens have also generally risen five to ten times, creating a strong atmosphere of growth.

However, the current upward momentum is relatively healthy and does not resemble a violent FOMO-style surge; rather, it reflects a gradual influx of capital, steadily injected into the market.

Although the inflow of funds on-chain has become apparent, it seems that large institutional funds are still in a wait-and-see stage. Their strategy may be to enter the market on a large scale after Bitcoin's price stabilizes.

From my perspective, this wave of increase in the on-chain market may welcome a small peak after the leading coin AI Agent is listed on BN.

This small peak is expected to trigger more capital inflows, spreading FOMO sentiment.

However, the sustainability of this rise may be limited, and it is more likely to represent a short-term high point.

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In the cryptocurrency world, you often see people saying that making a million is so easy, and even claim that a million is just pocket change in the crypto space. However, in reality, they might not even be able to take out 100,000.

Based on today’s U price of 7.26, to earn a million, you would need to make at least 138,000 U.

If you only have a few thousand U, reaching this goal can be extremely difficult.

Some also say that as long as you buy a hundredfold coin, you can achieve financial freedom, but where are there so many hundredfold coins in the current market?

Back in the day, DOGE and SHIB were indeed ten-thousandfold coins, but how many people actually made money from them? In reality, those who truly made money are often the ones who hoarded a large amount of BTC at low prices. They not only have the financial advantage but also possess enough patience.

Therefore, if you want to genuinely make money in this market, do not underestimate the power of capital, and do not think that everything is so easy. The market has changed, and history is just history. Also, don’t let a few FOMO remarks from others influence you into believing you are the chosen one.

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The following key points can be focused on regarding the trend in the cryptocurrency world:

Market Adjustment: The current pullback is a normal adjustment within the bull market, lasting about 10 days and nearing its end. The season for altcoins is about to arrive; although a collective breakout has not yet occurred, the market is waiting for Bitcoin and Ethereum to lead the way. Some individual coins have already started to rise, but most altcoins are still consolidating sideways, waiting for a strong coin to signal a rebound.

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin's technical indicators (such as MACD, KDJ, etc.) have dropped to a low point, and there has been no increase in volume during the downward movement. If the support level can hold, the chances of a rebound will be greater.

Capital Situation: A substantial amount of funds have entered the bottom area, providing support for the subsequent rebound.

News: It is expected that Trump will take office at the end of January, which may bring policy changes and market benefits. Additionally, Ethereum's staking feature is anticipated to be launched after his inauguration, potentially attracting a large influx of funds. A surge in staking applications is expected in January. Before the Christmas holiday, around $131 million has already flowed into the market, and the main capital is also looking forward to this.

Although many people predict that the altcoin season is about to come, caution is still needed in the short term. You can pay attention to the following key points, which are usually characteristic features of an altcoin season:

The exchange rate of Ethereum continues to rise, showing a trend of consecutive days of surging.

More than 90% of altcoins have risen several percentage points for several days or within a week.

Over 90% of investors have recouped their costs or made profits, and market sentiment is extremely optimistic.

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Although many people are discussing the arrival of the explosive altcoin season, I will make a bold prediction: based on the current market situation, there will not be a real explosive altcoin season in the next 1 to 2 weeks.

The so-called explosive altcoin season usually has the following characteristics:

The Ethereum exchange rate continues to rise, and the price of Ethereum skyrockets continuously. The vast majority of altcoins (over 90%) rise several percentage points every day for several days or even a week, showing exceptionally strong performance.

Most investors recoup their costs or even make a profit, and market sentiment is extremely optimistic.

However, the current market performance still shows signs of consolidation, and it is expected that such explosive increases are unlikely to occur in the short term.

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Currently, I am waiting for an oversold signal to appear on the Ethereum daily chart.

Looking back, the last oversold signal appeared in early September, when Ethereum went through about two months of volatility (about 60 candlesticks) and then launched a one-sided rise.

Today, Ethereum is approaching the support levels of EMA100 and EMA200 again. If an oversold signal appears again at this time, this may be a spot buying opportunity worthy of attention.

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Altcoins can indeed be manipulated, but the key to success lies in mastering the rhythm—appropriate position, timing, and position size are all essential.

Firstly, the core value of altcoins for ordinary investors mainly lies in making profits during a strong unilateral market trend, and then converting those earnings into more Bitcoin.

Secondly, the entry position is crucial; one must choose points with extremely high risk-reward ratios over large time frames, avoiding blind following of trends.

The time dimension is also complex; one should not expect to accurately buy at the best position all at once. The safest method is to build positions in batches, gradually entering the market to effectively hedge against time and market volatility risks.

Finally, position management is also very important. Most of the capital should be concentrated on leading projects in the industry, while a small portion can be used for high-risk, lesser-known coins (such as lottery coins), for example, CRV or UXLINK.

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Common Psychological Routes in a Bull Market:

Initial Surge: The market suddenly rises, and there's hesitation in the mind, "This wave of increase is too fast, can the bull market really last? I don't dare to chase the highs easily; I’ll wait and see for a while."

Sustained Rise: The market continues to rise strongly, "The bull market has indeed arrived! It has risen so much, yet I still don't dare to heavily invest; I'll start with a small position to test the waters and wait for a pullback before adding more."

Climbing to New Heights: The market soars to new highs, "This surge is too big, missing out would be a mistake! Quickly increase my position, leverage up, with 100,000 I can achieve it; if I miss it, it will be too late!"

Beginning to Pull Back: Technical adjustment, "This is just a small pullback; the opportunity to add positions has arrived! After the rebound, it will continue to rise."

Continued Decline: Panic sets in, "I've lost quite a bit; I might as well cut my losses and exit to avoid further losses."

Prolonged Downtrend: Stalemate, "I’m trapped; I can see my losses expanding. At least I have to wait 3 years to break even."

This is a common psychological change process for many investors during a bull market, often ignoring risks at the peak of the bull market, missing rebound opportunities during declines, and ultimately getting trapped. Therefore, rational analysis and cautious operation are essential to avoid these common traps.

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During a bull market, different sectors will experience rapid rotations, with the following three sectors showing particularly significant gains and strong performance:

The MEME sector, whose performance references previous coins like SHIB and DOGE, has seen astonishing growth, attracting a large amount of retail investment.

The AI sector, drawing inspiration from the craze surrounding the metaverse, has similarly gained widespread market attention with rapid price increases, just like $SAND and $MANA.

The Chain Oil sector, referencing projects like $GMT and $SAND, has driven the growth of chain oil tokens, enhancing overall market liquidity.

In addition, fields such as stablecoins, re-staking, RWA, DeFi, and NFTs will gradually gain market attention, but these usually begin to activate only after the major sectors' growth rates start to slow down.

Ultimately, the market will enter a bear market cycle, with an expected adjustment period of at least three years following the peak of the bull market.

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