The current volatility of Bitcoin is somewhat similar to that of 2019, but this does not mean that the script of 2019 will be completely copied. The following points illustrate this similarity and difference:

1. Timing of interest rate cuts: The interest rate cuts in 2019 occurred earlier, and the market peaked soon after that rate cut. However, the interest rate cuts have not yet begun, which is different from 2019.

2. Market adjustment range: The market in 2019 experienced a sharp adjustment from $14,000 to $6,500, while the current adjustment from $73,800 to $49,000 is smaller, and the intensity of the wash is different.

3. Performance of US stocks: The rebound in 2019 was driven by the bull market in US stocks, and US stocks continued to set new highs.

Now, US stocks have not yet recovered to their previous highs, and the overall performance is slightly weak. Therefore, a direct comparison with the situation in 2019 may not be applicable.

In general, although the current market conditions are somewhat similar to those in 2019, due to the different macroeconomic environment and market conditions, future trends cannot be completely predicted based on the 2019 model.

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In the cryptocurrency world, investors are often caught in a dilemma over whether short-term or long-term operations are more profitable.

Excessive speculation often leads to losses, while a long-term strategy of honest investment may bring more stable returns.

Short-term operations usually refer to frequent buying and selling of popular currencies through incremental funds, using stop-loss orders to protect the principal, and trying to predict short-term fluctuations in currency prices.

If the judgment is accurate, investors will choose to sell at the right time and take profits; if the judgment is wrong, they will close the position at the stop-loss point.

However, short-term operations are risky. If the market suddenly falls or pulls back, investors may miss the stop-loss point and fall into the dilemma of being trapped.

At this time, emotional selling is common, and missing the market rebound, repeated trading will only aggravate losses.

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BAKE was once a popular project. After a period of consolidation, the daily chart shows that its price has stabilized above the moving average again.

Currently, the price of BAKE is around $0.24, and the support in the $0.19-0.24 range is excellent.

The strong pressure level above is around $0.52. If the overall market stabilizes, BAKE is expected to hit $0.5, and the increase is expected to reach 100%.

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At present, the market is very heatedly discussing whether interest rate cuts will trigger a rise and start a bull market.

However, from past experience, expectations of interest rate cuts are often over-hyped.

Taking the performance of the#BitcoinBTC# ETF last year and the halving this year as examples, there is a clear gap between the actual effects of these events and market expectations.

Therefore, the impact of interest rate cuts may not be as strong as expected.

Although the implementation of interest rate cuts will boost market sentiment and increase capital flows in the short term, it does not mean that a bull market will start immediately. Usually, after a rate cut, the market may experience a short-term rebound, followed by a large correction, and finally usher in a sustained reversal rise.

To truly enter a bull market, more macroeconomic policy stimulus may be needed.

For example, if certain policymakers come to power again and launch a series of measures to encourage consumption, this may further promote the development of the crypto market, thereby opening a larger bull market phase.

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The current market is full of FUD, and it is clear that the price has not convinced the market.

The dealer plans to continue to push the performance of the pull-up by suppressing the inscription sector next week, and then ship at a high price when the market is shouting ORDI 1000U.

For FB, despite the amazing rise, not many people actually participate.

The FDV figures have deterred many investors. In addition, the dealer's operation methods are complicated and changeable, and many people have not really seen through the strategy.

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On the hourly chart, PEOPLE shows a head and shoulders bottom pattern, with a current buy point of $0.056.

It is recommended to place a buy order at $0.057 with a target price of $0.065. The stop loss should be set at $0.055.

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In recent days, the trend of Bitcoin has been falling first and then rising after the opening of the US stock market

Today is Friday again. I am really afraid that today's market will be another "Black Friday". The past two weeks have all been falling on Friday. To be honest, I am still a little worried based on the market situation. The trend is not optimistic.

Have you noticed that the market trend after the opening of the US stock market this week is quite regular. The trend of $BTC is falling first and then rising. I don't know how long this pattern will continue

Yesterday, Bitcoin fluctuated slightly with a horizontal decline. At night, after the opening of the US stock market, it fell first and then went up and down. In the second half of the night, the market went up again. It is really a bit unpredictable. The 58,000 US dollar mark must be defended to grind the long and short sides. Which side places a heavy bet, the dog dealer will definitely arrange it.

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SUI rose from $0.75 to $1.1 in a week. The reasons behind this are as follows:

1. USDC will be listed on SUI next week.

2. The recent Mysticeti upgrade has shortened the transaction completion time to about 0.6 seconds.

3. Binance launched SUIUSD futures with 20x leverage.

4. Grayscale officially announced the launch of SUI Trust.

5. Rumor has it that Asian funds bought SUI in OTC transactions.

Strong narratives drive the rise, which has become an inevitable law of the market.

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Which altcoins can be used for long-term investment at this stage?

Features that meet the requirements of long-term investment:

1: More than 70% of the total circulation 2: A relatively large increase from October last year to March this year 3: Currently, the non-small daily and weekly bullish trend currency 4: Good trading depth

Bitcoin ecology: SATS ordi

AI ecology: FET

Game ecology: YGG

Binance series: CAKE

Ethereum series: SSV

MEME series: PEPE

RWA section: OM

Lending section: AAVE

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I haven't bought anything yet, just some BTC, BNB, ORDI, SATs, RATs, and People.

I basically choose altcoins with small market value and full circulation.

Inscription has been really strong recently. Even when Bitcoin fell to 53,000, Inscription was still at 58,000-60,000.

But the position is not big, half of the spot position and half of the USDT position to watch the show.

I didn't buy much altcoins, about 50,000 dollars each.

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If you want to achieve rapid doubling, I believe the following points can help you!

Ever since I entered the industry and started researching, I have relied on 5 iron rules to achieve continuous growth in my account! The content is very short, but every word is like gold. Friends who are destined to read it can understand it and save a few years of detours.

1. I insist on looking at one data every day, which is the number of rising players. Through the changes in this set of data, I can judge the market sentiment. Generally speaking, the number of rising stocks is more than the number of rising stocks, and the market sentiment is stable; then the chance of winning will be greater if I take action at this time. On the contrary, if the number of stacks continues to increase, it is not a good entry point.

2. Keep your thinking clear at all times in the contract. The essence is price, and behind the price is human nature. Different goal expectations will lead to different happiness we get. Most people's expectations are too high, so when they see the price rise, they chase the rise, and they are often trapped. When we receive too much information, it will simultaneously amplify your and my desires. Very few people can distinguish between "stable and slow". Stick to your original intention and always think about getting rich overnight, which is why you often lose money and leave the market, so you have a clear mind and will not be swayed by emotions.

3. The contract is not about the size of the purchase, but about the efficient management of Zijin, especially the strict control of positions. Divide Zijin into short-term, mid-term and long-term according to reasonable planning. No method in the contract is universal. Timely adjustment and making strategies are the core. When it rises, you can cover it, when it falls, you can hold it steady, and when it fluctuates, Can hold it. The premise is that you have your own trading system and strictly implement it in the process.

4. Seize it every year and focus on rising market prices. The cycle of speculation is basically the time of rising waves. It is particularly important to choose the subdivided track. Eliminate those that have risen sharply in the early stage and filter out those that have not yet started at low levels. We only decide to rise and the gains are considerable.

5. Contracting is a hobby, and it is precisely because you like it that you persist. A contract is a miniature version of life, with ups and downs in it. It requires hard work and hard work to reap the fruits. Long-term study and study will slowly see through its inner parts and understand its essence.

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ORDI is still in a downward channel on the daily chart. However, on the 4-hour chart, ORDI has broken through the downward trend line.

However, the upper pressure is at $32.5.

It is recommended to pay attention to whether the trading volume supports further increases.

If the price fails to break through the pressure level of $32.5, it is recommended to gradually take profits.

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The popular narrative of bottom-fishing spot is still centered around the following directions:

ETF-driven concept: For example, assets related to the ETH ecosystem and the SOL ecosystem, these tracks have attracted much attention due to the promotion of ETFs.

Inscription track and traditional Meme coins: Such projects are still popular in the market and are expected to continue to attract speculative funds in the short term.

AI concept: The AI ​​sector is still one of the cores of speculation in the second half of the year and has continued popularity.

RWA track: Recently, OM has hit a new high of 100 times, which has once again heated up the attention of the RWA sector.

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In addition to the MEME sector, RWA (Real World Assets) is the only sector that has not yet fully exploded this year, and it is worth paying close attention to.

In the past year, the market value of RWA has increased by 1373%, leading other tracks. The following are the three hot projects in the RWA sector:

1. ONDO: The spot price is $0.63. It is a leading project supported by BlackRock. Its core advantage lies in integrating traditional finance into blockchain and its ability to attract traditional liquidity.

2. OM: The spot price is $1.07. It cooperates with Dubai MAG Group and focuses on real estate tokenization. It has an important industry influence.

3. PENDLE: The spot price is $3.5. It is a platform focused on tokenized income.

To learn about specific opportunities and specific decisions, click on the avatar to follow and see the homepage

Despite the recent security vulnerability attack, it has successfully protected most of its assets, demonstrating the robustness of its platform.

The RWA sector is expected to usher in a greater outbreak in the future, which is worthy of investors' attention.

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FB has 210 million coins, and now has 30U, which means a market value of 6 billion.

Ordi has 600 million and Meilin has 500 million in the same period; FB is 10 times theirs.

Stack has 3 billion, and FB is 2 times its value.

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Ethereum market analysis on September 12

Currently, Ethereum is in the B wave consolidation stage, and it is expected to usher in the C wave rise later.

Suggestion: Consider going long when it pulls back to around $2,300.

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CPI data has been released, with a growth rate of 2.5%, in line with expectations. It is expected that the market may experience a trend of falling first and then rising. The current volatility is not large, but there may be a retracement in the short term, and you can consider entering the market at that time.

The market is expected to become more active around 22:30.

The support level is set at 55,500, and the pressure level is in the range of 58,000-59,500.

It is recommended to pay attention to the bullish opportunities in the 59,500 area, and the target price of Ethereum is set at 2,450.

If you want to know specific opportunities and specific decisions, click on the avatar to follow the homepage

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For ordinary people, you can earn 500,000 yuan by learning this skill in 1 minute.

If you only have 2e in your hand.

I suggest you only play memes with a market value of less than 5,000$.

2e is divided into 20 transactions, each of 0.1e.

Stalk Musk and Trump's tweets, look for and wait for keywords, and then find contracts on the chain.

Or find them to ambush in contracts that have fallen by dozens of times.

From 2e to 70,000$.

Repeat, persist, and be firm.

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Next, will the cryptocurrency market plummet or take off? Let's find the answer through historical laws.
Reviewing the past few big drops:

2017: Before the bull market broke out, after the "94 incident", the price of Bitcoin was halved, and the altcoins fell by 80%-90%.

March 12, 2020: Bitcoin plummeted 63%, and altcoins generally fell by 90%-95%.

September 2020: Bitcoin fell less, only 20%, but the DeFi sector pulled back 90%.

May 19, 2021: Bitcoin was halved again, and the altcoins fell between 80%-90%.

From March 2024 to now: Bitcoin has pulled back by up to 33%, and altcoins have still fallen by 80%-90%.

Logically, with such a large drop, the market should rebound. However, the market has plummeted again in recent days, and panic has spread. Many people came to chat with me yesterday and revealed their losses: some lost 6 million, 1 million, and some lost 3 million.

Most people face losses, some are book losses, some are real losses, especially those investors who added leverage and played contracts, they may be liquidated overnight, and all the money they earned before will be returned to the market.

Now many people have suffered serious losses in the currency circle, their tempers have become irritable, and they frequently quarrel with others. In fact, this is completely unnecessary. Accepting different opinions is part of growth. Time will prove whose judgment is more accurate.

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Someone asked about tonight's CPI and this month's interest rate cuts. I'll just say two simple words:

The possibility of CPI being positive is greater than negative. In the short term, the market may fluctuate violently, and the ups and downs may continue all night, so this is not the time to make a mindless layout in advance.

What you can do is to operate according to the key positions I gave before.

If the market price reaches these positions, you can consider making a layout. The release of CPI data may bring opportunities for trading volume and volatility.

At present, the focus is on the support levels of 560 and 545 to see if they can be maintained.

As for the interest rate cut, it is basically certain to start this month. This will bring a period of volatility, and the positives will mainly be reflected in the process. Bitcoin will not soar immediately after the announcement of the interest rate cut and will not pull back.

For other currencies, such as Ethereum, ORDI, and Dogecoin, you can refer to the trend of Bitcoin for operation.

If you want to know about specific opportunities and decisions, click on the avatar to follow the homepage

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