Good morning, everyone!
Huh~ The heart-stirring speech by Chairman Powell has finally ended.
As expected, the interest rate remains unchanged.
There’s nothing new regarding the usual topics of inflation and unemployment rates.
The key point is the last question raised by the reporters about Bitcoin and cryptocurrency investments.
Powell answered very directly, summarizing that he encourages cryptocurrencies as an emerging asset.
Following his previous view that Bitcoin is a competitor to gold, he mentioned this time that 'as long as banks can effectively manage risks, they are fully capable of providing services to cryptocurrency clients.'
It is evident that the pro-crypto policy of the Trump administration has influenced the Federal Reserve.
Under the 'boost' from Trump and Powell, cryptocurrency investments will inevitably move towards mainstream legitimacy.

The Federal Reserve indeed kept the interest rate unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5% early this morning.

According to CME's '🇺🇸 Fed Watch': The probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged in March is 82.0%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 18.0%. By May, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 57.0%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 37.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 5.5%.

Old Powell 🗣️ The policy sentiment is favorable, BTC returned above 103,000, as mentioned yesterday, it is expected to stabilize between 103,000 and 103,400 under the positive sentiment from FOMC, forming a high-level fluctuation, and the market chose higher low point options.
Slight fluctuation range 105,700 to 101,800, short-term support 101,800 to 102,100, resistance 105,400 to 105,700.

$BTC Happy New Year! Everyone! Let's take a look at the situation of the big pancake. After the previous round of increases, the big pancake has come back for a retest in the early morning, holding around 100,000, and starting to rebound. The upper resistance is around 103,800, and we need to pay attention to the breakout situation in this range.

The resistance level on the larger daily chart is still around 107,000. As long as it doesn't exceed this, it will remain a slow downward trend with fluctuations back and forth, allowing for flexible management within smaller time frames.

#特朗普加密政令 z
New Year's Eve, don't go far!
The recent market volatility can best be described using the term 'tempering the mindset'.

Yesterday, Bitcoin saw a significant decline, raising doubts among bulls. However, based on market principles, a rise after a correction in an upward trend often indicates an increase in the subsequent height.

Price fluctuations alternate, and reasonable trends involve timely pullbacks followed by rises. A single day's significant drop does not change the overall trend; declaring that the peak has been reached is clearly unreasonable.

Moreover, if the bears were truly strong, the market should continue to make new lows, but that has not been the case recently. Financial markets follow the 80/20 rule; when retail investors are struggling and confused, it is often a good time for the main forces to operate, pushing the market in the expected direction.

On Tuesday, Bitcoin is expected to pull back to 102000-101500 for longs, targeting 103000-104000,

Ethereum is expected to pull back to 3400-3070 for longs, targeting 3250-3300!

The $BTC 10 ten thousand threshold has been broken, with prices plunging all the way down to 98000, reaching a low around 97900. Today's significant decline is a strong breakout after a week of fluctuations, with long positions set near 100500 regrettably being swept out of the market.

The strength and direction of the European session have a key guiding role for the US session, and may even determine the continuity of the trend. From the analysis of the technical patterns on the hourly chart, the current price is in a continuous downtrend, with the upper pressure zone concentrated around 101000-102000, while the lower support zone focuses on 97000. The current attention is on whether this position can hold. It is recommended to patiently wait for the US session to open, and then operate according to the actual situation.

Bitcoin/Ethereum surged again and fell back. We are once again implementing a strategy of raising short positions, and the market has indeed declined as expected, with overall space being fully utilized, especially in Ethereum, which has continuously yielded profits. Currently, the market is in a downtrend followed by sideways fluctuations, and the overall rise is not strong enough, indicating a further downward trend, which is also a continuation pattern in the downtrend. On the four-hour chart, it has directly broken through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the market is expected to decline further, with the trend still showing wide fluctuations, with support levels at 101000 and 3150.

In terms of the Bitcoin/Ethereum candlestick pattern, the 4-hour and daily charts have recently shown long upper and lower shadows, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. On the daily chart, a short-term downward trend has formed, but overall it remains in a high-level fluctuation. In terms of technical indicators, the 4-hour MACD histogram has shifted from positive to negative, with DIF and DEA crossing downwards, indicating weakened short-term momentum. The trend has repeatedly failed to break new highs after rising, which will weaken and continue to decline. Tonight, we can continue to raise positions for short entries.

In terms of operation, BitSugar recommends entering short positions for Bitcoin around 104600 to 105200, with a target near 102000; for Ethereum, entering short positions around 3300 to 3330, with a target near 3210. #BSC生态活力释放

After Bitcoin's lowest pullback near 101000 yesterday, it was stimulated by various news in the evening, leading to intense fluctuations. This kind of market is very suitable for grid trading because the volatility is large enough, and there are plenty of opportunities for swings. Personally, I have also been engaged in many swing trades on Bitcoin recently, similar to grid trading, frequently buying and selling with intervals of 1000 points!

From the news perspective, there are expectations for strengthening, all of which are medium to long-term positive factors since the beginning of this year. CZ has also forwarded related news. Messages from influential people like CZ are still worth trusting, as their information is broader and more comprehensive than ours. Therefore, after the short-term fluctuations, I believe the overall crypto market will welcome a rebound similar to that in November! $BTC #比特币行情聚焦

Currently, both Nasdaq futures and S&P futures have seen a slight decline, which can be considered as the Asian market's risk-averse sentiment towards Japan's interest rate hike. Cryptocurrency has also experienced a drop, with Bitcoin down nearly 2% intraday. This is also due to the risk-averse sentiment during Asian hours, but I still do not recommend shorting at this time, at least not recommending shorting BTC.

On one hand, Japan's interest rate hike has been largely anticipated; on the other hand, the AI investment strategy introduced by Trump has given U.S. stocks the confidence to withstand Japan's rate hike. Meanwhile, the struggling cryptocurrency market still moves in tandem with tech stocks, so unless there is significant risk aversion in the U.S. stock market, the impact on #BTC will not be substantial.

Most of the time, the negative sentiment in cryptocurrency is largely self-inflicted. Japan's interest rate hike is indeed a negative factor, but to be honest, its impact on cryptocurrency is quite limited. Today is another day of waiting for presidential orders. #币圈翻车日记:我的2024坑爹时刻

The current market is in a stalemate, and everyone must remain confident and patiently hold their positions. Focus on two key time points: this Friday at 10 AM, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike dynamics, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at the end of this month. As long as the results of both match market expectations, it will inject a strong boost into the market, and there will be great hope for a subsequent upward breakthrough.

Looking ahead to February, this is undoubtedly a time window of great significance. Based on previous trends, BTC is highly likely to challenge the $110,000 mark in early February. Once it successfully breaks through, it will completely escape the current consolidation range and embark on a vigorous upward trend. Let us work together with enthusiasm and anticipation to witness this exhilarating historical moment!

Last night, Trump officially took office, marking another glorious moment in his life. This event caused significant waves in the cryptocurrency market, leading to sharp fluctuations in market conditions.

Yesterday morning, Bitcoin plummeted sharply, with a drop of up to 7000 points, creating a tense atmosphere in the market. However, in the afternoon, the market turned around, and Bitcoin rebounded strongly, increasing by 11000 points, setting a new historical high, which surprised investors. But by the evening, Bitcoin was unable to maintain its upward momentum and fell back by 10000 points, showing significant overall price volatility.

Currently, the rebound momentum of Bitcoin is relatively weak. Based on this, it is recommended to continue to hold a bearish outlook in operational strategy.

From a technical structural analysis perspective, the candlestick has a relatively long upper shadow. This candlestick pattern indicates that, stimulated by news, although the price has strongly broken through, the subsequent upward momentum is lacking, making it difficult to maintain the upward trend, which leads to a rapid price decline. Therefore, as bullish momentum gradually weakens, one should not blindly follow the trend in pursuit of a one-sided market. Especially since the current price is in the high range on the daily chart, with insufficient upward driving force, it is even more necessary to closely monitor the risks of a market pullback at this time.

On the four-hour chart, a series of consecutive bearish retracements have already appeared, and the downward trend shows certain continuity. Considering these technical indicators, it is recommended to adopt a primarily bearish operational strategy in today’s trading.

Short Bitcoin in the 103500 - 103000 range, with a target looking down at 100000 - 98000. #特朗普就职后行情怎么走？

Good good good! This door! Has something! $BTC

Some people woke up to find the sky has fallen!

After the morning, yesterday, the aunt reached the short position of 3380 in the morning, and started a sharp sell-off until it reached 3130 in the evening. Then, there was a violent fluctuation in the evening. The fluctuations over the weekend were very large, mainly because Trump is about to take office and has a very large relationship with the release of BI. How to arrange it next?

The current market is more difficult because many cottages have reached the position after 2 days of adjustment, but the big cake has only started to adjust significantly since the early morning of today, and there is a short-term asynchrony. Today, pay attention to the trend of the big cake. It is expected that the downward adjustment of the big cake will continue after the short-term rebound. The pressure of the big cake is around 103000, but because it is at an important time point, once a special reason causes a sharp rise and fall, the point will be invalid and bring good protection
#比特币行情聚焦

Good morning, my dears! Today, the King of Understanding is on stage!
A new era has arrived. Facts have proved that I still can’t catch the opportunity again. Trump’s wife issued a coin, and I was sleeping. When I woke up and saw a river of blood, I didn’t know what happened, but it doesn’t matter. At least it proves that everyone can issue coins at will in the future.

1. $BTC fell below 100,000 after Trump's wife issued the coin, and is now rebounding;

2. $ETH went in the opposite direction of Sol until @worldlibertyfi bought it and then began to rebound, and now it has been brought down again;

Trump family crypto project WLFI spent another $28 million to increase its holdings by 8,363 Ethereum;

3. $SOL started to pull back after ATH was about to break through 300, and is currently affected by on-chain exchange and fell below 250;

4. $BNB was the least affected, with the least increase and the least decrease;

5. Jito Labs: The block engine API encountered severe load, and Solana transaction submission was affected;

Jupiter: All systems of the platform are currently under extreme load, and priority fees and dynamic slippage have been increased in automatic mode;

Phantom request volume surged to 800 10,000 times, transactions may be affected;

A lot of people are doing brick-moving on the chain, and $TRUMP is making a lot of money;

6. @realDonaldTrump's wife @MELANIATRUMP issued coins, which is another opportunity for wealth reorganization, 25,000% in 3 hours;

MELANIA token economic model shows that the team's shares will be unlocked after 30 days of lock-up;

7. 1confirmation founder: 1confirmation currently holds more than 52,300 ETH;

8. The market value of Bitcoin held by MicroStrategy reached 47.27 billion US dollars, and the floating profit exceeded 19.07 billion US dollars;

9. cz_binance: There is no plan to launch Meme coins at this stage;

10. Three addresses have increased their holdings by 1.199 billion coins WLFI, about 18 million US dollars;

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I am getting worse at playing. When I woke up from a sleep, all the money I made back yesterday fell back. I don’t know what to do. Trump’s timing was very good before, but this time Melania feels like she is redeeming the Americans. After all, the people who make the most money from Trump are Chinese. Is this equal wealth?

$SOL
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has been changing rapidly, with SOL prices soaring like a runaway horse, while most altcoins have faded into obscurity, with prices continuously declining. This phenomenon has sparked widespread attention and discussion in the market. Today, Uncle Qiang will deeply analyze the two main reasons behind the surge in SOL prices.

Reason One: Solana ETF Approval Imminent, Market Excited
First of all, we must mention the approval of the Solana ETF. It is reported that the deadlines for the Solana ETF are January 23 and 25, and this news has undoubtedly brought tremendous excitement to the market. An ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) as an investment tool means that investors can participate in Solana investments in a more convenient way, which undoubtedly provides strong support for the rise in SOL prices.

Reason Two: Trump Launches Meme Token TRUMP, Demand for SOL Soars
Secondly, another significant reason is the launch of the meme token TRUMP by former President Trump on the Solana network. This news immediately attracted widespread attention in the market. People began to purchase SOL in order to exchange it for TRUMP tokens. This surge in demand directly led to the soaring of SOL prices. Within just a few hours, the market capitalization of the TRUMP token had already reached an astonishing $15 billion. This figure not only showcases the strong momentum of SOL but also further proves the market's enthusiastic pursuit of the TRUMP token.

In summary, the surge in SOL prices is attributed to both the positive news of the Solana ETF approval and the surge in market demand for the meme token TRUMP launched by Trump. These two reasons together drove the soaring of SOL prices, while most altcoins faded into the background during this feast. #SOL创新高

The sudden emergence of TRUMP has definitely disrupted the original secondary trading rhythm, and the entire market has been sucked blood by TRUMP. But at the same time, TRUMP has successfully achieved the effect of breaking the circle.

This scene is very similar to the doge shib of the year. Only super big IP can attract people from outside the circle to come in. This wave of effect is much better than the effect of the big cake breaking 10w.

The climax of this wave of craze will only last for a few days. Those who have made money in TRUMP in these days should withdraw in time, and even today or tomorrow will be almost the same. The rhythm is very fast.

The success of TRUMP has also aroused the emotions of people in the market. According to the previous experience of doge shib, a wave of climax ignited the copycat market. I hope it can be repeated this time.

$BTC

In the blink of an eye, it’s Saturday again, and time is running like water. After being blocked overnight, the big market rebounded slightly and stopped at the 1040 line. This round of strong pullbacks when President Trump is about to take office is similar to the previous election of President Trump. It really takes advantage of President Trump. clear.
At present, the daily level of the market is a big sun. The overnight surge has fallen slightly, but the decline has not been strong. Although there has been a short-term retracement, it has been restrained by the upward trend. Duotou still performs strongly, mainly due to weekend shocks. During the day, you can focus on the retracements.
There are many around 103500-104000, look at 105000-105800

1.18 Sohu Morning Report: This big cake is about to reach ATH, while the knockoffs are still lying low, it's quite an interesting thing. One can only say that only the big cake has proven itself, everything else is a conspiracy.

1. $BTC is getting closer to 108000, currently fluctuating around 105000, it feels like just a matter of a thin needle.

2. $ETH's exchange rate has rebounded; for the recent rebound, ETH isn't that bad, but the issue is that every time BTC breaks 100000, ETH is lower than the last time.

3. $SOL is fluctuating around 220, soon approaching BTC's trend.

4. Without good news, $BNB has the least increase among the top ten, it needs a launchpad or launchpool to stimulate it.

5. $XRP can only pump when good news comes, once it pumps, it doesn't stop, and once it stops, it falls.

6. Coinbase CEO: Supports the establishment of a Bitcoin strategic reserve and the creation of a special economic zone for digital assets; U.S. Congressman from Wyoming proposed strategic Bitcoin reserve legislation; Seven states in the U.S. are promoting 'strategic Bitcoin reserve' legislation, with varying content and implementation methods; Good news for $SBR brothers, your $SSR and $SXR have both gone to zero;

7. Two men from Los Angeles planned a $100 million cryptocurrency hijacking case and have pleaded guilty;

8. Digital Currency Group (DCG) launched an anonymous platform Genesis, fined $38 million for fraud;

9. All institutions submitted crypto-related ETFs; applications include but are not limited to $XRP ETF;

10. After the Japanese listed company Metaplanet adopted Bitcoin as a reserve asset, its market value exceeded $1 billion for the first time;

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The on-chain feeling is getting there; it turns out that it's important not to rush into new things, but to have things that align with one's own logic. Tidying up, later I have lunch scheduled with the brothers, a good chat, it feels like a long-awaited reunion.

The recent market is still filled with FOMO sentiment, and there isn't much new in macro data; the whole world is watching Trump's next moves. The 'final big speech' on the 19th, the inauguration on the 20th, and the administrative agenda on the 21st.
You could say that the emotional fluctuations over these three days will directly determine market trends, even the 'serious assets' like U.S. stocks and bonds are looking rather dazed, waiting for Trump to speak up. Although the big coin rebounded to 102k this morning, it’s still a garbage time. Why?
Because everyone is not really concerned about the present, but is focused on whether Trump will announce some big news about cryptocurrency. You should know, the U.S. media has been gossiping more than the crypto circles these days, speculating about the content of Trump's speech has almost become a reality show: 'Will he mention Bitcoin? Will there be any major stimulus policy?' What about the fluctuations in the U.S. dollar index?

If you had asked Bing Tang last week what he thought? I probably would have made a mid-term layout when the big coin reached around 101k, but now Bing Tang has backed off. The closer it gets to the 20th, the crazier the emotional market becomes; we don’t want to be the ones left holding the bag. Especially since the 20th is a U.S. holiday, liquidity is so poor that even splashes won’t rise, yet the sentiment is like it’s been injected with adrenaline.
If Trump accidentally mentions cryptocurrency, the market is likely to surge instantly. But if there’s no news on the 21st or 22nd, the heat of FOMO will cool down, and by then, it will be a mess.

Speaking of a mess, this week we also need to keep an eye on Japan's monetary policy meeting. There’s a 90% chance of an interest rate hike, and if that’s a done deal, the short-term market is going to be like a needle, and it’s that kind of feeling where it sticks all the way down.
For friends who are bullish, at this time, don’t be stubborn and chase high; remember the last time Japan raised interest rates, the big coin dropped straight from 60k to below 50k. This big needle is not a joke.
So, the upcoming market situation is like a chain reaction: Trump's speech on the 19th ignites sentiment, the market has no direction on the holiday of the 20th, waiting for the administrative agenda on the 21st, and on the 23rd and 24th, the yen may raise interest rates.
If the yen really strengthens, the market sentiment will change instantly, directly sending the bulls on a roller coaster ride. So, in the short term, maintain a sense of caution, and don't let FOMO blind your eyes.
Additionally, for those holding altcoins, it's better to wake up from the fantasy of 'Trump calling the shots' and check whether CME is still open? Waiting for Trump to save altcoins? It’s better to wait for him to film 'Those Years of Trump in Washington'. Don’t gamble, stay sober; your wallet won’t lie to you!