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币圈老司机2025
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$BTC $BTC Miners are among the most watched Bitcoin (BTC) holders, as many consider their behavior a signal of long-term price action. Miners now retain about 1.9 million BTC, excluding expanded treasuries, and sell less frequently. Miners are no longer selling their Bitcoin (BTC) holdings at the usual rate, retaining between 1.8 million and 1.9 million coins across the board. Outflows to exchanges are at their lowest level since April, shifting the balance of new supply to mining companies. This shift is seen in late 2024. Miner flows to exchanges have been a long-term indicator of market sentiment.
$BTC
$BTC
Miners are among the most watched Bitcoin (BTC) holders, as many consider their behavior a signal of long-term price action. Miners now retain about 1.9 million BTC, excluding expanded treasuries, and sell less frequently.
Miners are no longer selling their Bitcoin (BTC) holdings at the usual rate, retaining between 1.8 million and 1.9 million coins across the board. Outflows to exchanges are at their lowest level since April, shifting the balance of new supply to mining companies.
This shift is seen in late 2024. Miner flows to exchanges have been a long-term indicator of market sentiment.
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#美国非农数据即将公布 The big cake rose from 92400 to 95000 in the morning, achieving 14 consecutive positive hours, the duo head continued to increase, the 4-hour kong head shrank, touched the middle track, and the macd gradually formed a golden cross upward. The duo head trend is upward. The non-agricultural data will be released in the evening. Evening operation suggestions: The big cake retreats to around 94800-94500, and looks to around 96100-96500. The aunt retreats to around 3300-3280, and looks to around 3350-3380
#美国非农数据即将公布
The big cake rose from 92400 to 95000 in the morning, achieving 14 consecutive positive hours, the duo head continued to increase, the 4-hour kong head shrank, touched the middle track, and the macd gradually formed a golden cross upward. The duo head trend is upward. The non-agricultural data will be released in the evening.
Evening operation suggestions:
The big cake retreats to around 94800-94500, and looks to around 96100-96500.
The aunt retreats to around 3300-3280, and looks to around 3350-3380
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#比特币价格走势分析 It can be seen that the number of people in the air force being liquidated has increased sharply. It seems that if the contract does not pay attention to risk control, regardless of being long or short, liquidation will happen, and it is not greatly related to trends! I mentioned last night that it is easy to break even, but it is not so simple to pull up and take profits. Sure enough, there was a rebound that lured many to buy, and then it continued to drop, with long positions still being trapped! Bitcoin has already had three consecutive bearish days, and the shorts are being gradually consumed. Currently, I hold more than 94,000 Bitcoin and over 3,270 Ethereum, and I am not deeply trapped. I plan to add to my long position at 90,500 and then again at 3,050, and then take it up to 110,000 and 4,100. This is not just a slogan; it’s not just hype; it really has retraced enough. It is necessary to chase the tail end of the shorts, which is easy to get trapped. It is inevitable that prices will soar during the Spring Festival, so it is crucial to control positions well! If the long position rebounds near 95,000 today, I will reduce my holdings. If it goes down below my cost price, I will add more. It is unrealistic to expect a sudden surge today!
#比特币价格走势分析
It can be seen that the number of people in the air force being liquidated has increased sharply. It seems that if the contract does not pay attention to risk control, regardless of being long or short, liquidation will happen, and it is not greatly related to trends! I mentioned last night that it is easy to break even, but it is not so simple to pull up and take profits. Sure enough, there was a rebound that lured many to buy, and then it continued to drop, with long positions still being trapped!
Bitcoin has already had three consecutive bearish days, and the shorts are being gradually consumed. Currently, I hold more than 94,000 Bitcoin and over 3,270 Ethereum, and I am not deeply trapped. I plan to add to my long position at 90,500 and then again at 3,050, and then take it up to 110,000 and 4,100. This is not just a slogan; it’s not just hype; it really has retraced enough. It is necessary to chase the tail end of the shorts, which is easy to get trapped. It is inevitable that prices will soar during the Spring Festival, so it is crucial to control positions well!
If the long position rebounds near 95,000 today, I will reduce my holdings. If it goes down below my cost price, I will add more. It is unrealistic to expect a sudden surge today!
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#市场调整策略 BNB drops quickly at night and rebounds quickly as well. Today, pay attention to the rebound at the position of 698.3. If it stabilizes at this position, a rebound may start on the 1-hour level. The upper resistance/target levels to watch are around 706.4-715.5-724.2 (if it stabilizes above 715.5 on the 4-hour level, this wave of 4-hour level pullback will end). If the rebound does not go up today, continue to pay attention to the support levels down below around 691.1-683.3-677.5!
#市场调整策略
BNB drops quickly at night and rebounds quickly as well. Today, pay attention to the rebound at the position of 698.3. If it stabilizes at this position, a rebound may start on the 1-hour level. The upper resistance/target levels to watch are around 706.4-715.5-724.2 (if it stabilizes above 715.5 on the 4-hour level, this wave of 4-hour level pullback will end).
If the rebound does not go up today, continue to pay attention to the support levels down below around 691.1-683.3-677.5!
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#币安MegadropSOLV #币安MegadropSOLV The web3 wallet task verification for 0.0001 SOLVBTC failed due to two main reasons: 1. There may be two steps, but only the first step was clicked. The first step is to authorize BTCB, and the second step is to exchange for SOLVBTC. The wallet must hold SOLVBTC for it to succeed; 2. Network issues; generally, retrying verification after about 20 minutes should work. Binance announced that users can participate in the SOLV Megadrop starting from January 7, 2025, at 08:00:00 (UTC+8). The Solv Protocol (SOLV) Megadrop app page is expected to go live approximately twelve hours after this announcement. Binance will list Solv Protocol (SOLV) on January 17, 2025, at 18:00 (UTC+8). Binance reminds that this coin will be the first to be listed for trading; anything listed before this time is a scam. No need to elaborate on the Megadrop; just lock your assets. The more BNB you have, the longer the duration, the higher the points, and the more airdrop quantity you will receive. $BNB
#币安MegadropSOLV
#币安MegadropSOLV
The web3 wallet task verification for 0.0001 SOLVBTC failed due to two main reasons: 1. There may be two steps, but only the first step was clicked. The first step is to authorize BTCB, and the second step is to exchange for SOLVBTC. The wallet must hold SOLVBTC for it to succeed; 2. Network issues; generally, retrying verification after about 20 minutes should work.
Binance announced that users can participate in the SOLV Megadrop starting from January 7, 2025, at 08:00:00 (UTC+8). The Solv Protocol (SOLV) Megadrop app page is expected to go live approximately twelve hours after this announcement.
Binance will list Solv Protocol (SOLV) on January 17, 2025, at 18:00 (UTC+8). Binance reminds that this coin will be the first to be listed for trading; anything listed before this time is a scam.
No need to elaborate on the Megadrop; just lock your assets. The more BNB you have, the longer the duration, the higher the points, and the more airdrop quantity you will receive. $BNB
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#比特币走势观察 Netizens have different views on the future Bitcoin market. Some believe that in the short term, Bitcoin will seek support in the range of 95200-96000, with resistance levels above in the range of 102700-105200. Others are optimistic about the long-term trend, expecting Bitcoin to break through 100,000 USD, even reaching 128,000-132,000 USD. However, some remind investors to pay attention to risk management and avoid blindly chasing highs and lows. Overall, most netizens suggest that investors remain calm, focus on the market's key support and resistance levels, and plan accordingly.
#比特币走势观察
Netizens have different views on the future Bitcoin market. Some believe that in the short term, Bitcoin will seek support in the range of 95200-96000, with resistance levels above in the range of 102700-105200. Others are optimistic about the long-term trend, expecting Bitcoin to break through 100,000 USD, even reaching 128,000-132,000 USD. However, some remind investors to pay attention to risk management and avoid blindly chasing highs and lows. Overall, most netizens suggest that investors remain calm, focus on the market's key support and resistance levels, and plan accordingly.
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#加密市场反弹 The following major positive news is expected to trigger a rebound Trump's Return On January 20, 2025, Trump is set to take office as President of the United States once again. He has always maintained a friendly attitude towards cryptocurrencies and is expected to introduce more policies supporting blockchain and digital assets. The market holds optimistic expectations for his return, which may promote steady development in the crypto industry in the long term. Starting January 6, FTX will launch a debt repayment plan totaling up to $16 billion, expected to be completed within 60 days. This substantial influx of funds back into the market will greatly boost liquidity and inject vitality into the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Market sentiment is expected to improve accordingly, potentially leading to a wave of price rebounds.
#加密市场反弹
The following major positive news is expected to trigger a rebound
Trump's Return
On January 20, 2025, Trump is set to take office as President of the United States once again. He has always maintained a friendly attitude towards cryptocurrencies and is expected to introduce more policies supporting blockchain and digital assets. The market holds optimistic expectations for his return, which may promote steady development in the crypto industry in the long term.
Starting January 6, FTX will launch a debt repayment plan totaling up to $16 billion, expected to be completed within 60 days. This substantial influx of funds back into the market will greatly boost liquidity and inject vitality into the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Market sentiment is expected to improve accordingly, potentially leading to a wave of price rebounds.
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60035981044 As of December 28, 2024, the price of ETH is approximately $3,338. According to forecasts, ETH may reach around $4,500 in 2025 and about $8,800 in 2030.  Recently, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved several Ethereum spot ETFs, including the 21Shares Core Ethereum ETF (ticker: CETH) and the Bitwise Ethereum ETF (ticker: ETHW), providing investors with new investment channels.  However, investors should be aware that holding ETH through ETFs may not yield staking rewards and may incur management fees.  Therefore, it is advisable to carefully consider the associated costs and benefits before investing.
60035981044
As of December 28, 2024, the price of ETH is approximately $3,338.
According to forecasts, ETH may reach around $4,500 in 2025 and about $8,800 in 2030. 
Recently, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved several Ethereum spot ETFs, including the 21Shares Core Ethereum ETF (ticker: CETH) and the Bitwise Ethereum ETF (ticker: ETHW), providing investors with new investment channels. 
However, investors should be aware that holding ETH through ETFs may not yield staking rewards and may incur management fees. 
Therefore, it is advisable to carefully consider the associated costs and benefits before investing.
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#2025加密趋势预测 Pepe Coin's price looks quite promising; experts say it could surge significantly in the coming years. Right now, the price is approximately $0.00001823, but by January 24, 2025, it is expected to rise by 228.59%, reaching $0.00006166. Let's take a look at the predicted prices for Pepe Coin in the coming years: 2025: The price is expected to fluctuate between $0.00002523 and $0.00008883, averaging about $0.00005074. 2026: The price range is expected to be between $0.00001564 and $0.00004988, with an average price of $0.00003015. 2027: The price is estimated to be between $0.00001715 and $0.00003519, averaging around $0.00002016. 2028: The price range is expected to be between $0.00002535 and $0.00005987, with an average price of $0.00003608. 2029: The price might soar to between $0.00004812 and $0.00012, with a return on investment as high as 558.42%! 2030: The price range is expected to be between $0.00004749 and $0.00007700. However, these predictions are based on market trends and analysts' opinions; the actual price of Pepe Coin will ultimately depend on market conditions. Overall, we should maintain a bullish outlook on this Pepe Coin.
#2025加密趋势预测
Pepe Coin's price looks quite promising; experts say it could surge significantly in the coming years. Right now, the price is approximately $0.00001823, but by January 24, 2025, it is expected to rise by 228.59%, reaching $0.00006166.
Let's take a look at the predicted prices for Pepe Coin in the coming years:
2025: The price is expected to fluctuate between $0.00002523 and $0.00008883, averaging about $0.00005074.
2026: The price range is expected to be between $0.00001564 and $0.00004988, with an average price of $0.00003015.
2027: The price is estimated to be between $0.00001715 and $0.00003519, averaging around $0.00002016.
2028: The price range is expected to be between $0.00002535 and $0.00005987, with an average price of $0.00003608.
2029: The price might soar to between $0.00004812 and $0.00012, with a return on investment as high as 558.42%!
2030: The price range is expected to be between $0.00004749 and $0.00007700.
However, these predictions are based on market trends and analysts' opinions; the actual price of Pepe Coin will ultimately depend on market conditions.
Overall, we should maintain a bullish outlook on this Pepe Coin.
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#BTC上攻11万 #BTC上攻11万 has rebounded for several days now, and this wave has earned the bulls a considerable profit, while the bears have been completely defeated. Some bulls have a grand vision and are already seeing 110,000, but I think this possibility is low. If we can truly see 101,000, everyone can go short, with a target below at 93,800. The profits from this wave are not small. To truly attack and capture ground upwards, we must first have a proper correction; only then can we genuinely stand firm at the upper resistance level... The above is a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. It has rebounded for several days now, and this wave has earned the bulls a considerable profit, while the bears have been completely defeated. Some bulls have a grand vision and are already seeing 110,000, but I think this possibility is low. If we can truly see 101,000, everyone can go short, with a target below at 93,800. The profits from this wave are not small. To truly attack and capture ground upwards, we must first have a proper correction; only then can we genuinely stand firm at the upper resistance level... It has rebounded for several days now, and this wave has earned the bulls a considerable profit, while the bears have been completely defeated.
#BTC上攻11万
#BTC上攻11万 has rebounded for several days now, and this wave has earned the bulls a considerable profit, while the bears have been completely defeated.
Some bulls have a grand vision and are already seeing 110,000, but I think this possibility is low. If we can truly see 101,000, everyone can go short, with a target below at 93,800. The profits from this wave are not small. To truly attack and capture ground upwards, we must first have a proper correction; only then can we genuinely stand firm at the upper resistance level...
The above is a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. It has rebounded for several days now, and this wave has earned the bulls a considerable profit, while the bears have been completely defeated.
Some bulls have a grand vision and are already seeing 110,000, but I think this possibility is low. If we can truly see 101,000, everyone can go short, with a target below at 93,800. The profits from this wave are not small. To truly attack and capture ground upwards, we must first have a proper correction; only then can we genuinely stand firm at the upper resistance level... It has rebounded for several days now, and this wave has earned the bulls a considerable profit, while the bears have been completely defeated.
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#市场反弹迹象 The market has shown signs of rebound recently, especially some tokens in the cryptocurrency field such as Pepe (PEPE) have performed well. As the overall market sentiment gradually warms up, investors are paying more attention to low-market-cap tokens. As a representative token, Pepe has attracted a lot of buying due to its community activity and unique market positioning. In this context, Pepe may usher in new opportunities for growth. However, investors still need to remain vigilant, and market uncertainties still exist. Pay attention to market dynamics, allocate assets reasonably, and do a good job of risk management.
#市场反弹迹象 The market has shown signs of rebound recently, especially some tokens in the cryptocurrency field such as Pepe (PEPE) have performed well. As the overall market sentiment gradually warms up, investors are paying more attention to low-market-cap tokens. As a representative token, Pepe has attracted a lot of buying due to its community activity and unique market positioning. In this context, Pepe may usher in new opportunities for growth. However, investors still need to remain vigilant, and market uncertainties still exist. Pay attention to market dynamics, allocate assets reasonably, and do a good job of risk management.
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#加密市场盘整 Currently, do not think that last night's rebound signifies the arrival of the altcoin season; it does not. It's just a rebound. BTC is experiencing a normal pullback while altcoins are plummeting, merely a rebound after an oversell. The overall direction remains a downward trend. In the next two weeks, we should enter a choppy market, with coin prices fluctuating up and down. For short-term operations, do not focus on the big picture; look at the patterns, and both shorting and going long are viable. Partners who are laying out their altcoin cycles can place orders in advance at the respective positions. If you buy in, hold on; this past month has been the last opportunity to buy the dip in this bull market. Of course, Bitcoin has now completely diverged from altcoins. If you hold altcoins, paying attention to Bitcoin's rise and fall is meaningless. Altcoins are currently in a consolidation phase, and some weaker ones are starting to break previous lows. During this phase, absolutely do not open contracts, as black swan events in the crypto space are becoming increasingly frequent. Many people have not experienced the phenomenon of price spikes, and when market divergence is significant, spikes are bound to occur.
#加密市场盘整
Currently, do not think that last night's rebound signifies the arrival of the altcoin season; it does not. It's just a rebound. BTC is experiencing a normal pullback while altcoins are plummeting, merely a rebound after an oversell. The overall direction remains a downward trend. In the next two weeks, we should enter a choppy market, with coin prices fluctuating up and down. For short-term operations, do not focus on the big picture; look at the patterns, and both shorting and going long are viable. Partners who are laying out their altcoin cycles can place orders in advance at the respective positions. If you buy in, hold on; this past month has been the last opportunity to buy the dip in this bull market.
Of course, Bitcoin has now completely diverged from altcoins. If you hold altcoins, paying attention to Bitcoin's rise and fall is meaningless. Altcoins are currently in a consolidation phase, and some weaker ones are starting to break previous lows. During this phase, absolutely do not open contracts, as black swan events in the crypto space are becoming increasingly frequent. Many people have not experienced the phenomenon of price spikes, and when market divergence is significant, spikes are bound to occur.
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#比特币市场波动观 Let me say a few words. The current market is undergoing a scheduled adjustment, which I expect to end around the end of the month. For future operations, I offer some reference suggestions: 1. For those with light or empty positions, please move to half position now; 2. For those with heavy positions, do not move, and if you have bullets, place orders below, specifically near the latest low point, aggressive orders above the low point, and conservative orders below the low point; 3. Once you place your orders, you don’t need to check anymore. If you can buy, then buy; if you can’t, then it’s fine. Once your bullets are exhausted, just wait for wealth to come. Avoid frequent operations.
#比特币市场波动观
Let me say a few words. The current market is undergoing a scheduled adjustment, which I expect to end around the end of the month. For future operations, I offer some reference suggestions: 1. For those with light or empty positions, please move to half position now; 2. For those with heavy positions, do not move, and if you have bullets, place orders below, specifically near the latest low point, aggressive orders above the low point, and conservative orders below the low point; 3. Once you place your orders, you don’t need to check anymore. If you can buy, then buy; if you can’t, then it’s fine. Once your bullets are exhausted, just wait for wealth to come. Avoid frequent operations.
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If you are an outsider and your current understanding still views cryptocurrencies as tulips, a game of musical chairs, or money laundering, you are likely to be quickly eliminated by the times. The Americans are trying to turn it into a strategic reserve, even using it to pay off U.S. debt. The University of Tokyo does not recognize the domestic liquidity of cryptocurrencies; it simply does not allow ordinary people to play and influence financial market regulation. However, the government has also confiscated a lot of cryptocurrencies, which can be used as a strategic reserve to counterbalance the United States at any time. Therefore, the question ordinary people need to consider is whether to increase their holdings as a risk-diversification reserve.
If you are an outsider and your current understanding still views cryptocurrencies as tulips, a game of musical chairs, or money laundering, you are likely to be quickly eliminated by the times. The Americans are trying to turn it into a strategic reserve, even using it to pay off U.S. debt. The University of Tokyo does not recognize the domestic liquidity of cryptocurrencies; it simply does not allow ordinary people to play and influence financial market regulation. However, the government has also confiscated a lot of cryptocurrencies, which can be used as a strategic reserve to counterbalance the United States at any time. Therefore, the question ordinary people need to consider is whether to increase their holdings as a risk-diversification reserve.
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#BTC走势 Significant Drop After Volatile Rise: This week, Bitcoin's price experienced extreme fluctuations, initially dropping by 7% on Friday morning before regaining momentum. It once again broke the $100,000 mark in the early hours of December 20, recovering most of the losses since its sharp decline after reaching a new high, but then saw another significant drop on the 20th. Cautious Attitude Among Some Investors: There has been a continuous large net outflow from Bitcoin spot ETFs, significantly increasing investors' cautious attitudes, although some capital has started to flow back in.
#BTC走势
Significant Drop After Volatile Rise: This week, Bitcoin's price experienced extreme fluctuations, initially dropping by 7% on Friday morning before regaining momentum. It once again broke the $100,000 mark in the early hours of December 20, recovering most of the losses since its sharp decline after reaching a new high, but then saw another significant drop on the 20th.
Cautious Attitude Among Some Investors: There has been a continuous large net outflow from Bitcoin spot ETFs, significantly increasing investors' cautious attitudes, although some capital has started to flow back in.
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#加密市场回调 The drop is really smooth like silk. When over 90% of people say a bull market is coming, I say a big waterfall is about to arrive. Going against the thinking of the vast majority of retail investors is always right and has proven effective. The bull market will be similar to the bloodbath last December, adjusting for 1-2 months, with the real surge coming in February, and then the craziest market conditions will arrive. A guaranteed 10 times return from the altcoins, with a mad bull market starting in January-February next year.
#加密市场回调
The drop is really smooth like silk. When over 90% of people say a bull market is coming, I say a big waterfall is about to arrive. Going against the thinking of the vast majority of retail investors is always right and has proven effective. The bull market will be similar to the bloodbath last December, adjusting for 1-2 months, with the real surge coming in February, and then the craziest market conditions will arrive. A guaranteed 10 times return from the altcoins, with a mad bull market starting in January-February next year.
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#比特币市场波动观察 It can be said that the previous four sharp declines consumed a lot of buying, so after this sharp decline, there was not much buying on the market, but there was a negative decline after sideways trading, which was equivalent to burying another wave of funds for bottom-fishing. In the short term, it is more difficult to return to a strong position: The overall market enthusiasm was too high some time ago. If nothing unexpected happens, the market should be the strongest cleansing on the eve of the rapid completion of the copycat bull market with the knife handed over by Powell this time, but after this wave, a greater wealth effect is coming. No matter how embarrassed it is now, as long as it survives, it will eventually stand on the highest stage. Operation suggestions: Do not blindly bottom-fish, do not follow the trend of buying and selling, layout the mainstream, do not use high leverage, do a good job of position management, watch more and do less, and follow the trend.
#比特币市场波动观察
It can be said that the previous four sharp declines consumed a lot of buying, so after this sharp decline, there was not much buying on the market, but there was a negative decline after sideways trading, which was equivalent to burying another wave of funds for bottom-fishing.
In the short term, it is more difficult to return to a strong position:
The overall market enthusiasm was too high some time ago. If nothing unexpected happens, the market should be the strongest cleansing on the eve of the rapid completion of the copycat bull market with the knife handed over by Powell this time, but after this wave, a greater wealth effect is coming. No matter how embarrassed it is now, as long as it survives, it will eventually stand on the highest stage.
Operation suggestions: Do not blindly bottom-fish, do not follow the trend of buying and selling, layout the mainstream, do not use high leverage, do a good job of position management, watch more and do less, and follow the trend.
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#市场调整後的机会? The more chaotic the market becomes, the more we need to remain calm. Here are my personal thoughts on the current market situation: 1. Has the bull market ended? The most important reason for the rise since November 6 is the favorable expectations for cryptocurrency policies brought about by Trump's election victory. The continuation of the upward trend next year will mainly depend on the more favorable policies towards cryptocurrencies after Trump takes office, including a more lenient regulatory framework and BTC strategic reserves. This main storyline has not changed, so the bull market is likely to continue. However, it is also necessary to pay attention to the degree of expectation for the realization of favorable policies for cryptocurrencies after Trump takes office, as this could lead to the end of the bull market. 2. Why has BTC fallen in the past couple of days? The direct reason is that the Federal Reserve's statements last night were more hawkish than the market expected. However, this level of expectation for a reduction in interest rate cuts by 2025 has long been anticipated by the market; this time, the dot plot forecast is only one less than the market expectation. Logically, this should not lead to such a severe pullback. If it has happened, it can only be attributed to the excessive panic in the market combined with the liquidation of positions by some large players, leading to a chain reaction. However, past experiences have shown that panic-driven declines will eventually rebound. 3. What’s going on with altcoins? Will there still be an altcoin season? Altcoins have been the hardest hit these days. A few days ago, while Bitcoin surged, altcoins did not rise and even fell. But if we look back at the rise in early November, Bitcoin initially surged alone, draining the market, and the market was filled with sorrow. However, once Bitcoin breaks through key levels and capital overflows, altcoins will start to perform. Therefore, as long as Bitcoin can maintain its upward trend, there will definitely be an altcoin season. This is because profit-taking capital will inevitably overflow; it is human nature and the essence of any financial market's operation. Even in a strong market like the U.S. stock market, we see that when the Nasdaq rises significantly, the Russell 2000 small-cap stocks will also catch up. 4. When will the altcoin season come? When Bitcoin breaks through key price levels and temporarily rests in a sideways trend, altcoins will explode. At present, it seems likely that this will be at the key levels. Previously it was 100,000, and the next should be 110,000, 120,000, 130,000, etc. If the expectation is that this round of the bull market will peak at 150,000, then altcoins will have four more opportunities to explode, but the risks will increase as we get later in the cycle. Altcoins should still prioritize strong sector leaders; based on previous gains, meme coins, public chains, DeFi, and RWA are relatively strong tracks.
#市场调整後的机会?
The more chaotic the market becomes, the more we need to remain calm. Here are my personal thoughts on the current market situation:
1. Has the bull market ended?
The most important reason for the rise since November 6 is the favorable expectations for cryptocurrency policies brought about by Trump's election victory. The continuation of the upward trend next year will mainly depend on the more favorable policies towards cryptocurrencies after Trump takes office, including a more lenient regulatory framework and BTC strategic reserves. This main storyline has not changed, so the bull market is likely to continue. However, it is also necessary to pay attention to the degree of expectation for the realization of favorable policies for cryptocurrencies after Trump takes office, as this could lead to the end of the bull market.
2. Why has BTC fallen in the past couple of days?
The direct reason is that the Federal Reserve's statements last night were more hawkish than the market expected. However, this level of expectation for a reduction in interest rate cuts by 2025 has long been anticipated by the market; this time, the dot plot forecast is only one less than the market expectation. Logically, this should not lead to such a severe pullback. If it has happened, it can only be attributed to the excessive panic in the market combined with the liquidation of positions by some large players, leading to a chain reaction. However, past experiences have shown that panic-driven declines will eventually rebound.
3. What’s going on with altcoins? Will there still be an altcoin season?
Altcoins have been the hardest hit these days. A few days ago, while Bitcoin surged, altcoins did not rise and even fell. But if we look back at the rise in early November, Bitcoin initially surged alone, draining the market, and the market was filled with sorrow. However, once Bitcoin breaks through key levels and capital overflows, altcoins will start to perform. Therefore, as long as Bitcoin can maintain its upward trend, there will definitely be an altcoin season. This is because profit-taking capital will inevitably overflow; it is human nature and the essence of any financial market's operation. Even in a strong market like the U.S. stock market, we see that when the Nasdaq rises significantly, the Russell 2000 small-cap stocks will also catch up.
4. When will the altcoin season come?
When Bitcoin breaks through key price levels and temporarily rests in a sideways trend, altcoins will explode. At present, it seems likely that this will be at the key levels. Previously it was 100,000, and the next should be 110,000, 120,000, 130,000, etc. If the expectation is that this round of the bull market will peak at 150,000, then altcoins will have four more opportunities to explode, but the risks will increase as we get later in the cycle. Altcoins should still prioritize strong sector leaders; based on previous gains, meme coins, public chains, DeFi, and RWA are relatively strong tracks.
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0.0015, and there are infinite bullets, but I don't want to buy them anymore
0.0015, and there are infinite bullets, but I don't want to buy them anymore
决胜千里_top1
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This wash is even more disgusting than I thought.
We can only lower the average price. If the spot average price is lower, the return on investment will be faster.
I hope your purchase price does not start with 2.
Spot accounts are shrinking constantly. I hope you don’t have contracts to go long.
Bull market crashes. Wait until this one is more profitable than the return on investment before considering the next one. $BTC
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Bome, the coin that has died from the heat in history
Bome, the coin that has died from the heat in history
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$BOME This trash is hopeless
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