The flow of news from the world of mass adoption does not stop 🧐
This time, it was announced that Franklin Templeton, a wealth manager of ~$1.5 trillion, is partnering with SBI Holdings to provide official Bitcoin purchasing services in Japan.
Previously, such news signified powerful positivity and liquidity flows into the market, but now, unfortunately, they mean almost nothing, since the market has become much heavier in terms of adoption 🤷♂️
Relatively recently, I made a forecast for#TOTAL3(capitalization of altcoins without ETH) and it worked perfectly for a rebound in wave D.
Now, according to the plan, a correctional wave E should develop within the plane. The dominance of BTC confirms this.
However, I myself don’t really want this scenario to come true, since this will most likely lead to very disastrous consequences for all “shields” that are not included in the top 10 by capitalization 😅
The support zone for the buyback was, after the fact, ideally determined, since the price ideally collected both levels marked on the chart on the strait.
However,#NOTis not in a particular hurry to grow yet, since the general market conditions do not allow it (like the majority).
Locally, I now see a clear irregular ABC plane with longists extending through the deviation.
This is a good long setup, but it is worth remembering that without the support of Bitcoin it is unlikely to work 🤷♂️ #notcoin #ton #btc
Now I propose to look at the situation on a much larger scale 👆
Until August 2022, the market was notorious for its volatility, even during bear markets dating back to 2016 (start of chart on BitMex).
And now we see that the current cycle since the start of the bear market is the most sluggish in the entire history of the crypt.
One could attribute this to growing capitalization and, accordingly, heavier liquidity, but it didn’t even update the ATH, although in all previous cycles it gave from 4 x on top and more.
In general, for normal work in the market, this situation needs to be gradually corrected, otherwise we will remain stuck in this boring swamp 😴
There are no big changes for Bitcoin yet. The correction continues, but extremely slowly.
Market volatility is low even taking into account the fact that it is the height of the work week.
Dominance has not gone down very far and is now already forming a rebound. Globally, we still have the same side saw, but in a narrowing range, what else do I want for futures trading, because the directions change literally every day 🫣
I am observing a continuation of the correction in #BTC, but it is happening rather sluggishly and without volumes.
This suggests that the seller shows practically no initiative. Market shopping has simply slowed down.
However, the price may well reach the 0.5 - 0.382 Fibonacci zone ($61,000 - 62,700) to relieve the indicators, so you should be prepared for such a scenario 👀
There is indeed a lot going on this week, and the launch of Ethereum ETFs could generate significant interest. Let me remind you that trading starts tomorrow (July 23). At the same time, it is possible that we will see a similar situation, as was the case with Bitcoin during the unloading from Grayscale in the first weeks. It is worth noting that the high commission on Grayscale ETFs compared to competitors may have an impact on price dynamics 📊
I don’t expect immediate growth in the market, but everything is possible, they are more inclined towards the option that 1-2 months and then perhaps we will see ETH above 4k, alta will do well accordingly 🚀
Also, after Joe Biden was withdrawn from the election race, Trump’s chances of winning have decreased.
This event caused some uncertainty in the crypto market, but the chances of Trump winning are still significant
ETH/BTC - indicator of the altseason and the position of altcoins on the market 👆
Now the picture is quite depressing due to the fact that the price is trading in the lower area of a wide long-term sideways trend.
However, now there are many arguments for a reversal and change in trend.
Among them are a rebound from the key limit support of 0.044 - 0.049 BTC and a breakdown of the senior slope resistance with subsequent consolidation.
If the chart follows a positive scenario, then very soon we will be able to see further growth and, accordingly, the start of a long season in the altcoin market 📈
The capitalization of alts, despite the growing Domination, still showed good movement following the underlying asset.
At the moment, the entire structure looks like a clear ABCDE plane, but this is still a negative scenario, because wave E can knock out the remaining hardcore holders from the market.
I won’t predict a correction for now, because I myself want to believe that the BTC Dominance will finally go into correction and we will see the development of the usual downward channel for the capitalization of altcoins (without ETH) 📈
Tether is printing USDT regularly, but how much over the past year?
31,000,000,000 USDT per year!
Why is the issuer printing so much USDT?
The printing of Tether USDT directly means that there is additional demand for USDT for spot cryptocurrency purchases or as collateral for leveraged cryptocurrency purchases.
By the way, the chart shows the market reaction to this event...😁
At the same time, the trustee of Mt.Gox activated large transfers from his wallets
In fact, this is the last of the major stumbling blocks for the ATH update
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• There is enough liquidity in the system, the SEC gave preliminary approval to launch trading of spot ETH-ETF on July 23, Tether today printed another 1 billion $ on large demand. If the market can swallow these BTC in the current price range, alta will quickly return to its March highs
At the moment we have +19% of the net movement from the previously noted limit support zone.
It is also important that on the daily timeframe the coin fixed above the moving ma200, which was very important to do at that moment.
Judging by the potential, there is still approximately the same amount of room for growth that has already been passed, and this is at least.
With the best outcome, the plane may not form completely, so there is always a chance to go to 4k$ and higher upon the breakdown of the inclined resistance 📈
- The current bullish hypothesis is a potential “pH&P” on an hourly scale.
- To confirm this idea, the buyer must maintain the level of $0.0126, this is the condition and symmetrical limit for re-accumulation as part of the “PP”.
- If the pattern is successfully formed, you can conservatively expect a recovery to the area of $0.025, and the standard target will be the range [0.036-0.04$].
I visualized my expectations on the chart. #notcoin
On the weekly timeframe, I see a clear wave structure that lacks the final touch.
Considering the fact that the correction is developing in threes and has already reached the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the entire structure, we can expect that a reversal is already close.
The growth potential in the 5th impulse wave is around ~160% and even more, so I would recommend paying attention to this deal.