Good morning, brothers. Let's first take a look at the on-chain data for the last 24 hours.

(1) A total of 5000 BTC flowed out of all exchanges,
with Binance accounting for 2000 BTC.

(2) The stablecoin changes are not significant.

The Trump family's project WLFI spent 178.2 million USD in 3 days
purchasing 6 types of tokens including ETH and WBTC.

A whale that made 19.62 million USD in 5 rounds of trading WBTC
re-purchased WBTC 8 hours ago: using 43.12 million USDT to buy 414.7 WBTC,
at an average purchase price of 104,000 USD.

Recent market conditions won't have particularly large fluctuations.
Occasionally, there will be a spike that triggers long positions, then it will pull back.

The next big fluctuation will occur when Trump
releases related cryptocurrency policies.

In the coming days, it's recommended to patiently hold onto coins.
If there is a spike followed by a big drop,
you can buy the dip for BTC, Uni, BNB, Kaia, and other coins.
ETH is still relatively weak, so buying the dip is not recommended.

I have great fortune, I was born rich. Money always comes to me. It is easy for me to make money. I am very grateful for my money, please give me more. I will enter the richest period of my life. I will have a lot of money. I believe I will get big results in 2025.

Good morning, brothers, today is the third day of Trump's inauguration.
Yesterday, some whales sold off and ran away, believing that the good news has already been fully priced in.
But our analysis said: don't run, it will rise again, the expectations are still there.

In these 3 days, BTC went down,
when many people thought it was doomed and started shorting,
it rose again,
indicating that there is still a lot of money looking to buy the dip.

In the past 72 hours,
few whales bought 22,000 BTC,
worth over 2.24 billion dollars.

In the last 24 hours,
on-chain data shows that across all exchanges,
5,000 BTC flowed out.

SEC Acting Chair Mark Uyeda has established a cryptocurrency working group,
dedicated to developing a comprehensive and clear regulatory framework for crypto assets.
This may be bearish for certain DeFi tokens,
but it is a long-term positive for the crypto space.

The long-term outlook is still bullish, following Trump's family's strategy,
there's no reason to retreat now,
it is recommended that everyone allocate at least 20% of their position to BTC,
to avoid being drained by BTC's market moves.

Remember not to complain; complaining is the fastest factor that can destroy you in this market.
Stay positive ↑ and keep optimistic. Only with big opportunities do you have a chance to seize them!

Complaining will push your benefactors further away from you!
We must always stay focused!!!
In this circle, the difference in information and cognition determines your wealth opportunities! If you do not study, do not work hard, and are not professional, why would a hundredfold opportunity fall upon you?
Even if you get lucky, do you have the courage to dive in?

I tell you it's a sure profit, yet you don’t dare to dive in. Keep learning and improving your cognition. Wealth is a reward for your cognition!

Huge opportunities are being born! Stay focused!

Good morning, brothers. Trump was officially inaugurated yesterday. Trumpcoin and Trump's wife's coin plummeted, and a whale lost 15 million US dollars. BTC fluctuated greatly, which seems very risky. So, should we not run? From the data on the chain, 10,000 BTC flowed into the exchange before and after Trump's inauguration. The stablecoins in the exchange did not change much, and there was no sign of outflow. Yesterday, Trump's project WLFI bought 47 million US dollars of ETH, wBTC and other tokens (using the money investors used to buy coins). It is not a big problem to follow the president. The Trump family has all the inside details. If they dare to buy, we just need to follow them. In fact, this is an open card. It depends on whether we can understand it. The following three factors determine that there will be market trends in the future, and the risk is not great. (1) The positive expectation of BTC is still there. Trump signed the executive order on the first day, but did not mention Bitcoin or strategic reserves, but this expectation is still there. Except for those around Trump, no one knows when it will be, and it is estimated to be within 3 months. (2) The purchase cost of BTC in the past 60 days is about $97,000. Everyone has a high cost, and there is no huge profit. (3) The average cost of mining for miners is $89,000, and the profit is not high. Next, it will be mainly volatile, waiting for a breakthrough, and buy on dips #BTC再创新高 #特朗普就职后行情怎么走？ #特朗普妻子发币 #TRUMP上线币安现货 #比特币行情聚焦

Trump's wife issued a coin, Trump retweeted it, and the market value surpassed 10 billion USD,
starting to drain the cryptocurrency market.

Due to uncertainty about the future + some funds feeling the positive news has peaked,
Binance saw an inflow of over 8,000 BTC yesterday,
with a four-hour trading volume exceeding 1.8 billion USD, comparable to when it dropped below $90,000 on January 13.

How do we view the future market trend?
(1) Trump's antics are causing a drain on the crypto market, which is temporary; in a few days, funds will flow back to other coins.
(2) The U.S. President himself launching a coin is a historic event, which will ultimately attract more people into the crypto market, bringing in new funds.
(3) Trump's administration has some crypto policies that are beneficial for the development of the crypto market, which is positive.

Yesterday, Trump's son's project again purchased 4,564 ETH,
worth 15 million USD, at an average price of 3,287 USD.

MicroStrategy's CEO has hinted at increasing BTC holdings for the eleventh consecutive week.

Thus, we believe there will be short-term pain,
but in the long term, the crypto market still does not have major issues,
and large funds will continue to enter the market.

This week, the Federal Reserve enters a quiet period,
with U.S. economic data being relatively light,
and next, we will mainly watch Trump's policies upon taking office.

Brother, I've left the 76th trump, there's no banquet that doesn't end, this feast has reached its final moment, the delicacies have long been consumed, only leftover scraps remain, and the scene is in disarray. The wise have already eaten their fill and quietly departed, while you still refuse to leave, oblivious to the situation.

Trump's dad left him 400 million dollars, and he worked hard to build the family fortune to 6.5 billion dollars. After sending out the TRUMP meme, holding 80% of the shares, 300 billion dollars in 9 hours ➕, someone bought 100 million in one go [covering face][covering face], it should be something that has never been seen in DeFi history [laughing through tears][laughing through tears]
Trump's family has been working hard for over 100 years since his grandfather immigrated from Germany, through three generations, and now Trump has finally accumulated a family fortune of 6.5 billion dollars. Who would have thought that today, a local dog would be worth 30 billion in the market, and over a century of struggle doesn't compare to just ten hours～

Life is just like a child's play...

Brothers, good morning. It has been comfortable these last couple of days.
Next week, Trump will take office. What should we do next?

(1)
For coins that have surged, like Doge, it is recommended to take profits at 70%.
For those that haven't risen much, continue to hold.
Kaia has also seen a significant rise, but it hasn't reached the resistance level yet, so continue to hold.

(2)
Look at your position situation. If you have gone all in,
then sell 30%, leaving 70% of your position,
and avoid a pullback over the weekend. If there is a pullback, it's okay to re-enter.

The US stock market will be closed next Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day,
on the same day President Trump will hold his inauguration ceremony.
The coming week is full of uncertainty.

Everything has two sides; investing is not always smooth sailing.
If Trump raises tariffs sharply when he takes office, then the US stock market will fall, which will have a certain impact on BTC.
Additionally, we need to see if Trump's promises to our crypto circle can be fulfilled.
If he can arrange for implementation, it will rise; if he deliberately forgets, it will fall.

From the on-chain data perspective, it is still optimistic.
In the past few days, BTC has been bought at the bottom, with over 20,000 withdrawn from exchanges.
Stablecoins continue to flow in.

In the long run, BTC is still expected to reach $150,000.
There may be some twists and turns in between.
I recommend holding a 70% position for the long term.

$DOGE
Don't leave yourself without a backup plan
———————————
🧑‍🍳
Everyone comes here dreaming of getting rich overnight
Buying any altcoin casually makes you think it can skyrocket
But you need to deeply understand its fundamentals and data
You also need to keep an eye on the developers and the team situation
They must follow through on what they say
If the team disbands, stops operating, or deviates from their direction
Don't fantasize about it bouncing back
Enter with logic
When there is no logic, it's time to reconsider
No matter how much you believe in a coin
Don't bet everything on it
You need to diversify
Don't put all your eggs in one basket
But also don't turn it into a supermarket position
Those small-time coins
Carry significant risks
It's like riding a roller coaster; they could be delisted or go to zero
So when buying coins
You need courage, but also wisdom
Don't leave yourself without a backup plan

There is a saying in the market that the era of altcoins is over, and I disagree. It's just like in 2021 when a bunch of new investors were deceived by the updated narrative, claiming that the crypto market was about to enter an eternal bull market—it's simply nonsense.

Right now, Bitcoin is still rising, and many people are waiting for outside investors to come in and take over. They won't, as it hasn't reached the right level yet. It must rise to the point where outside investors start to question their lives; only then will they get excited and jump in to take our positions.

At this moment, altcoins are starting to move in response, allowing new outside investors to come in and take over. What you should be doing now is not worrying about whether your altcoins will rise, but rather copying successful strategies, aligning with the market trends, and working hard while the bull market hasn’t gone crazy yet.

Why? Because altcoins, the project teams also want to profit from the new investors, so how could they not rise? The increases can't be lower than those of Bitcoin and Ethereum. It's unacceptable on all fronts—reputation, profits, everything.

Choose your coins wisely, make your layout, no need to say more, just hold on tightly!!!

The market is clearly dominated by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) sentiment, and Trump's actions and statements will become the focus of the market in the coming days.

Here are some additions and highlights:

Trump's Speech and Policies:

The "final big speech" on the 19th, the inauguration on the 20th, and the executive agenda on the 21st could indeed have a significant impact on the market, especially the cryptocurrency market.

The market is very sensitive to whether Trump will mention Bitcoin or propose policies related to cryptocurrency.

Any positive remarks about cryptocurrency could lead to a rapid market increase, while negative remarks could cool market sentiment.

Market Reaction:

The current market reaction is more based on sentiment than macro data. Even if the Bitcoin price rebounds to $102,000, it is seen as "garbage time" because the market's focus is entirely on Trump's possible policy directions.

This sentiment-driven market will exhibit extreme volatility in the short term, especially as important events approach.

Japanese Monetary Policy:

The Bank of Japan's policy meeting is indeed a potential point of market volatility.

Expectations of interest rate hikes could have a negative impact on global markets, especially the cryptocurrency market, as we have historically seen similar market reactions.

Investors need to be alert to this potential short-term market change.

Investment Strategy:

In this uncertainty, investors need to be cautious and avoid chasing highs during emotional surges. Especially considering the changes in market liquidity during the holidays and the volatility that policy announcements may bring, it is wise to remain vigilant and rational in the short term.

Expectations for Altcoins:

For altcoin holders, expecting Trump's "picking orders" may be unrealistic.

The real drivers of the market lie in policy transparency and the macroeconomic environment, rather than the specific mention of a particular coin.

Investors need to adjust their strategies based on actual market dynamics and risk assessments.

In summary, the next few days will be a critical period for market sentiment, and investors need to keep a clear mind, focusing on actual policy directions rather than being swayed by market emotions.

Brothers, good morning. This feels great.
BTC successfully broke through $101,000.

Just yesterday, two negative events occurred:
1. The South Korean Upbit exchange was ordered by the government to prepare for closure, causing BTC to drop during the day.
2. In the evening, the three major U.S. stock indices all fell, with Apple plunging 4%, leading to a decline in BTC at night.

Some brothers are unable to see the big trend.
They run away after a small drop, and end up missing out.

Next, the crypto market may welcome significant positive news.

On one hand, the expectation that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates is starting to be partially reversed.

Yesterday, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that
the CPI data released on Wednesday was good.
If inflation data continues to improve,
the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates again in the first half of 2025.

Last night, the U.S. retail sales month-on-month for December fell below expectations.
The expectation was 0.7%, but the released data was 0.4%,
indicating a certain degree of decline in inflation.

On the other hand, next week Trump may stir things up.
According to informed sources, Trump plans to issue an executive order,
elevating cryptocurrency to a policy priority, designating it as a national focus or priority.
He plans to establish a cryptocurrency advisory committee to promote industry policy priorities.
A national Bitcoin reserve will also be created,
which will include the Bitcoin currently held by the government.

Whether this will really happen is only about 70% certain.
If the promise is fulfilled, there is a chance for BTC to rise to $150,000.

It is recommended to hold onto your coins patiently. Brothers who were scared off last night can still get back in:
BTC, BNB, Uni, Kaia, Pengu.

Good morning, brothers. I woke up this morning and found that BTC has reached $100,000.
Although the analysis in the past few days is bullish and everyone is asked to hold on.
But some brothers don’t read the analysis much,
and still miss out in panic, which is a pity.

Brothers who miss out can still get on board: BNB, Kaia, Uni and other currencies,
and join the VIP group to get more passwords.

BTC has experienced 6 major pullbacks at around $100,000
The 90-day moving average has reached $90,000 (which is the lowest point of the pullback the day before yesterday)
People who bought in the past three months have not made much money
The mining cost of a mining machine is an average of $86,000 per BTC

When is there a risk?
1. BTC price deviates significantly from the moving average, MACD is too high
2. The price deviates significantly from the miner's cost, allowing miners to earn more than 30%
This price may be around $130,000
In terms of on-chain data, stablecoins flow in, and Binance's BTC flows out
So don't panic now, just hold the coins patiently, and spend the year with the coins #BTC重回10万 #XRP突破新高？ #核心CPI回落 #币安Alpha上新 #美国PPI温和上涨 $BTC $ETH $XRP

In trading, what is the most important thing?
In trading, what is the most important thing? I think preserving capital is the most important. So what does preserving capital mean? Preserving capital means protecting your principal, which is the most important thing.
In trading, what should you do if you incur losses? I believe the most important thing to do is to cut losses. Not to add to your position, because you have already reached your stop-loss point. If you do not cut losses, it will only lead to greater losses. In a trade, what I can do is control my loss limit.
In trading, can profits be controlled by yourself? I believe they cannot. I think the amount of profit is not something you can decide yourself. The amount of profit depends on the market to give you the answer. But when you reach your profit target, at least reduce your position to increase your profit cushion to better cope with the upcoming risks.
The market's startup will definitely first attract the most well-known and widely held individuals, making the circle heat up.
If you feel that what you hold does not include Lafite, then first ask yourself how many people know about this.

In September 2023, Bitcoin was at 26,000 USD, and I started the countdown for a year-end close of 32,000 USD, with even a chance to spike to 40,000 USD.
At the beginning of 2024, I opposed the idea of making decisions based on past events after the crash in March 2020.
In September 2024, when everyone thought there would never be another bull market and Bitcoin would fall below 40,000 USD, I predicted that Bitcoin would at least close at 80,000 USD by the end of the year.
At the end of 2024, I opposed the idea of a fake season and even countered the concept of a fake festival.
In the second quarter of 2025, I will again oppose the decisions based on the crash on May 19.
There was no fake season in the first quarter, and there was no May 19 crash in the second quarter. [shy]

On January 15, news reported that Gary Gensler, Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), stated in an interview with Yahoo Finance that the SEC has never declared Bitcoin and Ethereum to be securities. Gensler emphasized that neither the SEC nor its former chairman Jay Clayton has ever stated that Bitcoin is a security. He also added that the SEC has not made a clear determination regarding the security attributes of Ethereum but noted that it cannot directly confirm its non-security nature due to his position and responsibilities.

Yesterday, BlackRock's IBIT saw a net outflow of $219.74 million, marking the second-largest net outflow day in history.

Summary: The main resistance level for Bitcoin currently remains at 97,500. If it cannot break through smoothly, it will form a second top divergence on the hourly level, with the most recent support being around the daily midline at 95,700. The intraday market is expected to move sideways within this range, waiting for the CPI data release tonight to determine its direction.

To win in trading, the simplest method is to avoid complex trades.

If you think that the more reference factors you have and the more details you pay attention to, the greater your grasp of this trade,
then you are mistaken.

This will only confuse your judgment of the trade, not only increasing the risk of loss but also potentially causing you to miss out on profit opportunities by not doing what you should.

So how can you make trading uncomplicated?

It's simple: fixate on one trading strategy, focus on the signals you are most confident in, and repeat it to perfection. This way, you will succeed.

If you think there is no market now, then the most correct thing to do is to throw away everything and leave. If you are still in the market and think there will be a bull market in the future, then stay firm. Think about this problem clearly, and many things will be solved!

Instead of complaining and blaming the leeks every day, losing money because most of the fence-sitters are bullish and immediately chase for fear that it will not go up, and then look for lower prices when it falls. There is no logic. ​​​