For those who haven't slept yet, let's talk about, What trading system and trading thinking logic do you use, Trading cycle, position management I will first share the underlying logic of my trading technology In the complex and ever-changing financial market, the core of trading technology lies in "the great way is simple". The following is a brief explanation of this concept from three aspects: concept, tools and mentality:
1. Trading concept
• Follow the trend: Market trend is a comprehensive reflection of the behavior of many participants. Traders should take the trend as the primary basis for decision-making, not be confused by short-term fluctuations, follow the trend, and move forward steadily.
• Strategy simplification: Choose one or two simple and effective strategies, such as the moving average system strategy, and send buy and sell signals through the intersection of short-term moving average and long-term moving average. In-depth research and proficiency, avoid too many strategies leading to confusion in decision-making.
2. Trading tools
• Indicator simplification: Select core indicators such as moving average and MACD. Moving average can smooth price data to show trends. MACD combines moving average and difference value to reflect changes in market momentum. The combination of the two can accurately grasp market trends and turning points.
• Simple charts: Keep the charts clean and simple. Except for the necessary price curves and selected indicators, reduce other interference elements, which helps traders concentrate on analyzing price trends and making quick decisions.
3. Trading mentality
• Patient waiting: Market opportunities are not always there. Traders need to wait patiently for the right trading signals to avoid premature involvement and unnecessary fluctuations. When clear trend signals appear, they should act decisively to increase the success rate.
• Accept imperfections: The market is complex and changeable, and any trading strategy may fail. Traders should accept losses, maintain a calm mind, summarize lessons learned from each transaction, and continuously optimize strategies.
In short, the "Great Way to Simplicity" of trading technology requires traders to adhere to the core concept, streamline trading tools, maintain a calm mind, and deal with complex markets in a simple and effective way.
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Today's Market Trend Analysis and Trading Suggestions
First, let's analyze today's market trend. BTC Bitcoin 4-hour candlestick trend: Upper resistance level: Around 95735~96850 Lower support level: Around 92680~94230 ETH Ethereum 4-hour candlestick trend: Upper resistance level: Around 3350~3430 Lower support level: Around 3160~3220 Let's analyze from a technical perspective: One, Bitcoin's 4-hour candlestick is gradually increasing in volume 📈 (as of 7:22 AM), currently oscillating in the ascending triangle area, with the MACD indicator still in bearish territory. Please note the upper resistance level of the triangle around 95545~95735;
The script for late night on #btc is similar to the analysis of Brother Lie's article. After BTC broke below the middle band of the 1-hour Bollinger Bands, it retraced but did not fall below 93900, successfully holding this defensive line. At this time, you should decisively enter the market! In fact, Brother Lie had already predicted this small rebound around 2 PM yesterday, accurately identifying the main upward wave of Ethereum on the 40-minute level! This is the magic of the five-wave analysis method! While you are still hesitant and lack direction, we had already entered the market yesterday afternoon. Ethereum surged to a high of 3320 in the early morning, almost without error from the mid-profit-taking yellow line of 3318 given by Brother Lie!
The script for late night on #btc is similar to the analysis of Brother Lie's article. After BTC broke below the middle band of the 1-hour Bollinger Bands, it retraced but did not fall below 93900, successfully holding this defensive line. At this time, you should decisively enter the market! In fact, Brother Lie had already predicted this small rebound around 2 PM yesterday, accurately identifying the main upward wave of Ethereum on the 40-minute level! This is the magic of the five-wave analysis method! While you are still hesitant and lack direction, we had already entered the market yesterday afternoon. Ethereum surged to a high of 3320 in the early morning, almost without error from the mid-profit-taking yellow line of 3318 given by Brother Lie!
Has the market stabilized? When will the trend reverse? Please see the following market analysis and operational suggestions!
Happy weekend! This week we experienced a large pullback after the rebound. Continuous negative news has made many retail investors hesitant to enter the market!
The specific negative news is as follows: 1️⃣ Initially, job vacancy data exceeded expectations significantly. 2️⃣ Then there were reports that the U.S. plans to sell $6.5 billion worth of BTC to crash the market. 3️⃣ Yesterday, the non-farm payroll data also exceeded expectations significantly, causing a surge in U.S. Treasury yields.
Next week, after the strong non-farm payroll report, CPI will make a significant appearance! On Wednesday (January 15), the CPI for December will be announced at 9:30 PM. It is expected that the cryptocurrency market will not see significant gains before the CPI announcement! After the CPI is released, there are two scenarios: (1) If the negative news materializes, there might be a slight dip, followed by a rebound due to expectations of Trump taking office. (2) If the CPI is below expectations, it could positively impact a rebound in the cryptocurrency market. Therefore, the probability of an increase next week is greater than that of a decrease! Because Trump is expected to impose tariffs on trade partners after taking office, and the Federal Reserve is likely to continue to slow down interest rate cuts. On Friday, the non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, causing the dollar to surge in the short term, closing this week at 109.64, marking six consecutive weeks of gains.
Current expectations for interest rate cuts have dropped to a freezing point!! Expectations for tariff policies after Trump takes office have also been released. If subsequent data or introduced policies can reverse expectations, then it is highly likely that BTC will return to high levels! So these days are about patiently waiting and holding positions! Do not lose your bottom chips!!
#hive hive is the target that Brother Hunter publicly called out throughout the entire process. If you keep up with the rhythm, you will most likely get at least 20%+ of the amplitude! So how ridiculous and tragic is it that you spent money to buy a membership and were liquidated by a rookie teacher! Brother Hunter has it for free! So stay away from those teachers who only post private screenshots to make money every day, but have hardly seen his technical logic analysis of his advance predictions! In fact, behind any order result is a bunch of technical logic deduction and analysis. If you only see the teachers' winning results, but have never seen him share his solution ideas in the square, then it is likely that they are parallel imports and scammers, because they are afraid of being slapped in the face! OK, back to normal, Hive accurately reached the third target stop profit position of 0.4690 given by Brother Lie on Thursday, and then rebounded sharply. At present, Hive's long position has not been completed. Brother Lie does not recommend shorting. Of course, Brother Lie will continue to pay attention to Hive, and look forward to the next wave of precise hunting of the main falling wave of Hive at the 4h level. Brother Lie is likely to publicly shout again throughout the process and release a wave of benefits to the brothers! →→返佣
#hive hive is the target that Brother Hunter publicly called out throughout the entire process. If you keep up with the rhythm, you will most likely get at least 20%+ of the amplitude! So how ridiculous and tragic is it that you spent money to buy a membership and were liquidated by a rookie teacher! Brother Hunter has it for free! So stay away from those teachers who only post private screenshots to make money every day, but have hardly seen his technical logic analysis of his advance predictions! In fact, behind any order result is a bunch of technical logic deduction and analysis. If you only see the teachers' winning results, but have never seen him share his solution ideas in the square, then it is likely that they are parallel imports and scammers, because they are afraid of being slapped in the face! OK, back to normal, Hive accurately reached the third target stop profit position of 0.4690 given by Brother Lie on Thursday, and then rebounded sharply. At present, Hive's long position has not been completed. Brother Lie does not recommend shorting. Of course, Brother Lie will continue to pay attention to Hive, and look forward to the next wave of precise hunting of the main falling wave of Hive at the 4h level. Brother Lie is likely to publicly shout again throughout the process and release a wave of benefits to the brothers! →→返佣