#BTC☀
Sentence on Weibo at 4 am on June 25:
The first target is to see if it can hold at around 57,000;
If it can't hold, then look at around 54,000...

I did see the target, but I didn't make any money from it. Instead, I was liquidated in the subsequent market;

People are always overly surprised that they are right, but ignore that they didn't make any money from it;

Uncomfortable; I don't know the meaning of writing Weibo; I don't make money by rebates and orders;

On the contrary, writing Weibo every day will consume a lot of my time, energy and curiosity, and curiosity will divert my attention;

Next, I only plan to write two articles:

The first article: What I saw right and wrong recently, why I was liquidated, the change in trading ideas and mentality between the early and current times, how to look at the subsequent market, and subsequent operations ;

The second article: The evolution of various currencies in this bull market on June 30; brackets: This article may take a long time to review, because I plan to simplify the rules; otherwise, what I reviewed the day before will be forgotten the next day;

As for when to write on Weibo again, I feel that the lower the frequency, the better; why do I say that? Because the previous God of War, Bit King, Fatty, Langlang; I have never seen any real-time big man update Weibo as frequently as I do;

Everyone only speaks sporadically on Weibo after they have made real-time achievements; I want to learn from them, speak less and accumulate more;

Wait until I make dozens of times in the real market in the future, and then return to my chatterbox nature; (Bracket: Because I am too chatty in my trading ideas, this may change)

Think of this first, write here;

Figures 2 and 3 are the true portrayal of my current liquidation;

$BTC is weak in rebounding, so desperate;
I could find this daily trend breaking in August last year;

I was really brainwashed by the bull market this year, and I still fantasized about taking off at that position, preferably all the way to 100,000;

If I don’t move more, I will be a short position; ​​​

$BOME seems to have a double bottom;
$PEPE seems to have also gone through a long decline, and the high point on the left side of the callback has also been stepped on;
$WIF fell and broke through;
People's callback is too deep, wait for it to shake again;
Not has not fallen yet, so I don't want to do it;

Find a coin you like, hold it; turn off the computer, and it's done;

It's really poor in May, desperate in June, and turning over in July. Now it feels like there are opportunities everywhere...

Oversold market rebounds, you take your Shanzhai, I take my Sol; we both have a bright future;

$SOL
As I expected, sol is stronger than BTC;
It was the first to break through the downward trend line and there are signs of a reversal pattern;

It is much more violent; ​​​

$BTC
Known conditions:
1. BTC had a false upward breakthrough in the box on June 7, and continued to fall until June 24;

Answer:
A false downward breakthrough in the box on June 25, how will the subsequent market trend go?

(Answer: Much more drastic, market confidence will be stronger after breaking through the downward trend line) ​​​

$BTC $SOL
6w above, hold, oscillate; time to turn upward again;
long; violent long; no more words; my 10x position sol has already boarded;

Two days of emotional repair; Chinese early trading; I feel that the time for long is in place; ​​​

$BTC
The market is very bad tonight; Bitcoin lost 60,000 points;

On the rising list, there are only two coins that are pleasing to the eye, one is MTL, a fee coin; the other is LISTA, a small-cap new coin;

I would do MTL fee coin according to my previous habits; but the K-line is too disgusting, the more it rises, the more it falls; I have no desire to do more of it;

LISTA should be the most pleasing among the recent new coins, because of its low valuation, I have done its spot before,
but I don’t want to do it tonight, I don’t know Why? Maybe it’s because Bitcoin is not strong, so I don’t want to buy the bottom of the altcoins.

Another point is that when the market environment was very bad before, I went long on CVX against the market, got a lot of money, and learned a lesson.
And I later learned the lesson of CVX and went long on Lista in the short term, and the market verified that my logic was correct.

So today, Bitcoin is so bad, even if these two coins are strong, I don’t want to go long against the market.

There is another situation that I noticed when I was browsing Weibo. Yesterday, Bitcoin’s daily decline was actually greater than that of some strong altcoins? ? ?

Although I don’t know what it means;

But Bitcoin went so badly; it feels like funds are retreating; the decline of the altcoins yesterday was not as good as Bitcoin. Maybe the early decline was too deep? Oversold rebound?

I don't understand,

Conservative players should go short;
I was obsessed with reviewing yesterday afternoon and became a short position,
but the key position of BTC60000 was repeatedly grinding, and I repeatedly went long and short several times;
Luckily, in the end, when it couldn't hold 6w for many times, I decisively entered the market to chase the short position. I currently hold a BTC short position and feel very comfortable;

I'll write this first. When market funds are retreating, I feel that it is meaningless to enter the market to buy the bottom of the cottage;

The first target position of the pancake is to see whether it can stand at around 57000;

If it can't stand, it will go down to around 54000...

$BTC
Funds began to withdraw across the board, and the market chose a downward direction after no fluctuations.
As the market fell, more and more short-sellers chose to join the winning side.
The decline was inevitable. ​​​

$ETH
ran away. I moved the ETH line again and again, but it still couldn't stop falling;

I remembered last year's 818 in the cryptocurrency circle, when ETH was the first to break in one hour, and then I saw that Bitcoin also broke, confirming that the market was going to fall, so I entered the market and went short;

I don't want to go short today, so I'll go short to save my life; ​​​

$BTC
No prize guessing game;

What are the differences between these three declines?
How will it trend in the future?
How to get out of the downward trend?
Under what circumstances will a reversal occur?

The rebound is getting weaker and weaker. If we continue like this, today's decline is very dangerous. ​​​

$TRB Diagram:
Ignore it below the green line because the uncertainty is too high;

When I noticed it, it was already in the first green circle. I judged that the market had just started, so I got on board decisively;

It went through two central oscillations;
The fifth wave had a false upward breakthrough, and then it completely fell back, and I ran away at 117.4;

Perfect;

Now I hate false breakthroughs. On the night of June 7, the false breakthrough of the big cake hurt me badly;
Now when you see a false breakthrough, you have to run even if you make a mistake;

Don’t be a bullish fantasist;

$BTC This kind of K-line is too familiar, step-by-step rise, a very certain way of rise;
Breakthrough requires adding positions, seize the opportunity, and eat a big wave;
It is difficult to achieve great things if you indulge in the fluctuations of a few points every day; ​​​

$ETH
The characteristic of Ether is that he likes to take off in a Voldemort-like manner (flag adjustment);

Pay attention to opportunities; ​​​

$ORDI
The same pattern, appearing in different positions, represents different meanings;

For example, the wedge that appears in the first consolidation interval after the box breaks through,
and the wedge that appears at a high position after the five waves surge;

Last November, I was deceived by the big cake pattern and dared not get on the car. My thighs were swollen.
[Smile]
​​​

$BTC
I have thought about how the market will evolve in the future.
Both the big cake and the second cake broke and fell rapidly. The market was miserable, and the average daily decline of the copycat was more than 10 points.
This market will probably last for 2-3 days.
Then there will be a period of disordered shock, which will shock you. If you have a good copycat during this period, you can ambush on the left side.
Then for another 2-3 days, the market will not fluctuate much. This period is the best time to make a detonation point on the right side.
Then until one day, the market will usher in a new round of outbreaks.
Why am I so sure that the market will go that way? Because this law has been played out countless times since October last year.
I will write this here today. I really need to watch anime.
When there is no market, just control your hands and light position.
Or go short with a light position, but don’t go short with a heavy position.
Anyway, I don’t like high leverage to go short. I can’t let the good habit of opening short orders that I have just cultivated be strangled in the cradle.

$BTC Tips:
1. When the K-line of a single strong coin suddenly dives downward, it may be that the coin has negative news; (except for Gouzhuang coin)
2. When all the coins on the market collectively retreat, there may be major negative news;
I usually blame the second situation on why the big cake, the living father, is falling again...
The specific situation is: the floating profit of the contract held in hand retreats collectively (first make sure that you are trading a strong popular coin);
Then I will look at the trend of other cottages. If a collective pullback is found, then you should pay attention to the risk;
Because there are many traders who watch the news, their reactions after seeing the news will be reflected on the market;
And traders like me who are not sensitive to news will find clues through individual or collective changes on the market.
Although I don’t know what the clues are, there must be problems. At this time, I have to shrink my position or leave the market to wait and see;

#交易思考
As long as there is a big mistake in the rhythm of one order, there will be constant mistakes, which is really strange;

Because at this time, people often want to recover their capital, increase leverage, and have no patience, and don’t care about the market. Just find a hot coin and rush in first. Since there is no logical support for entering the market, they can’t hold on to the orders when they see floating losses, and they cut them repeatedly; which makes the mentality worse, and it is a vicious cycle;

The correct approach should be to reduce leverage, win and lose, or simply take a day off, you can’t make all the money but you can lose all the money;

$BB $PEOPLE

Looking for the turning point of the rhythm, if BB falls; Ethereum is still fluctuating at a high level;

Market funds will still find a place to go; look for coins that diverge from BB K-line,

The recent rhythm is:
Ether rises on the 21st, pepe resonates
Peep rises on the 22nd, people follows
People rises on the 23rd
People fluctuates on the 24th (there should be coins rising in the market, I didn’t notice)

At 17:00 on the 25th, people stalled and bb rose

According to this logic, if bb weakens, look for coins,
If there is no suitable currency, the funds should return to people

1. People is a dog bank coin, and the funds in it will support the bottom
2. The meme sector has a low market value and is supported by Langlang. I have searched around but have not found a coin that is more suitable for independent market conditions than this coin;

The sixfold increase a few days ago was because of the right rhythm, not because of how high the leverage was;

The loss on the 24th was inflated. Once I lose money, my rhythm will be disrupted, and I will start a continuous loss mode later

On the 25th, I was still immersed in the sadness of recovering my investment and losing money, so I fell behind in the rhythm of bb

#复盘
At 3:00 on the 21st, eth took off, and pepe resonated with it

At 20:00 on the 21st, eth entered a high-level oscillation, pepe took off, and people followed closely

At 11:00 on the 22nd, pepe completed the small-level five waves and entered a high-level oscillation, people took off and became the most handsome guy on the field

At 11:00 on the 23rd, people accelerated to the top, and then the price returned to the left oscillation range

This round of strong rotation market is announced to have come to an end;

The next is the chaotic era,
The high position is used to make a pattern to play the wild, or the big cake in Figure 3, to see if it can come up, and the stop loss is also easy to put

In the middle of the night There is the bomb of Ethereum ETF;
It is okay to take a break;
Tonight's order must have a stop loss, or reduce the leverage, or wait and see;

People feels that it has not finished, staring at when it converges, and choose the direction again, it is better to go up

I currently have a one-time position in pepe and one-time position in people, and I plan to take it and see how it goes later

I want to buy big cake, but the position is not enough. I am not in a good mood after opening too many coins, so forget it

With little money, I like to play cottage more. Cake fluctuates too slowly. If you want to get excess returns, you have to increase leverage.
Increasing leverage has high handling fees, so it is better to play cottage with low times, which fluctuates quickly and has low handling fees, hahaha

#交易思考
Why can't I hold the order after opening a position?

I summarized it based on my own experience:
1. I didn't expect the market level, and I was afraid of floating losses and left the market in a hurry
2. I expected the market to change, but I couldn't control my hands, and I was afraid that I would miss the opportunity if I didn't enter the market
3. The leverage was too large or the entry position was not good (chasing high), which made me feel uncertain

Coping strategies:
1. Set a stop loss and go to sleep; (the best strategy)
2. Set a stop loss and stop loss and go to sleep (the middle strategy)
3. Don't set a stop loss and stop loss, go to sleep, and wake up to see the profit and loss by luck (the worst strategy)
4. Don't set a stop loss, only set a stop profit, and control your losses in disguise through the size of the position (the middle strategy)