In the past, as long as you could buy and hold in the bull market, it would be fine. In this round of bull market, the funds switch faster. For the cottage, you must know how to sell and be able to lock in the profits. Selling fast will always make money. Don't be too patterned and lose all the profits in the bear market.

After this wave of reshuffle is completed, the cottage market will rise again, but it will no longer be the overall rise of the past bull market. Good targets may be able to run dozens of times, while bad targets are very likely to not outperform the market.

It is important to choose a good target. If you choose the wrong one, it is more important to dare to change the position. Don't be dragged down by the silent cost.

Trading is a road of no return: a process of cultivation, cultivation of character, and cultivation of mind! Only by not forgetting the original intention can we achieve the end!
All theories are just prosperous appearances. Their appearance and their causes all rely on the truth of the market-the market will fluctuate constantly.
In the currency circle or stock market, because of the existence of uncertainty and the alternation of ups and downs in the market, many profound theories can be made unfalsifiable, which will attract many investors to indulge in them.
For example, the reason why it is unpredictable is that the information that investors have is not enough. It is not that a certain theory is not good, but that investors have not studied it thoroughly. The reason why investors fail in high-selling and low-buying is that you don’t sell high enough, buy low enough, etc.... If you don’t understand what is unfalsifiable, you will definitely be trapped in the trading game.
Therefore, trading is a process of simplifying the complex.

There are many copycats now, especially e-marketplaces. ETFs are about to pass. Don't sell them easily after buying them.

If there is no bull market this year, the cycle will be over next year. If the cost is low enough, you must hold on. Don't get used to selling in the shock, and then get thrown off as soon as you drive.

But don't fill your pockets with messy inscriptions, runes, and other things... Just buy some targets that will still exist in the next round. The premise for being able to catch the main rising wave is that the target still exists. Whether it will return to zero, it is easy to judge with simple rational thinking.

There is a saying that the targets on the market are still "overvalued". In mid-2017, I often heard this statement. It is indeed expensive. There are always junk projects with valuations of hundreds of millions of dollars. This depends on personal opinion. Later, these very expensive targets with valuations of hundreds of millions of dollars were all valued at tens of billions of dollars. The average increase in the market is about 20-50 times, and if a few dark horses are bought, it will be 1,000 times.

If you let me smell it, yes, I will smell it. Many targets in the speculative market are difficult to value, and the most lucrative profits are the part of the bubble. It is unrealistic to just want to eat the bubble and not participate in blowing the bubble.
After smelling it, I think it is not expensive now, and the decline is limited.

At present, Bitcoin and Ethereum have officially held up, and slowly formed a bottom and began to fluctuate upward, indicating that the market in the second half of the year is promising. If you persist, the dawn will come.

Let me talk about 4 key points:

1. The bull market is now going back to drink water, and the second half of the bull market is unstoppable

2. May and June are the most difficult, and it will be better from July. Before the end of August, the fixed investment will be fully invested and the market will be cleared at the end of November. The market will be entered before the Spring Festival and cleared in April

3. From February to June, the outstanding cryptocurrencies PEPE, PEOPLE, ONDO, JASMY, BNX, and ENS

4: The second half of the year will revolve around the election as the main narrative

➕
Expectations of the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates

Summary: There is hope for a big market in the next 3-6 months, and it is expected that there will be a super violent bull market in the next year.

ETH daily structure analysis
The Ethereum structure is obviously stronger than the high platform structure of Bitcoin! Ethereum's second upward rush structure is still above the trend line platform! From the daily chart, the horizontal line below is not broken and the upward trend is consolidated! There is a chance to rush up between 3550-3630 in the short term!
Support 3310 3250 3200

Important morning news push:

Bitcoin ETFs have been inflowing for two consecutive days, but the inflow is not large, which has limited boost to market confidence. Hua Ge expects that the short-term will fluctuate between 59,000 and 63,000. Obviously, the market lacks a big positive to lead, so wait patiently.

1.Blast: BLAST token is now live;
2.Cryptocurrency may become the focus of Biden-Trump debate;
3.US government address sends 4,000 BTC to Coinbase;
4.State Street Bank and Galaxy cooperate to launch new digital asset strategy;
5.The US SEC may approve the spot Ethereum ETF as early as July 4;
6.The US Department of Justice ruled for the first time that the crypto token HYDRO is a security;
7.Abra and 25 US states settled and will refund customers $82 million;
8.The US government has sold at least 195,000 BTC since 2014, making a profit of more than $366 million;
9.The Nigerian SEC requires cryptocurrency companies to complete registration within 30 days, otherwise they will face enforcement action;
10.Source: The spot Ethereum ETF S-1 document has changed slightly, but there may be at least another round of revisions.

[Investment Strategy Discussion] In a volatile market, choose Bitcoin or altcoins?

The current market is full of uncertainty, and rational analysis and wise judgment have become crucial. Investors need to consider personal strategies, risk preferences and market insights when choosing BTC (Bitcoin) and altcoins.

Some people prefer BTC's stability and market maturity, while others are attracted by the high growth potential of altcoins. The key is that each investor should make reasonable decisions based on their own circumstances.

The expectation of a bull market has excited the market. Although it is challenging for BTC to reach $100,000, it is not impossible. Although altcoins have great potential for growth, a general sharp rise is unlikely to occur.

Fund dispersion and sector rotation may lead to outstanding performance of some currencies, while others are relatively flat. The overall rise requires more funds to work together.

When choosing investment currencies, consider multiple factors such as liquidity, deflation, underlying strength and arbitrage mechanism to comprehensively evaluate potential value and risks.

The bloodiness of this bull market is more than ever before, so we can't compare this bull market with the previous bull market. The environment of the currency circle is different, and the trend is also different.

The bloodier the degree of the wash, the more panic retail investors will have, and the more they will not dare to enter the market. It is obviously a bull market, but it feels like a bear market, so many people think that the current situation is the tail of the bull market and the beginning of the bear market. But please listen to me.

Bitcoin ETF has just been passed, and institutions have just begun to enter the market. Bitcoin has just been halved for two months, and the current price has not broken through the previous high.

The interest rate cut has not yet begun, and the funds in the market have not yet poured in. At present, it is only the stock funds plus the funds of the ETF that are supporting it.

The altcoin has not exploded yet, and some people actually say that the bull market is over. If it is really over, then this is not a bull market at all, but just a small wave on the way to the bull market.

In this situation, you have to hold on. Don't think too much, hold on to Bitcoin, and keep a calm mind.

Rational analysis: The market is not going down. Bitcoin has just been halved for two months, and the price is relatively stable. The spot ETF has been approved, and the market enthusiasm and expectations are still high. From the past, the market one and a half years after the halving is worth looking forward to. But it is unrealistic and impossible to expect the market to only rise and not fall;

The new week started with a fall again
There is no liquidity, and the trading volume of Bitcoin is only 580 million
Miners sold $2 billion of Bitcoin in June
US stock ETFs had a net outflow of $600 million in liquidity for 8 consecutive days
New coins were launched + unlocked, taking away the already limited liquidity
Where is the success of blockchain?
Besides hype, has it changed our lives?
When we all cut our losses and stopped playing, the bull market came
Then we bought in and were trapped at a high position, and the bull market ended
It was uncomfortable to completely clean up the market before the big bull market took off
Time is a test of people's temper, so hold on, brothers

Recently, many asset management institutions have submitted revised Ethereum ETFs. The SEC has given up investigating Ethereum and admitted that it is not a security. In addition, the SEC chairman said before that the Ethereum ETF will be passed at some point this summer. Therefore, based on comprehensive analysis, the Ethereum ETF is likely to be passed before mid-July.

There are currently 4 negative factors

1: The German government began selling 50,000 seized bitcoins, and 3,000 have been sold

2: Bitcoin EtF 7-day net outflow

3: Israel and the Arab Middle East war, Russia and NATO tensions, are negative for the currency circle

4: Mentougou's final compensation time in October, huge selling pressure

Among the ten realms of cryptocurrency trading, which one are you at?

Level 1: Entering the cryptocurrency market for the first time, ambitious and passionate! With the dream of 1000 U, I want to do something big.

Level 2: Obsessed with buying and selling every day, believing in the words of big Vs.

Level 3: Gradually I feel that money is not so easy to make, I lose more than I earn, and the words of big Vs are not so useful. So I started to learn to analyze the news, but later I found that they were all traps, and I began to doubt value investment.

Level 4: Evolved from a novice to a leek, began to analyze currencies and study technical indicators. Slowly I can make a small profit, but most of the time I lose money, the long and short lines are intertwined, and the operation is already chaotic. I know more and more, but I have less and less money, and I begin to doubt myself.

Level 5: New leeks become old leeks, and begin to have their own understanding of the market, but at the same time they fall into a new confusion, prone to self-prejudgment, what to do, how to make mistakes, and their mentality gradually collapses.

Level 6: Through continuous actual combat, I have found my own trading model, which can make more money and less losses, and I have gradually controlled my mentality.

Level 7: I no longer look at any technical indicators, but start to look at the "trend", the rhythm, the emotions, and slowly find my own "way".

Level 8: I have my own unique trading model, strict discipline, I have coins in my hands, but not in my heart, and there are no big fluctuations in my heart, and I can move forward and backward freely.

Level 9: I am no longer obsessed with the currency market, and I regard the currency circle as a fixed profit investment place. I like to study narrative and philosophy the most. At this time, I have understood that investment is the truth of life!

Level 10: Nothing is everything!

The spot SOL ETF application has been submitted in Canada. If approved, this will be the world's first SOL spot ETF. It also means that after the Ethereum spot ETF is listed and traded in the United States, the next approved spot ETF is likely to be SOL. Cherish SOL around 130 and below.

There is a high probability that you will be listed on Binance's new project, Goplus, which is led by Binance Labs and valued at 150 million US dollars in the last round. Binance likes to invest in such infrastructure projects, so you know. Currently, you can experience their personal security product SecWarex, which can be understood as the web3 version of 360 Security Guard.

Must-see Goplus:
Binance labs led the last round of investment with a valuation of 150 million US dollars
1. SecWarex is a personal security product launched by Goplus, which can be understood as the web3 version of 360 Security Guard;

2. Binance labs led the strategic round in 2022. This kind of infrastructure project is very much liked by Binance. It is very likely to be listed on Binance, with a market value of 2-3 billion US dollars

GoPlus, led by Binance, has almost a monopoly in the field of contract security testing if you look deeper, and is definitely a leading project

Ethereum non-zero addresses hit a new record high, which shows that institutions and retail investors have been buying spot, especially recently. Once the Ethereum spot ETF is listed, ETH is expected to surge and will surely return to above 4,000. Every deep correction is a golden pit. Don't wait for Ethereum to pull back to 4,000 before chasing the rise.

BTC: A shooting star line was closed yesterday. Although the US spot Bitcoin ETF showed a net inflow yesterday, the long upper shadow line means that the selling pressure above it is still a bit large. The Fed's dot plot predicts that there will be only one interest rate cut in 2024, which may occur in November. According to the current macro market, Bitcoin still needs time to adjust. In the short term, it is still expected to rebound upward again, but after the rebound, it is likely to come down and step on the May or October moving average position for adjustment and confirmation. In the process of the bull market, long-term holding of the currency is still enough.

Newcomers' long-term entry points in batches: 64000-65000 range; 60000-60500 range; 51500-51700 range;

The US spot Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of 1,478 coins yesterday (June 10), worth US$101 million.

ETH: Linked to the trend of Bitcoin.

Long-term entry points for newcomers: 3330-3340 range; 2810-2820 range;

Position allocation suggestions: long-term ETH accounts for 30% of the total position; bull market exit point: to be determined;