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Chauncey Liu
@chaunceyliu_eth
😎Top Investment Bank Practitioner 🥬Crypto Investor & Researcher 7 years 🏆I have a lot of awards, but there is not enough space in this margin to write them
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As we all know: When market expectations are extremely uniform, it usually indicates that a turning point is approaching. When the Fear and Greed Index remains in 'Extreme Greed' for an entire month, and after a brief pullback, it rises to a high again, we should remain sufficiently vigilant. The last time this happened was in March of this year, when Bitcoin significantly pulled back from the $79,000 position. Historically, this pattern has generally been followed.
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No, they are manipulating the market so blatantly? ?
USA: The most powerful country on earth
Trump: The most unconventional and charismatic president
Musk: The richest, boldest businessman with the most powerful social software
Does anyone realize that this combination is the most powerful collusion between officials and businessmen in human society in history?
$DOGE
USA: The most powerful country on earth
Trump: The most unconventional and charismatic president
Musk: The richest, boldest businessman with the most powerful social software
Does anyone realize that this combination is the most powerful collusion between officials and businessmen in human society in history?
$DOGE
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2016:
Electoral Votes: Trump wins
Total Votes: Hillary wins
Senate: Republican majority
House of Representatives: Republican majority
2020:
Electoral Votes: Biden wins
Total Votes: Biden wins
Senate: Republican majority (but the Democrats united two independents resulting in a tie, plus the Vice President's vote gives control of the Senate to the Democrats)
House of Representatives: Democratic majority
2024:
Two days before the election, the market reflects a near 50-50 split
But now it seems the Democrats may not even be able to hold the total votes... In undecided swing states, Trump is basically leading, and he might achieve a complete victory
$BTC $DOGE
Electoral Votes: Trump wins
Total Votes: Hillary wins
Senate: Republican majority
House of Representatives: Republican majority
2020:
Electoral Votes: Biden wins
Total Votes: Biden wins
Senate: Republican majority (but the Democrats united two independents resulting in a tie, plus the Vice President's vote gives control of the Senate to the Democrats)
House of Representatives: Democratic majority
2024:
Two days before the election, the market reflects a near 50-50 split
But now it seems the Democrats may not even be able to hold the total votes... In undecided swing states, Trump is basically leading, and he might achieve a complete victory
$BTC $DOGE
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An unidentified big shot has placed a huge bet on multiple U.S. election-related questions on Polymarket.
Among them, the betting amount on Trump winning exceeds 15 million USD.
The wallet address is 0x1f2dd6d473f3e824cd2f8a89d9c69fb96f6ad0cf.
Looking at the on-chain activity, this address is mainly used for betting; it's unclear who is behind it.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Among them, the betting amount on Trump winning exceeds 15 million USD.
The wallet address is 0x1f2dd6d473f3e824cd2f8a89d9c69fb96f6ad0cf.
Looking at the on-chain activity, this address is mainly used for betting; it's unclear who is behind it.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
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The monsters in the cryptocurrency circle have also started to put up banners😂
"Fight for 100 days, work hard to get on Binance and build a highway to wealth"
Which project is this?
"Fight for 100 days, work hard to get on Binance and build a highway to wealth"
Which project is this?
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It’s outrageous. The cryptocurrency industry has started to use backdoor listings…
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The crypto market in June was extremely bearish
Nine out of ten cryptocurrencies in the top 100 by market value fell in the past month
$TIA , $NOT , $ENA and other leading decliners were nearly halved
A few projects such as BRETT, KAS, and TON rose against the trend
(Interestingly, the top three leading decliners can all be traded on Binance, but the top three leading risers are not listed on Binance🌚)
Nine out of ten cryptocurrencies in the top 100 by market value fell in the past month
$TIA , $NOT , $ENA and other leading decliners were nearly halved
A few projects such as BRETT, KAS, and TON rose against the trend
(Interestingly, the top three leading decliners can all be traded on Binance, but the top three leading risers are not listed on Binance🌚)
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Bitcoin volatility has dropped to the level at the beginning of the bull market
Implied volatility is usually calculated based on the options products traded on the market combined with the Black-Scholes formula, reflecting investors' expectations of the volatility of asset prices in the future
Statistics of the volatility data of Bitcoin and Ethereum from July 3, 2023 to July 2, 2024 show that the trends of the two are basically the same, and both have continued to decline since April. Among them, the implied volatility of Bitcoin has dropped below 50, while Ethereum has a certain difference from Bitcoin due to the uncertainty of the launch time of the ETF
In summary, the market judges that the short-term trend of $BTC and $ETH is still mainly sideways. According to historical experience and data trends, there is a possibility of a bull market in the second half of 2024
Implied volatility is usually calculated based on the options products traded on the market combined with the Black-Scholes formula, reflecting investors' expectations of the volatility of asset prices in the future
Statistics of the volatility data of Bitcoin and Ethereum from July 3, 2023 to July 2, 2024 show that the trends of the two are basically the same, and both have continued to decline since April. Among them, the implied volatility of Bitcoin has dropped below 50, while Ethereum has a certain difference from Bitcoin due to the uncertainty of the launch time of the ETF
In summary, the market judges that the short-term trend of $BTC and $ETH is still mainly sideways. According to historical experience and data trends, there is a possibility of a bull market in the second half of 2024
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20 Well-Known Projects with Low Market Cap and High FDV (July 2024)
In the world of cryptocurrency, it is important to distinguish between Market Cap and Fully Diluted Value (FDV)
In the traditional financial industry, the above two concepts are exactly the same. Regardless of whether the shares are restricted or locked by pledge, they must be included in the calculation of the company's market value. For example, when an A-share listed company just completed its IPO, the share price was 10 yuan per share and the total share capital was 100 million shares. Although 80 million of the 100 million shares were pre-IPO shares and could not be circulated within one year, the company's market value was still calculated by using the price of 10 yuan per share × 100 million total share capital, thus deriving the company's market value of 1 billion yuan.
In the traditional financial industry, the above two concepts are exactly the same. Regardless of whether the shares are restricted or locked by pledge, they must be included in the calculation of the company's market value. For example, when an A-share listed company just completed its IPO, the share price was 10 yuan per share and the total share capital was 100 million shares. Although 80 million of the 100 million shares were pre-IPO shares and could not be circulated within one year, the company's market value was still calculated by using the price of 10 yuan per share × 100 million total share capital, thus deriving the company's market value of 1 billion yuan.