$BTC I reminded everyone this morning that the market is really dangerous now. Bitcoin is hitting new highs every day, while altcoins are not moving at all, including Dogecoin, which previously closely followed Bitcoin, $DOGE , has also not moved.
A liquidation chart can prove many things. Now the trading volume has increased, and the number of people trading is gradually growing. However, the crazy surge of Bitcoin does not show a strong bullish sentiment.
Next, let's take a look at the liquidation statistics. The main liquidations are all long positions. Bitcoin has been rallying, so why are there still main liquidations of long positions? Because altcoins are not following the market trend, only Bitcoin is rising.
A child only growing a head and not a body would be called deformed. The market is also only rising with Bitcoin and not with altcoins, which can easily lead to a collapse. So if Bitcoin falls, how will altcoins play? Again, it's time to buy the dip.
$WIF Today I recommend to everyone the public order, has everyone boarded?
My profit-taking point today is already above 2.57, the selling pressure is too severe. There was a time when I was at a loss, and someone even asked me in the comments if I ran away. Why should I run? A loss is a loss, a profit is a profit. Manage your profit-taking and stop-loss well, trust your own judgment. If you lose a bit, you run; if you make a bit and see it drop, you get scared and want to run. How can you make money this way? It’s all about taking small risks for big rewards. If you earn, be happy and enjoy it; if you lose, reflect on yourself and find the problem. Anyway, with a stop-loss in place, you won’t face liquidation.
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$WIF In the morning, I recommended a long position at 2.5. I didn't get in, but I placed a buy order without looking, and I successfully got in. If I had taken a look, I would have adjusted the entry point to 2.47, which is just right for getting in. However, I have also benefited now.
All institutions are selling, BlackRock is buying heavily
The wave of increase tonight has ended, and now the US stock market is showing signs of a pullback. Today's wave of increase is slightly related to the pre-market trading of US stocks, and the trend of pullback has also reached its peak, coupled with BlackRock's significant buying.
In the past 24 hours, the performance of $ETH spot ETF continues to show a fragmented form, including Grayscale, five spot ETF funds have experienced selling, with a total of 5,481 ETH sold. Meanwhile, BlackRock and Vencek have seen net inflows, with BlackRock having a net inflow of 15,146 ETH, which is also a significant inflow data recently.
So yesterday, the spot ETF was in net inflow under the support of BlackRock, and currently, we can see that BlackRock investors have suddenly made large-scale purchases. Is BlackRock telling investors that they need to buy in? But overall, BlackRock is mainly focused on buying for both $BTC and $ETH .
Did everyone follow the collective surge of the market in the evening?
This afternoon, the square recommended the public order $SOL , which was near the support level at the time of the recommendation, also near the limit price. It was recommended at 233, now at 240, successfully gaining over seven points, those who followed profited.
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Bullish
Now, it is rarely mentioned in the square $SOL , and in the future, don't say that SOL can surpass Auntie.
Now SOL has reached a critical position, previously breaking below the support level, and now it has rebounded. The original support level has turned into the current resistance level. From the perspective of moving averages, it has already reached the resistance. According to technical indicators, it may rise a little more; now we just need to see if it can break through this resistance level and return to the original support line.
If it returns to the original support line and stabilizes, it can set up a small position for a long order at the support level.
From the daily perspective, it has been accumulating at the bottom for a long time, and now it is near the resistance level. The daily volume is gradually increasing, showing a strong trend with a tendency to break through. Once it stands above the resistance level, it will convert, and the resistance level will become a support level, with the possibility of seeing around 34 above.
Recommended to take a position near the current price of 26.5, and to add more if it falls back to 20.
Now, it is rarely mentioned in the square $SOL , and in the future, don't say that SOL can surpass Auntie.
Now SOL has reached a critical position, previously breaking below the support level, and now it has rebounded. The original support level has turned into the current resistance level. From the perspective of moving averages, it has already reached the resistance. According to technical indicators, it may rise a little more; now we just need to see if it can break through this resistance level and return to the original support line.
If it returns to the original support line and stabilizes, it can set up a small position for a long order at the support level.
Market data comparison on November 27: Maintain optimism and activity, capital inflow weakens, on-site retained capital is very optimistic.
Statistics of today's market data compared to last Saturday's data show that although #BTC has entered a correction mode this week, everything still looks optimistic based on the data.
The decline in market capitalization mainly comes from BTC, while #ETH data has slightly strengthened compared to last Saturday, and #Altcoins have slightly followed the decline, but risk appetite has not significantly decreased.
In terms of trading volume, despite the decline, BTC maintains an increase, indicating that it is still effectively absorbing selling pressure during the downturn, and there are still optimistic buyers actively participating. #ETH trading volume is also increasing and active, while altcoin activity is relatively low.
In terms of capital, even though market capitalization is down, capital outflow is not significant, and a large amount of capital remains in the market, pushing up the retention of on-site funds. Currently, the on-site capital retention has increased to 199.5 billion, which is approaching the 200 billion mark, and capital retention is one of the positive attitudes towards the future market.
USDT: Official data shows 132.672 billion, an increase of 567 million compared to last Saturday, with a year-on-year trading volume growth of 10.7%, still maintaining activity. The capital inflow has significantly weakened, but it remains a positive net inflow.
USDC: Data shows a market capitalization decrease of 18.4 million, with capital remaining active. However, based on recent performance in the US region, there is still a small possibility of some capital outflow. However, for on-site retention, short-term capital outflow is not a big concern.
$BTC The market has rebounded again, and this time the rebound is quite strong. If it continues to oscillate upwards at this speed, we can see levels above 96000. The overall trend is still bearish, as I reminded everyone last week; both of these weeks can still be viewed as bearish.
It's still a bit difficult to enter that rising channel; touching is more likely than falling, unless external factors come into play.
$ETH This order is a bit regrettable! Yesterday, the overall trend was rising, and there was a small level of a pin bar, but there was no way, the market was too weak yesterday, dragging down the secondary stock. I thought the pullback wouldn't be much, set a stop loss and didn't look back. I also got in at 3350, with a stop loss at 3290. I successfully stopped out and it continues to rise. What shouldn't be taken by oneself, indeed cannot be forcibly taken.
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Bullish
Now $BTC $ETH has the position of the pin inserted yesterday, and today it has roughly returned to the appropriate level as well, but it's worth considering setting up an ambush. I suggest trading Auntie, as Auntie is currently stronger than the Big Cake trend.
A closing needle has appeared now, trying 3350, let's see if we can get on board.
The market has been continuously declining for several days, knowing that 100,000 is a top. Once it reaches 100,000, there will definitely be a significant pullback, and the key is that it hasn't even reached 100,000 yet.
The whale might want to harvest us old retail investors one more time before reaching 100,000, squeezing out all the value, and then breaking through 100,000. Once it breaks through 100,000, various media and social networks will definitely promote it heavily, and a new batch of retail investors will flood in, bringing spring for the whale.
Currently, the market is showing a small-level rebound, breaking through 100,000 is difficult, and it won't be so simple to fall below 90,000. Don't blindly chase the uptrend; the overall trend hasn't adjusted properly yet.
Recommended around 94,000; you can take a small position to bet on a short.
I have recommended this spot to everyone before, the trend is very strong. Last time I recommended the upper level, it reached 2.5, and peaked at 2.439. Due to the impact of the market, it fell back down, which is unavoidable. Now it's back again.
It is currently still in the correction phase. I don't feel very optimistic about getting in at the current price, which is between 1.8 and 1.9. It's a good opportunity to wait a bit. This correction is also good, allowing those who haven't gotten in yet to continue to do so. This correction is also aimed at better breaking through 3 dollars.
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Bullish
Today's spot continues to recommend $OP
Now the entire $ETH ecosystem is about to collapse upwards. Looking at the daily chart of $OP , it can be seen that it has been in a downward fluctuation for a full 150 days, which can also be said to be an accumulation of 150 days, very significant. Given the current market is stable below, I believe there will be a substantial increase next. One can see 2.5, current price 1.677, manage on your own, look for opportunities to build positions.
The trend of $WIF also completely aligns with the analysis I provided today. It touched the upper resistance and successfully dropped. Now it is not far from the lower support. The strategy remains unchanged; if it drops a bit more, I will wait around 3.1 to enter a long position.
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$WIF has now reached the resistance level of 3.37, let's see if it can break through. This will help in judging the subsequent trend. The current trend is somewhat weakening, and even if it breaks through, it might be a false breakout like before, but the market is not something we can fully grasp.
This brings to mind a small range where we can find support and resistance to try and judge the next move.
Recommended action: If it can firmly stand above 3.37 after breaking through, go long and aim for around 3.9. If it’s a false breakout or doesn’t break through and directly falls back, continue to watch around 3.1. If it drops below 3.1, continue to go long.
It’s a bit chaotic, but if you look closely, it will be helpful for you.
Now $BTC $ETH has the position of the pin inserted yesterday, and today it has roughly returned to the appropriate level as well, but it's worth considering setting up an ambush. I suggest trading Auntie, as Auntie is currently stronger than the Big Cake trend.
A closing needle has appeared now, trying 3350, let's see if we can get on board.
Today's news brief: The Biden administration has imposed heavy taxes on China, and Trump says to add another 10%. As of 2024, the Biden administration's tariff policy on Chinese goods is as follows: - Electric Vehicles (EVs): 100% - Semiconductors: Expected to increase from 25% to 50% by 2025. - Steel and Aluminum: Some products currently face a 25% tariff, and the government intends to triple the tariffs on other products with trade review support. - Solar Cells: To increase to 50% starting in 2024, previously 25%. - Lithium-Ion Electric Vehicle Batteries: Tariffs have been raised to 25%. - Critical Minerals: Tariffs on certain minerals will increase to 25%. - Medical Products: - Respirators and Masks: Tariffs increased to 25%. - Syringes and Needles: Tariffs are now 100%. - Rubber Medical Gloves: To increase to 50% in 2025, and to 100% in 2026. - Cranes: 25%.
Trump may possibly add another 60% on top of that.
It reminds me of a poem:
When autumn comes on September 8, my flowers bloom while the hundred flowers perish.
The fragrant array rises through Chang'an, the entire city is adorned in golden armor.
$WIF has now reached the resistance level of 3.37, let's see if it can break through. This will help in judging the subsequent trend. The current trend is somewhat weakening, and even if it breaks through, it might be a false breakout like before, but the market is not something we can fully grasp.
This brings to mind a small range where we can find support and resistance to try and judge the next move.
Recommended action: If it can firmly stand above 3.37 after breaking through, go long and aim for around 3.9. If it’s a false breakout or doesn’t break through and directly falls back, continue to watch around 3.1. If it drops below 3.1, continue to go long.
It’s a bit chaotic, but if you look closely, it will be helpful for you.
The rapid decline of Bitcoin (Big Pancake) from 99000 to 92666, as seen on the 1-hour chart with several consecutive large bearish candles, shows some rebound, but the strength is not significant. Currently, both the daily and weekly charts indicate high selling across the board. Clearly, unless affected by external factors, there is no significant pullback, and short-term indicators do not suggest a bottoming out.
Ethereum (Auntie) is showing more strength than Bitcoin. I explained the reasons for this yesterday. Ethereum's spring is truly coming, and the decline will not be severe. From a technical perspective, Ethereum is much stronger than Bitcoin and will continue to rise, easily surpassing 3500.
Bitcoin faces resistance at 96000. If there's a pullback, we could see levels around 92000-90000. If it breaks below 90000, we might see 85000. However, breaking below 90000 is not so simple; there will be significant buying interest around 90000, so there’s not much to worry about. When trading contracts, remember to set stop losses.
#今日市场观点 The cryptocurrency wallet of the US President, I'm not 100% sure it's actually Trump himself, but the US crypto community has discussed it many times, it seems to be him. Earlier, someone asked what tokens Trump holds, it seems he's still a $ETH enthusiast, but the fact that Trump doesn't have $BTC surprised many friends.