I have taught thousands of people offline and tens of thousands of people online. Thinking about it brings back a lot of memories. We have also contributed to the popularization of blockchain. There are still many newbies in this industry. I look for the right opportunity to share my trading logic and ideas after multiple bull and bear cycles. Maybe I can do something valuable.
Nerio, this guy, according to the previous wave of rising logic, the dealer should reach around 0.0028 before pulling back. There is no rush to short now. As long as it does not drop below the 2-hour Bollinger middle band, there will be no pullback. Patience is key. $NEIRO
After the U.S. election, the stock market's upward momentum continued for four consecutive weeks, but the Dow Jones index fell slightly due to a pullback in some "Trump-related" stocks.
The S&P 500 index rose 0.6% to 5961 points, approaching the 6000-point mark. The Nasdaq Composite index increased by 1.3%. The Dow, however, fell by 25 points, or about 0.1%.
All three major indices have reached historical new highs over the past three weeks, so any gains today will mark a new milestone.
In the sector level, yesterday's biggest winners saw a pullback: the S&P 500 materials sector fell by 1.1%, the energy sector dropped by 0.8%, and the industrial sector declined by 0.2%. This may be because these sectors had surged significantly after Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton, prompting investors to take profits.
Trump's policies on drilling and deregulation have benefited these sectors more than others.
Today's main winners are non-essential consumer goods, technology, telecommunications, real estate, and utility sectors.
U.S. Treasury bonds are also rising, with the 2-year Treasury yield falling to 4.228% and the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to 4.369%. After Trump's victory, the bond market had previously reacted by pushing yields up due to expectations that his policies might bring about inflation.
In addition to election-related trading, Wall Street is closely watching today's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Although the market broadly expects a 0.25 percentage point cut today, the future direction of policy remains contentious. Any comments from Federal Reserve Chair Powell could influence the market.
The S&P 500 is currently rising, but only 280 of its constituents are expected to close higher. The Dow is being dragged down by a few financial and industrial stocks like JPMorgan Chase, American Express, Caterpillar, and Goldman Sachs. Among the 30 constituents of the Dow, about 17 stocks are expected to rise today.
Due to the impact of the election, Trump won, and the dealer took advantage of the momentum. BTC has continuously broken through previous highs, reaching the current highest price of 76849. It seems like a scene of endless surging and turbulent waves. However, looking back, most retail investors still haven't made money. I've thought about a few points. 1. Most retail investors do not own BTC, or own very little. Many hold ETH, but ETH has been stagnant in the early stages, fluctuating repeatedly, and most people have already exited the market, holding very few that remain steadfast. 2. Almost all retail investors are heavily invested in altcoins. Many entered at high prices in March. Currently, we are only seeing a rebound, still only reaching half of the price, or 3/1. Many have just returned to break-even, and many haven't returned at all. The current market funding is not a flood of capital; it is almost entirely BTC's performance. 3. Contract players, although many have opened long positions this time, many will not hold positions for long. Speculators, if you let them hold until the next day, don't even think about it; many have already closed their positions, earning only small profits. Seeing some coins rise by 20-30 points is at most just a pat on the thigh; I once owned it. 4. Contract players often close their long positions early; gamblers like me can open short positions, but very few can endure opening at the top area. I believe most people will open short positions a bit early, either getting stuck a few points or 10 points. In any case, they are always in the cycle of trying to break even, making money, and getting stuck. Looking at BTC right now, yesterday's candlestick formed a doji pattern. Although the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates, I actually mentioned this earlier, at most 25 points. It's all within expectations, and the surge yesterday did not break through 80k, indicating that it was just retail investors chasing highs, driven by emotions. Currently, MACD has had two golden crosses and has reached a high position, entering a risky area. Don't bet on a tail-end market; at least you should set a trailing stop-loss. If today's candlestick cannot break through the previous high, then the bullish momentum has already weakened. As for support, the short-term support is around 72736, but the more crazy you are, the more desperate you will be afterward, with ultimate support potentially pulling down by 10,000 points near 66000. The one-hour chart has already diverged multiple times, and the upward momentum is declining. At this time, reduce positions and take profits at highs. A sudden surge is not a reason for you to buy in, but an opportunity to exit. $BTC
Musk spent $44 billion to acquire Twitter two years ago. Many investors and opinion leaders felt that Musk made a loss. Now it seems that Twitter is worth more than $100 billion. In June 2010, Max posted his first tweet. By the time he acquired Twitter in 2022, he had more than 80 million followers. In December 2017, someone suggested that Musk acquire Twitter, and Max's response was "How much?" Twitter has both commercial and political value, which is something that both Max and Trump are well aware of. In this US election, everyone from the New York Times in the United States to economists in the United Kingdom were ashamed. Why are these traditional mainstream media so depressed? $BTC
What was the key to Harris' defeat? The defeat of the Democratic Party is closely related to the severe inflation in the United States in recent years and the declining living conditions of the working class. Of course, it also includes immigration issues, gender issues, etc. The U.S. stock market has risen, but only the wealthy have benefited. In addition to his affinity, Harris's other advantages are not obvious. For example, compare with Hillary Clinton. Hillary graduated from Yale Law School, while Harris graduated from a regular law school. Hillary served as secretary of state and could speak eloquently about international politics and economics, while Harris only served as a virtual vice president. , afraid of facing reporters’ questions. Of course, one bullet did help the election. $BTC #美联储利率决议来袭
Long orders, all done. All the coin-based contracts have been cleared today. Short contracts, control your positions. All of them have been opened. Whether it blows up later or you make money, it has nothing to do with me. I only know that my logic of looking at the market has reached the extremely risky area. In fact, my brain is also sick. I want to be a teacher every day. Aren’t all leeks like this? They like to hang out here, look there, listen to news here, and find information there. Indeed, sometimes I underestimate the push of emotions. I estimated that when Trump came to power, it would be around 73,600, but I didn’t expect it to be nearly 77,000. I was slapped in the face. In this currency circle, heroes are not judged by the moment. It is better to live longer than to make a lot of money. Just stick to your own logic of looking at the market. I don’t want to take any orders, and send less buying and selling information. Because as long as he follows the order, it doesn’t open to the lowest or highest, as long as he is trapped. They all curse. I wanted to create a group, but then I thought, you should wait. If you shout orders in public, no matter you make a profit or a loss, someone will scold you. Some people don't understand what you posted. As for this wave of market, it is already at the end of the fish market. If you want to have a pattern, you should go long, but you must bring a stop loss. As for shorting, anyway, if the position is well controlled, it will generally not be blown up. That's all I know. As for those who want to reach 80,000, I dare not say that it can't reach it, because Trump has just been elected, at least there should be some room for operation in the market behind. Pull the bow to the full at once, and in the next stage, harvest, how much effort will it take to rush. What you are crazy about is what the dealer wants. When distributing chips to you, aren't they all using news, waving flags and shouting, to lure you into the car? As for the Fed's interest rate cut in the future, is it a rising cash cow or a short-lived guillotine, TND, no one knows? In the fish tail market, those who do spot trading really need to reduce their positions. At least you have to do a moving stop profit, and the longer you are, the more you sell. For those who do contracts, short orders can be placed, just control the position. You asked for specific points, no way, no one is a god. Anyway, I am on the train. Anyway, make money or lose money, I only need to be responsible for myself. I can't control your wealth. Because once the price of the currency rises, all the masters who can and can't will appear.This happened in the last bull market. $BTC
Neri, I have made several waves in the past two days. I have made several long waves and short waves. I just took part of the profit and now I will stop the loss at the current price. $NEIRO
At this time, those who warn of risks are indeed more annoying than those who shout about 100k or 150k. There’s nothing to be done; having been in the crypto space for many years, during such madness, or it may continue for a few more days. Most people have already been misled by their emotions. Indeed, from a long-term perspective, looking at the daily and weekly charts, BTC has a good shape. Moreover, there’s the favorable news of Trump being elected. Many people will take a gamble and jump in. However, my market logic has already indicated that we have reached a risk zone. It is time to reduce positions on highs. If you are trading contracts, you can also consider entering with a small position now. Risks mostly arise when the shape is good, suddenly dropping, catching many people off guard. The small cycles have diverged, and the upward momentum is actually weakening. Divergence can still lead to upward movement, but the risks are increasingly high. Indeed, in these past days, good news has been constant. It may go higher. But most people who incur significant losses are not in a bear market; they are caught in a mad surge, as greed can blind your eyes. For altcoins, it is really important to reduce positions on highs; even if you do not reduce positions, you should be prepared to set movable stop losses and lock in profits. At this time, calling out risks can block people's paths to wealth. The extreme fear of entering the market has not yet arrived. This is not the time for long positions or to enter spot trades. It may be easy to stop loss, but taking profits is indeed very difficult. Because we are here to make money in this market. If you want me to take profits at 75,000, what if it rises to 80,000? Aren't you cutting off my path to wealth? In this market, risks and opportunities coexist. No one will be responsible for your USDT. Ultimately, the decision is still yours. Really, don’t get too high. Those shorting also face risks because you cannot place orders at the very peak; you need to be prepared for the risk of being stuck. You can only control your position well. Anyone who comes to this market to gamble big, to determine life and death, even if you win once, there will always come a day when you will blow up and go to zero. In the crypto world, as long as you don’t leave, as long as your gambling addiction for contracts doesn’t stop, and you often consume in large doses, there will always be a time when it will backfire. Contracts are not a gambling tool; they are just a way of trading. I have never dared to predict that BTC will rise to 80k, 90k, or 100k, because I am not the one putting up the money or pulling the market. Speaking like this, could it be considered bragging?
Last night, many people stayed up late, possibly to make money or to monitor the market. This surge, we really have to thank Trump’s election; I didn’t expect emotions to be this crazy. In the current area, I just want to say we have reached an extreme risk zone. Hurry and leave, BTC is surging, and now most coins have stagnated, with 2.57 trillion in the market, most of which can only support BTC's performance. Making money, really at this time, reduce positions on the rise. Reduce positions. For individual coins or altcoins, if you're afraid of missing the sell-off, I recommend taking profits on half. Keep half with a stop-loss at the current price. From a daily perspective, there was a super large increase yesterday, indicating that the main funds have entered. Utilizing emotions and good news, it’s continuously surging; currently, there is only one indicator. When there’s high volume at a peak, it’s time to run; even if you run wrong, you still need to run. Don’t eat the whole fish. Don't gamble on the tail end of the fish market; there’s still over 100k left. Since this surge has been so crazy, the subsequent correction and crash will be extremely brutal and bloody. Right now, I still suggest opening a short at the current position of 75452, with a stop-loss at the previous high of 76400. For contracts, it’s different from spot trading; when we take profits in spot, we just leave. In contracts, we have to gamble; the current price is the highest. Currently, there is no pressure, to be honest. It’s all from the long-short ratio, which has already reached an extreme short territory. From all previous trends, 0.66, it might push up a bit more, but at this time, it is definitely a shorting area. You can’t judge the peak because there’s no previous high, no pressure reference. On the four-hour level, the candlestick has shown signs of selling; although the small cycle reference is not significant, it also proves that the major player shows signs of offloading. We are just gamblers, TMD, it’s time to short. But don’t over-leverage; being over-leveraged is the real gambler's mindset. In the crypto space, if you want to live long, position management is extremely important; don’t envy those who make tens of thousands of U in a day; they are risking their lives. You’ll find that those who end up jumping off buildings, committing suicide, or losing their families are those who are high-stakes gamblers. At this time, I personally recommend that even if BTC is consolidating and fluctuating at high levels, absolutely do not go long or enter in spot. After the madness, it will slowly brew a sharp drop. Remember, without crying or shouting, without technical analysis, surrendering is not an opportunity to enter the spot market. Just wait. For contracts, BTC, you can short now. $BTC
Today is a thrilling day. Trump is gambling, and the winners will be the kings and the losers will be the bandits. We, the leeks in the cryptocurrency circle, are betting that he can win. If it weren't for him, I would say good things about PUA, digital assets, and big cakes. I believe that whether he becomes president or not has nothing to do with those of us who have only a few coins in our pockets. But one thing is certain, after all, he is now in the White House. Many future economic policies with the East should be closely related to us. I don't hope for anything, but I hope that after he takes office, it will be easier for us to make money, climb over the wall, and withdraw money. Today's surge has really not been seen for a long time. It is a full-line rise. Big coins, small coins, and CX coins have all come up, with climaxes one after another, and you chase me. I thought the economy was bad in the past two years and everyone had no money. It seems that I made a wrong judgment. Today's pull-up, the total market value of encryption, directly reached 250 million. At present, in 2 hours, macd is already at an extremely high level, and there should be a trend of callback at present. At this time, if you ask people to short, most people don't dare, because they are trembling with fear today because of this kind of pullback. To be honest, at this time, from the perspective of order making and from the perspective of high position, it is actually possible to short. The current price is 74568, and it can be shorted. But you have to set a stop loss, the previous high, 75407. In the past two days, because Trump took office, the policy has not been released, and many things are unknown, but the dealer has raised the price of the currency in order to harvest retail investors. He will not always carry the sedan chair for retail investors. At present, my logic of watching the market is that this is already an extremely dangerous area. Anyway, it is right to reduce your position when the price rises. It is also right to open a short position now. Just bring a stop loss. There are no technical indicators to speak of for today's rise. It is all driven by emotions, and it is all dealer funds entering the market to pull the market. Then the decline and plunge in the future are the same. We are originally in a Shura field. Many times, we can only rely on our own guesses about the market and the dealer's mind. From the current 2-hour pattern, there is a large amount of capital outflow, and the small rebound is also shrinking. The price of the currency has been declining since its high point, indicating that the momentum for its rise is waning. I am short, can I get a group of people to stand guard with me?How can I be the only one to lose money? Don't you think so? $BTC #BTC创历史新高
What's wrong? Isn't Trump in power, about to soar into the sky? I didn't watch the news just now, is it true he is in power or has he reversed the situation? This morning, BTC was indeed around 74000, I suggest everyone to short. I recommend taking profits and reducing positions, shorting at high levels. There is indeed pressure. Because as soon as you talk, someone comes to scold you. To mock you. Because the vast majority of retail investors only believe in news and never look at the current position. My trading logic reminds me that reaching this height is an extremely dangerous area. Sometimes, the manipulators use news to drive prices up to harvest retail investors. Well, here we are. Trump, Musk, gaining fame and fortune. You cheer for them, and they come down with their swords, leaving casualties everywhere. Anyway, the campaign money is all from the retail investors. I once wrote an article. Regardless of whether they win the election, both of them have already won big. They bought BTC at 33000. Just sold and made billions. Let me mention, when I trade contracts, I always use small positions. I just need some pocket money. After so many years in the crypto circle, those impressive guys who enter with millions, once they get addicted to contracts, generally can’t quit. Usually, it takes at least six months, at most a year, and then they chat, saying, 'Bro, V me 50 for a meal.' I once held 50 BTC, 1500 ETH, with that kind of arrogance in the crypto circle, holding something impressive. In the end, they will definitely be taught a lesson by their ignorance and arrogance. If you want to make big money, or think I’m just a one-trick pony, please either block me or turn right out the door. This market always has a hundred ways to harvest those who listen to news, follow trades, gamble on luck, and are arrogant and insincere. As for myself, I also need more practice. Sometimes I may misjudge. But there’s nothing I can do; I’m quite stubborn, refusing to admit mistakes. Anyway, I won’t cut losses on my 72000 BTC that’s stuck. I have my ant position, I’m not afraid of anything. Just endure for a few days, I’ll be back. Making enough for a pig's foot rice to fill my stomach will suffice. Congratulations to you who are making big money. $BTC #美国大选后涨或跌? #BTC创历史新高
Just hit 75,000, did you explode? Although I opened a position around 72,000, it wasn't just opened recently. It was opened before the last major drop. It's just that it hasn't reached my liquidation zone yet, so I've been holding on. Although I'm currently stuck, I don't believe that it can immediately rise to 80k or 100k. My forced liquidation price is around 100k, and if you really go up, feel free to slap my face. Currently, it seems that there are signs of selling in the hour, although it's a bit of a gamble, if it were me, I would also short here. The rise is definitely for selling. I believe that those who chased the rise today are not just a few, but a whole truckload. Everyone only sees the immediate revelry and doesn't see the desolation of miscalculation. In my market watching mentality, this has already entered a risk zone, I can only suggest reducing positions on rallies and shorting on rallies. As for you saying that I harm people deeply, then I can't help it. Extreme greed is the arrival of risk, and deep fear is the arrival of opportunity. You say you made money this time, and I congratulate you. And I also haven't said that you can't go long, I've been saying for the past two days, you can go long on the altcoins, I've also been going long on altcoins, but please just set a stop loss. To be honest, I've closed all my long positions now. Right now, I only have short positions. It's over, if it really goes to 80k or 100k, is there any hope for me? As for you saying that the bull is here, unstoppable, Trump is in power, and the coin price is going to Mars, that's your business. What I'm doing is that this is already a risk area, whether you leave or not is your business now. Anyway, I'm leaving. $BTC #BTC触及7W5
Nerio, take some profits first. Trump and Harris are not only competing but also determining life and death. I certainly don't want to help them gamble. In fact, from the current pattern, Nerio, we are still at the bottom, but BTC is high. Any situation could happen now. If Trump rolls up and leaves, then the whole world will celebrate with fireworks 🎉 I don't know if it's loud outside, but the crypto world will definitely be buzzing. $NEIRO
I said before, I'm not a dead bear; I just mean that in my market analysis logic, the current price is in a risk zone. I believe last night, many people were liquidated and died. In the current market affected by news, if you chase the ups, you die, and if you chase the downs, you might also die. Smart retail investors might take a break these days; most of the time, the risk is extreme rather than maximizing profits. Whenever the price goes up, someone says, 'Look, we keep being told to short; now it's going to drop dead.' Besides BTC, there's also doge, which I mentioned to short. I haven't recommended other coins because my market analysis logic tells me that their positions are all at corresponding bottoms, not areas to short. At this time, for some coins with good patterns, you can go long, but you must definitely carry a stop loss. This morning, BTC went up a bit, and I thought Trump was elected? However, all market movements influenced by news cannot last long. Right now, this price is like a deflated balloon; it was about to burst, deflated by 20%, and now it's starting to inflate again. From a daily chart perspective, MACD, 2 times of mid-air refueling, under normal circumstances, it should be able to pull up for 3 days. The upper pressure is around 72736, and the lower support is around 70300. But today is abnormal; even if Trump is elected, I don't think it can immediately reach 75000. For me, my short position at 72000 hasn't exited yet. At this point, if you tell me to go long on BTC at this price, unless I'm out of my mind. This is the easiest time to attract retail investors to chase longs because it's easy to be caught off guard. If Trump is elected, it will become even crazier. The extreme of madness is death. If you don't believe it, just wait a few days and see; a bunch of people will shout for help again. What to do if you go long at a high position? For the current altcoins, if you want to enter long, please definitely carry a stop loss. This morning, I opened Neiro, took some profit, and then set a stop loss at the current price. Trading a coin should not be influenced by the U.S. elections. So why do we have nothing when the village chief holds a meeting? I once said that the U.S. is the big player; thinking about arm wrestling with them is just overestimating oneself. However, believing in news, you will never be able to have your own market analysis logic and operating strategy. In the end, you will still face liquidation and death, with nothing left.
I just saw the market push up a bit, and many people started shouting, 100k, 150k, I couldn't help but laugh out loud. I originally didn't want to write about the market, but today's news was all about Trump and Harris's love-hate relationship, really, it was almost nauseating to see. Because most retail investors rely on news to trade cryptocurrencies, they inquire here and there, seeming to have received quite certain information, only to watch themselves transform into cryptocurrency tycoons. The recent quick surge, my long positions today, to be honest, I exited them all. The more this happens, the calmer one should be. And with the recent quick surge, I knew that the market makers were making a bet on a time difference. Everyone is filled with expectations for Trump's election, just in time for the surge to distribute shares. I believe that just now, a group of people must have stayed in presidential suites. And with such operations, I am rather convinced that Trump is indeed retiring honorably this time. At this moment, regardless of whether there are elections, according to my market watching logic, we have already entered a risk area, and since it hasn't dropped to the right level for so long, either the market makers haven't sold out their low-position chips, or the retail investors really want a bull market too much, buying a little on every dip, and the market makers are not even aware, brutally crashing down quickly. At this time, the more it rises, the more I sell. The more it rises, the more I short. Anyway, I told everyone to go long today, and entered with a stop-loss. The target area has been reached. How you operate afterwards, whether to take profits or not is up to you. Just now when Dogecoin went up, I added a bit more short. No matter how great Musk is, he still needs to make money. The rise is not for distributing shares, nor for cutting retail, where does the money for his Starship come from? As for those who ask, the long-term pattern looks good. Will it continue to rise? I said BTC, this wave of the bull market might reach 85k, so can we allow it to drop a bit? As for altcoins, most have already hit rock bottom, I don't even know how to describe them anymore. If I were trading spot, I would really still be willing to wait. Many say they are afraid the bull will fly away, but it won't. If I really misjudge, and BTC hasn't corrected properly, it still has to roll back when it reaches 73k. Oh, calculating it out, personal advice. If you originally shorted at a high position, I still suggest holding on, after all, results will be out tomorrow. If Trump is elected, anyway, I have no grudge against him, I would be happy.
Warren Buffett has been busy selling stocks in recent months, and Berkshire's cash reserves have reached a historic high of over $325 billion. Buffett seems to have sold about a quarter of his Apple holdings. What is he really thinking? Perhaps he has a clear judgment on the valuation of U.S. stocks; perhaps he is preparing for the next big move. $BTC
Big dog, doge, should take advantage of the election, Trump's winning mentality, to make a push. MACD has fueled up twice in the air. The destination of the flight has been reached. Upper pressure at 0.17586, it's time to short. Manage your position well. Stop loss at the previous high of 1.7980. To be honest, I've already taken a small position. From the pattern, the high position continues to rise, using up fuel, merely to attract retail investors to board and take over. $DOGE
How many Chinese versions of Buffett are there? This person, who is referred to as Buffett by many domestic stock and fund investors, is the private equity small boss Guan Shanxiang. He claims to have achieved financial freedom at the age of 28, experiencing a ten-year hundredfold return from an initial capital of 300,000 to over 100 million. At the age of 38, he suddenly passed away during the Mid-Autumn Festival in 2023. Ultimately, Guan Shanxiang had a significant cognitive bias: the Chinese stock market is policy-driven, not market-driven. Winning the bet is luck, while losing the bet is inevitable. Regardless of how this person interprets it, it does not hinder the fact that Guan Shanxiang became the spokesperson for the leeks. Emotional, idealistic, and romanticized thinking are the great enemies of investors. #美国大选后涨或跌? $BTC