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Pro Crypto Trader - Market Analyst - Sharing Market Insights | Since 2017 | Twitter/X @CryptoMaster_07
Bitcoin has stabilized and fluctuated excessively over the past two days. Early yesterday morning, it quickly rose to the 106770 level, facing resistance. The overall pattern still shows a wide range of fluctuations. We cannot view it as extremely strong or weak; we should find a range to mainly trade the fluctuations. For today, we will still look for high points to short and low points to go long. There is still upward pressure!
From a technical structure perspective, the daily line has not stabilized, and the closing line has not reversed the bearish effect. The high point at the integer level of 107000 has not continued, and the pressure testing rhythm and sentiment are all contained within. In particular, the 4-hour short-term performance is very evident, oscillating between the upper and lower Bollinger bands. This week, it has been fluctuating. Although it has not broken the fluctuation range pattern-wise, the prolonged sideways time is also unfavorable for going long.
Therefore, regarding the current pattern, the technical structure, supported by the bearish effect, still has a further testing of the lower track in the short term. In terms of operation, it is still mainly short, looking for a continuation to pull back once. Short-term pressure is at 106500, with support at 103500.
Bitcoin evening suggestion: rebound in the 105600-106300 area! Target looking at the 104300-103800 area.
The current Bitcoin market is indeed greatly influenced by macro factors. After the market reached a new high, Trump called for a downturn. Last Friday afternoon, he suddenly announced a 50% tariff increase on Europe starting June 1, leading to a bearish drop in the market. Although there were signs of a rebound afterwards, it failed to quickly recover lost ground, and the bullish pattern was broken. During the weekend, there wasn't much movement, and the market continued to oscillate, showing some activity, but it was mostly in a state of pressure testing!
However, this morning, Trump backtracked and announced a postponement of the tariffs until July 9, triggering a rapid surge. Currently, there is a slight indication of continuing breakout potential, but today is Monday, and the market is closed, so the probability of breaking new highs at this point is low. Therefore, from today's perspective, we first look for a pullback before moving up!
In the technical structure, the 4-hour level shows signs of stabilizing above the moving average and continuing to push upwards. The auxiliary indicators are all showing bullish momentum, and the morning's formation is relatively bullish. The trend hasn't changed, but facing the resistance at 110,000, the rebound is in a step-by-step manner, so we can first look around the pressure level before moving down again. Thus, all operations should follow the technical structure and market expectation signals, with a slight rebound in the evening before moving down again!
Bitcoin evening suggestion: Rebound in the 110,000-110,800 range! Target looking at the 108,500-107,500 range.
Friday morning, the volatility continues, still favoring short positions!
Regarding today: After breaking through 105000 on Monday, the trend did not continue, and the attempt to test the 106000 area was insufficient, indicating that pressure still exists. Currently, we are maintaining a range-bound consolidation, and although there have been multiple upward tests, there has been no breakthrough at the key resistance level. In this oscillation rhythm, the more times the top is tested without breaking, the higher the probability of a decline.
In the past few days, there has been continuous back-and-forth in the range, accompanied by a certain washing-out sentiment. The overnight pattern still shows volatility, and the upward pressure remains. For today, it is still primarily short positions. The high point at the 105800 area is unlikely to be tested today; we will see if there is a certain strength in the rebound during the US session. During the day, adjustments should still be expected. Support is concentrated in the 101500 area, with resistance above at 104800. In the short term, we first look for a round of adjustments, and after that, we will consider going long!
Today is Friday, and if a breakout occurs, it will likely happen during the US session, so everyone should try to lighten their positions!
Bitcoin morning suggestion: rebound in the 104300-104800 area! Targeting the 102800 area, continuing to 101500!
Lastly, I emphasize, lighten positions, and be cautious!
Brothers, what can I say, this afternoon again suggested to do the K-line, enter at 102700 during the session, look at 101500 for a perfect cash out, easily take down 1200, the idea is so simple and clear, still don’t know how to play? #币安Alpha上新 #CPI数据来袭 #贸易战缓和
Thursday afternoon, from a technical structure perspective, the daily price is still consolidating at a high level, but the auxiliary indicators show a golden cross with decreasing volume, and the fast and slow lines show signs of a dead cross. This suggests that there is a demand for a price pullback and decline in the short term; the current K-line pattern on the four-hour chart is consecutive bearish, with the price below the moving average. The auxiliary indicators are running in a dead cross, and the moving average resistance is around the 103000 area, with signals being quite clear. The hourly chart shows that the price has been under pressure and pulled back in the morning, with the current K-line pattern showing consecutive bearishness and the auxiliary indicators running in a dead cross, indicating that there is still a continuation within the day.
Therefore, in terms of short-term operations, the focus remains on high selling, with the upper area continuing to rely on the 102500-103000 region for selling, targeting the lower area of 101500-100500.
Bitcoin yesterday, the daily line was overbought and there was a need for a pullback, but due to the positive CPI data, the price continued to rise. However, yesterday's spike and retreat confirmed my judgment. Although it is still mainly in a volatile consolidation phase, we must remain vigilant about the risk of a pullback!
From a technical structure perspective, the daily level is overall in a volatile upward trend, but based on recent overall performance, the market has clearly entered a phase of adjustment. Yesterday's spike and retreat resulted in a bearish candle with an upper shadow, and today continues to decline. It has now broken below the daily MA7 moving average, with important support to watch at the 98 level in the short term. On the 4-hour chart, yesterday's rebound reached the 1048 position, hitting a recent high before starting to turn down. It is currently in a small downward trend in volatility, and there is still a need to continue declining during the Asian trading session.
Bitcoin Afternoon Suggestion: Rebound in the 102800-103500 area! Target looks at the 101500 area, continuation is 100000!
Yesterday, with favorable CPI, the short-term presented a good state of the economy, but the market's gains were clearly limited. The good stability of the economy can no longer drive further increases in risk assets. On the contrary, better economic data could significantly delay the expectations for interest rate cuts, which is unfavorable for the risk market. Therefore, the current good economic data is slowly not turning into good data for the risk market. If we want to stimulate interest rate cuts, the upcoming employment data is hoped to be 'bad data';
From a technical structure perspective, the daily price is still in a strong range above the upper track and MA7. Although the trend remains strong, with MA7 continuously moving up, the price has not further broken through. BTC price is about to fall below the strong range, and the bottom of the daily range still shows slight divergence. Currently, although the hourly level shows a strong trend, there is still a need for correction in the daily range, coupled with the RSI daily index remaining in overbought territory, indicating a strong need for correction at the daily level. Therefore, the operation should still maintain a focus on short positions!
For Bitcoin's short-term operations this evening, we can short at the minor resistance levels of 104700 and 105300, targeting the short-term support at 103200, and the key position at the four-hour bottom of 101900.
Finally, emphasize, be cautious and light on your positions!
In terms of news, the tariff policy has temporarily come to a pause, and the price trend has also returned to calm, currently in a range-bound fluctuation; previously, the price was greatly influenced by the news and surged strongly, but after several trading days of consumption and conclusion, there has been a significant retracement. This indicates that the upward trend may need to slow down. Why is that? First: In terms of trend, there has been no continuation; yesterday's price retracement was too strong, breaking below the support level. The rebound after midnight is just a correction; second: The consumption of news, the market's bullish enthusiasm is in a phase of moderation. This summarizes the current situation of news and the trend.
Regarding today, the daily candlestick closed with a small bearish candle yesterday, and the candlestick pattern shows consecutive bearish retracements, with the price still at a high level. The indicators in the appended chart are in a golden cross, indicating that the overall trend is still bullish; however, due to the current trend and the consumption of news, the price has entered a range-bound fluctuation. The resistance level is around 103000, and the support level is around 100600. In the short-term four-hour chart, the candlestick pattern shows consecutive bearish formations with the indicators in a death cross. The current price rebound has approached the resistance level, and the price was clearly suppressed during the European and American trading sessions yesterday, with a rebound correction after midnight, but the pressure on the price is very obvious. Therefore, it is highly likely that after facing pressure during the day, the price will still decline. Thus, for short-term operations, the focus is on short positions!
Bitcoin afternoon suggestion: Rebound in the 103000-103500 range! Target at 101500, and continuation towards 100000!
Finally, I emphasize, trade lightly, avoid heavy losses!
Trade negotiations boost sentiment, U.S. stocks open higher, with the three major U.S. stock indices surging at the opening: the Dow Jones up 2.6%, the S&P 500 up nearly 3%, and the Nasdaq up 4%. Apple (AAPL.O) rises 5.8%, amid reports that it is considering raising the prices of new iPhone products this fall. Tesla (TSLA.O) rises 6.9%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) rises 5.1%. Pharmaceutical stocks open lower, with Eli Lilly (LLY.N) down 0.9%, and Novo Nordisk (NVO.N) down 2.4%.
Bitcoin clearly indicates a bullish signal at 106,000, A large midday surge! Bulls cashing out! Everyone stand up and cheer!
Current spikes and pullbacks do not affect continuity, Bulls are still in the trend, continuing to look for bullish formations. Reference the 103,500 area, Continue to look bullish at 106,000, If stabilized and continued, look for 110,000! #本周高光时刻 #BTC重返10万
Thanks to Chuan Chuan, as Bitcoin approaches a new high, the risks are increasing, with public opinion monitoring data close to a historical high of around 78%! A double top is nearing, and now we are in a game of negotiations between China and the US; we can only trust half of what Chuan Chuan says! The Chinese side's position is the most straightforward aspect of the final result! At this stage, the odds have already decreased significantly. It's still the old saying: be greedy in fear and cautious in greed. Although many people may not like what we say, based on data and news, we strive to speak the truth! Manage your positions well!
Yesterday, Bitcoin once again welcomed a surge in bullish volume, but after failing to break the 105,000 level, it began to pull back under pressure, and the current price has returned to around 103,700, fluctuating. Last week, after a long period of contraction and consolidation, with the weakening of the US dollar, the price was boosted to stabilize and break through the initial high point of the week, continuing to reach new highs in the short term, and the daily line closed steadily at a high position. Temporarily, the trend looks to continue upwards, with a back-and-forth rhythm, maintaining an upward fluctuation.
From a technical structure perspective, the daily line level yesterday closed with a small bullish candle, with a K-line pattern of consecutive bullish movements, and the price is above the moving average. The sub-chart indicator is running with a golden cross, and the overall upward trend is very obvious, whether in terms of current technical trends or news stimuli, it is strong. However, we still need to pay attention to two issues: First: Watch for price retracements and correction trends, so manage risks well; Second: The price correction trend, as the current price has deviated from the moving average, the daily line may return to the moving average support position around the 102,300 area; in the short term hourly chart, last night the price surged to the 105,000 area under pressure and pulled back. The current K-line pattern is a series of bearish candles followed by a bullish candle, indicating a necessary correction in the short term, with the lower support at the 103,000 area, so in my short-term operations, we should focus on buying low.
Bitcoin morning suggestion: Retrace to the 102,500-103,300 area! Target looking at the 105,000 area, and the continuation is 106,000!
Finally, emphasize, be cautious and light-hearted!
I would like to apologize to everyone here. Recently, due to various matters, I have delayed the daily updates. I have seen everyone’s messages. Now that the issues have been resolved, I am here to complete the updates as soon as possible. Thank you all for your continuous support and companionship. Thank you!
Recently, the market has been completely dominated by news. In terms of trends, there is no need to say more about the strong performance. After a three-month correction, BTC has once again crossed the 100,000 mark and shows signs of hitting new highs. Therefore, we need to invest more energy and caution in the upcoming trades. I hope everyone can keep up with the rhythm and seize the market together!
Regarding today, Friday, the daily chart closed with a large bullish candle yesterday, and the K-line pattern shows consecutive upward movements. The price is above the moving average, and the auxiliary indicators are showing a golden cross. The overall trend is clearly upwards. After three consecutive trading days of corrective movements this week, yesterday’s price saw a significant increase due to news influence, breaking previous highs continuously. However, it should be noted that the current price has deviated from the moving average, so we should first look for a pullback support before entering long positions on the daily chart. In the short-term hourly chart, after the price reached a high this morning, it faced resistance and retreated. The current K-line pattern shows consecutive bearish candles, and the auxiliary indicators are showing a death cross, indicating a high probability of a pullback correction during the day.
For my short-term operations, we will short on rebounds and short at highs; the principle remains unchanged. For the market participants, I suggest focusing on the 103,000-103,800 area today! Look for a pullback to the 101,500 area, with continuity at 100,500!
Finally, I want to emphasize, be cautious and light-footed!
Monday evening, speaking clearly and plainly! Should have eaten meat by now? On the plate 85700 rise, 84400 exit Eating down 1300 of the decline! $BTC #巨鲸动向 #美国半导体关税
Deliveries are made to the 85000 area at noon, with 700 points in place! In a fluctuating market, both long and short operations have profit opportunities; the key lies in the entry position. If the position is chosen well, the operations will be more confident.
Tonight, pay close attention to the 85500-86200 resistance level. If it cannot break through, there will be a short-term pullback with a target down to the 83800 area.
After Bitcoin surged to the upper boundary of 86100 on the 4-hour chart yesterday, there was a pullback. Today, the price quickly surged again. The fluctuations at this stage are normal, as we exchange time for space. There have already been two tests of the middle line today, where support has been found to stop the decline and rebound. For the market to weaken and move downward, the middle line is the first position that needs to be broken. Currently, the continuation of long and short positions is insufficient, and the pattern remains weak in the background. For intraday operations, maintain a high short and low long strategy. At present, we can rely on the upper resistance of 85500-86200, with a target looking down at 83800-82300, touching but not breaking. $BTC #巨鲸动向 #美国半导体关税 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
It seems this Monday is going to be another 'black' one. Recently, affected by unreliable factors, a series of emotional fluctuations combined with buying pressure have led to a washout. The night before last, Trump announced a tariff exemption policy, and as soon as this news broke, the market surged immediately. The price of the currency shot up to the 86100 area in one go. Initially, it was thought that Monday could take advantage of the positive news, but in the end, it caught everyone off guard. It appears to be a united front, but in reality, internal information leaks frequently ahead of time, causing an imbalance in market expectations, which has happened before. The script of the 90-day tariff suspension has just been played out. The market has also been quite choppy these days, and short-term traders should try to wait to avoid being caught off guard!
The rumors about electronic equipment tariffs have not yet settled, and then they were personally denied by Ater, turning what should have been a quietly released positive signal into a chaotic signal on stage. The result is: those that should rise dare not rise, and those that should stabilize dare not stabilize. Ater and Lutnick operate as if they are a duo operating system of the Federal Reserve and Powell, frequently disrupting their own market rhythm. Overall, the market is currently in a very delicate stage. Positive news can bring short-term rebounds, but there is heavy pressure above; negative news may trigger violent fluctuations. In this environment, the best strategy is to control positions.
Looking at today, the pressure at 86700 has not been broken, and the short-term 4-hour chart has shown obvious signs of overbought on the right side. As it approaches 86700, it is nearing the end of the rebound. The upper track of the Bollinger system has already come under pressure, and the moving averages have not crossed above. If today continues to follow the 4-hour channel with adjustments and washouts, it is highly likely to return to this downward channel, repeating yesterday's washout and today's washout situation! The biggest risk now is not the technical aspect but the policy news aspect, which is unpredictable.
Therefore, in short-term operations, the focus should still be on shorting, with the upper area relying on 84000-84800 as a support level, targeting the lower area of 82200-81300.
The United States has started to stir things up again!!!
The tariff exemptions were seen by us as the end of the tariff increases, but in fact, it is only temporary. The main goal is to reduce national debt yields before the trade war. The U.S. Secretary of Commerce stated at the meeting that electronics tariffs "will be restored in a month or two," with no timetable, adding uncertainty to the market about what the future holds, which is quite unclear!
The White House will announce tariffs on semiconductor/technology products next month, and this uncertainty is causing confusion in the market. Trump's tariff measures have seen a series of reversals, leading to a massive sell-off in the $29 trillion U.S. Treasury market last week.
It is very likely that more information on Trump's semiconductor tariffs tomorrow will involve reclassification rather than reductions!
There are too many uncertainties during this period; operations must be cautious to avoid getting trapped or swept away by news. A double kill in both directions, with significant fluctuations.
Brothers, let's take off together, Ether clearly indicates to do 1570, Short-term target 70 points! Simple and clear, stick to the plan!$BTC #巨鲸动向 #特朗普暂停新关税
Precise strategy, needs to be executed! Have a dream, then keep it simple! Just two words. Trust. 👆The car is to fly together! Evening clear prompt 83500 to do more, accurately hit, already 1200 points in the account! $BTC #巨鲸动向 #特朗普暂停新关税
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