In the past two days, the stock market has plummeted. I will analyze the trend for everyone, but many friends are still facing liquidation, so I can only provide you with some extra ammunition.
Regardless, the rebates can still bring a bit of warmth to everyone amidst the cold wave of the market crash, a true act of kindness during tough times.
Below are some rebate situations; some of the excess will be refunded to me. Everyone is still quite reliable. For New Year's Day, we will use cash and USDT. Although the market isn't great, I hope everyone can have a happy New Year's Day.
Rebate benefits, save transaction fees. Many people don’t know that opening contracts and buying and selling spot goods require fees? They also don’t know that there are rebates. For example, 50U 50 times leverage, the general spot fee is 0.2%, 1800U monthly fee, and 6480U can be returned to your account in a year. Basically, after a whole year, the profit is not as high as the fee. 。 。 。
If the transaction volume is large and the contracts are frequent, you can save a SU7 in a year.
Do trend trading, also do range trading, sell at resistance levels, buy at support levels, is it really that difficult? If you frequently operate and make 1,000 to 2,000 points in profit, you should take your profit, and if you want a bigger picture, you should move your stop loss. If someone feeds you, will you eat it? Then you have to cook for yourself. If you don't learn anything, how can you cook? This blogger learns a bit, that blogger learns a bit, and in the end, the result is just a broad understanding without depth. Technology is ever-changing, and being able to effectively apply a particular technique is already quite good. Following one blogger normally all the way to the end, learning the essence, isn't it better to trade and analyze for yourself?
Highly correlated with BTC trends, the 4-hour trend's eight-wave pattern is basically ending, with an A to B transition at the daily level, first looking at the 0.382 position, and then continuing upwards; if there is no breakthrough, then looking downwards again. The specific trend is shown in the picture.
SOL, as it kept falling, guess what happened, the wave is gone.
A major drop, the 5th wave has vanished, the 8th wave has ended, and the 4-hour and daily chart's 8th wave pattern is reaching its conclusion. It can be considered that the 8th wave pattern has completed; further down is around the 1.618 level. The new wave pattern has not yet begun. Wait for BTC to stabilize and rebound to break through the 0.382 level to take a chance on a rebound.
ETH, the cottage industry is changing, but the Ether is solid.
In terms of the trend, it has stepped back to the previously mentioned wave a position of 3106, which is actually 3097. The step back is effective. At this stage, it is moving towards wave b, which is still relatively weak. It has not yet broken through the position of 0.382. Go short at the resistance level and go long at the support level if it breaks through. First look at 0.5 and then look at 0.618. The specific trend is shown in the figure.
BTC plummeted, leading to the liquidation of over 1.1 billion military personnel. The overall trend is unclear, and it is destined to result in significant losses with minor gains. Yesterday, there was a rebound of 5000 points after the decline, but this does not mean the correction has ended. A rebound is not a reversal. The 4-hour B wave is delayed; we can only see if it rebounds near 0.382. If it breaks upward, we look up; if it does not break, we look down and trade according to the trend. The specific trend is shown in the picture.
LINK is not a weakling, it broke three times in a row.
From the 4h trend, ab turned and fell below 0.618. 1.618 should not be reached. The b wave can be seen in the 0.382 range, which can be a resistance level. It can be high or low. There is no problem.
PEPE, it has reached 1.618 so quickly, are you so weak? I give up.
LIVE
笔谈
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$PEPE
PEPE, wave C is strong and fierce
The expected position of 4h is around 0.618, which belongs to the regular wave pattern. Yesterday, it directly stepped back and broke through 1.0, which is 0.1898. Today, it is a new round of downward movement, reaching the range of 1.0 and 1.618. It can only be said that wave C is strong and fierce. The next range range is likely to fluctuate or go down. It mainly depends on whether BTC can stabilize. The specific range is shown in the figure.
The 4-hour trend forms a conventional bull flag triangle. After a brief pullback and consolidation, it generally continues with an upward wave. It is in the 5-wave pattern of the 4-hour chart, currently oscillating within the flag. A breakout above the upper boundary will lead to an upward movement, while a break below the lower boundary indicates the pattern has failed. The upper and lower boundaries of the flag can be used as support and resistance.
Specific trend and pattern boundaries are shown in the figure.
SOL, the eighth wave of the daily line, ushered in the final end.
From the 4h trend, there is still one last wave of driving wave, and it is currently in the 4th wave correction. As the live broadcast said, if it does not fall below the first wave, then the 5th wave pattern is valid, as shown in the blue line in the figure. The daily level is adjusting the 3rd wave, at the end of the c wave, the Fibonacci 1.618 position is 167.9, as shown in the red line in the figure.
The a wave retracement at the daily level is quite powerful, and it will be the standard 1.618 if it goes down a little bit. You can pay attention to the current position first and try to rebound. If it is weaker, you can only continue to look down. The 1.618 position of the 4h trend is very low, so don't pay attention to it for the time being. The specific trend is shown in the figure.
The expected position of 4h is around 0.618, which belongs to the regular wave pattern. Yesterday, it directly stepped back and broke through 1.0, which is 0.1898. Today, it is a new round of downward movement, reaching the range of 1.0 and 1.618. It can only be said that wave C is strong and fierce. The next range range is likely to fluctuate or go down. It mainly depends on whether BTC can stabilize. The specific range is shown in the figure.
The three-wave trend of the decline has not changed. It is currently in the position of ab wave conversion. The live broadcast also reminded that without the inflow of funds and volume, it is impossible to judge whether it will turn to b. The general direction is high and empty. Trading can be done within the range. It is impossible to judge whether the current a has been completed because there is no clear stop to the decline. The specific trend is shown in the figure.
🐮Still here. Don't panic, there hasn't been a 30% drop. You say the bull is gone, we can't drop. Let's look at 70,000 if it goes down, and 150,000 if it goes up. Trade with the trend, go with the flow, and don't be too stubborn.
LIVE
笔谈
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$BTC
BTC, the bull is gone, looking at 70,000, do you have a brain?
If it falls, it will be cut in half, if it rises, it will be 150,000, just follow the crowd, at this stage, it is impossible to say whether it has stabilized effectively, it can only be said that it has effectively gone through the 4h a wave, and at this stage it is a b wave rebound. Whether it can rebound to the standard position depends on whether the US time is entered, and there is no need to talk about the daily level callback. Look at the picture or watch the live broadcast.
Last night was another night of market crashing 😓. Since last weekend, the upward trend has not seen any substantial volume increase, nor has there been any new capital created. There have been many risk warnings, strict stop-loss measures, and as a result, there were again a lot of liquidations. Some paid commenters even said it would break 120,000 or 150,000, trapping many people.
In fact, from an earnings perspective, fans and KOLs (Key Opinion Leaders) belong to the same side. KOLs rely on fan support, and fans need KOLs for analysis; the goal is for everyone to profit together. I believe most KOLs definitely hope that their fans can make money, but due to individual mindset, technical level, and experience, losses are unavoidable.
For the market makers to profit, they need to drain from retail investors. KOLs and fans constitute the largest group of retail investors. If KOLs and fans profit, market makers cannot lose money. Therefore, the result is that other KOLs and fans will incur losses. It's better to choose a more stable KOL; you can win countless times, but you only lose once.
笔谈KOL社区
LIVE
笔谈
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$BTC
At this stage, there is no need to chase the high in BTC. There is no new capital inflow over the weekend, basically it goes down as it came up, at most it might touch a new high, but it’s not a big issue.
I really didn't expect to reach 0.3, it was too fast. This wave C is greatly influenced by the market. 😂😂
笔谈KOL交流社区
LIVE
笔谈
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$DOGE
DOGE, follow the big trend and then find the small trend, do you think it is difficult? It is difficult, not because of the support and resistance levels, but because of the difficulty of holding on. Not only are you afraid of missing out, but you are also afraid of losses. Dogecoin live broadcasts have talked about this many times, and many charts have been drawn. Don't worry about whether it is bullish or not, just worry about the trend.
The 4h trend has not changed much, and the eight-wave pattern has basically ended. If it continues to go down, it will be around 30. The daily level a turns to b, and it has not stabilized effectively. If it goes to b, according to the Fibonacci retracement of 0.382 and 0.618, it is at 0.3953 and 0.4293. If it continues to go down to a, the position is consistent with what was said before.
ETH, the trend has not shown significant changes, the 4h 'a' can be said to be basically finished, and it is moving in the 4h 'b'. The rebound position of 'b' is indeed debatable, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, and the current volume can only be observed step by step. The wave pattern at the daily level is normal but still needs one more round of 5 waves, but if it continues downwards, it can directly move to 'a' and potentially turn into '4', specifics still need to be monitored. 4h trend as shown in the diagram.