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Luam Rámsër
@Square-Creator-69651fa36992
Trader no mercado forex com mais de 7 anos de experiência.
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MicroStrategy’s Strategy: A New Reality for BTC
MicroStrategy has surprised the market again.
The company acquired 51,780 BTC for $4.6 billion, with an average purchase price of $88,627 per Bitcoin. This was the largest BTC purchase in the company’s history.
To finance this acquisition, MicroStrategy sold 13.6 million shares, successfully raising capital.
Additionally, the company announced access to $42 billion over the next three years for future Bitcoin purchases.
🪙 Key Numbers:
◽️ Total BTC in possession: 331,200
◽️ Total asset value: US$29.7 billion
The company acquired 51,780 BTC for $4.6 billion, with an average purchase price of $88,627 per Bitcoin. This was the largest BTC purchase in the company’s history.
To finance this acquisition, MicroStrategy sold 13.6 million shares, successfully raising capital.
Additionally, the company announced access to $42 billion over the next three years for future Bitcoin purchases.
🪙 Key Numbers:
◽️ Total BTC in possession: 331,200
◽️ Total asset value: US$29.7 billion
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October CEX Report: Increase in Trading Volumes and Traffic
Last month, centralized exchanges (CEX) saw significant growth in trading activity and web traffic, according to data from Coingecko and Similarweb.
Here are the main highlights:
📈 Growth in Spot Trading
Spot market trading volumes increased by 17% in October. Key highlights:
Coinbase led the way with an impressive +61% growth.
Gate followed with +36%.
Binance has shown steady growth of +24%.
However, not all exchanges followed suit: Bitfinex fell -19%, while HTX and Bitget showed minimal changes.
Here are the main highlights:
📈 Growth in Spot Trading
Spot market trading volumes increased by 17% in October. Key highlights:
Coinbase led the way with an impressive +61% growth.
Gate followed with +36%.
Binance has shown steady growth of +24%.
However, not all exchanges followed suit: Bitfinex fell -19%, while HTX and Bitget showed minimal changes.
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Graphics Total2 _ BTCD_ XLM
Chart Analysis:
1. Observed Assets:
TOTAL2: Total crypto market cap, excluding Bitcoin. Shows the overall health of altcoins.
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance): Percentage of the crypto market represented by Bitcoin. High dominance indicates capital flight from altcoins.
XLM/USDT (Stellar): Stellar quote in relation to the Tether dollar.
2. Identified Patterns:
A. TOTAL2 (Altcoin Capitalization):
It presents a slight recovery movement after a fall.
Support Zone: There is possibly a support area that has held the price, indicating that altcoins have started to attract capital again.
1. Observed Assets:
TOTAL2: Total crypto market cap, excluding Bitcoin. Shows the overall health of altcoins.
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance): Percentage of the crypto market represented by Bitcoin. High dominance indicates capital flight from altcoins.
XLM/USDT (Stellar): Stellar quote in relation to the Tether dollar.
2. Identified Patterns:
A. TOTAL2 (Altcoin Capitalization):
It presents a slight recovery movement after a fall.
Support Zone: There is possibly a support area that has held the price, indicating that altcoins have started to attract capital again.
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Bulls Peanut
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Bulls.. XLM XRP ADA AXS
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Analysis of the 2-hour chart of the AVAX pair based on the mentioned indicators:
1. General Context:
Current price: 34.75, down -1.11% over the period.
The price is above the weekly VWAP, but the recent rejection at 37.00 indicates selling pressure. The upper band of the weekly VWAP was tested and the price retreated, which may suggest resistance in this area.
2. Indicators:
Williams %R:
The indicator is in the intermediate zone, close to -50, indicating a market with no clear direction at the moment. If the Williams %R falls below -80, it reinforces the selling pressure. If it returns above -20, it may indicate a resumption of buying strength.
Delta Volume:
A falling price with more negative delta volume suggests greater selling pressure compared to buying. This may be a sign of weakening demand or profit taking after the recent rally.
Weekly VWAP and Bands:
The weekly VWAP is acting as dynamic support around 34.00.
Lower VWAP band: Offers support near 33.00.
Upper VWAP band: Served as resistance at 37.00.
3. Relevant Levels:
Resistance:
1. 37.00: Region of the upper band of the weekly VWAP and significant resistance.
2. 39.00: Psychological resistance, in case the price manages to break the previous level.
Support:
1. 34.00: Near the weekly VWAP, which is holding the price.
2. 33.00: Lower VWAP band, important to maintain the bullish bias in the short term.
4. Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price remains above the weekly VWAP (34.00) and the Williams %R inverts to the overbought zone (above -20), the asset may seek 37.00 again.
A breakout of 37.00 with above-average buying volume may lead the price to test 39.00.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 34.00, selling pressure may lead it to the lower band of the weekly VWAP (33.00).
A breakout of 33.00 would open space for more significant falls, possibly towards 30.00.
1. General Context:
Current price: 34.75, down -1.11% over the period.
The price is above the weekly VWAP, but the recent rejection at 37.00 indicates selling pressure. The upper band of the weekly VWAP was tested and the price retreated, which may suggest resistance in this area.
2. Indicators:
Williams %R:
The indicator is in the intermediate zone, close to -50, indicating a market with no clear direction at the moment. If the Williams %R falls below -80, it reinforces the selling pressure. If it returns above -20, it may indicate a resumption of buying strength.
Delta Volume:
A falling price with more negative delta volume suggests greater selling pressure compared to buying. This may be a sign of weakening demand or profit taking after the recent rally.
Weekly VWAP and Bands:
The weekly VWAP is acting as dynamic support around 34.00.
Lower VWAP band: Offers support near 33.00.
Upper VWAP band: Served as resistance at 37.00.
3. Relevant Levels:
Resistance:
1. 37.00: Region of the upper band of the weekly VWAP and significant resistance.
2. 39.00: Psychological resistance, in case the price manages to break the previous level.
Support:
1. 34.00: Near the weekly VWAP, which is holding the price.
2. 33.00: Lower VWAP band, important to maintain the bullish bias in the short term.
4. Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price remains above the weekly VWAP (34.00) and the Williams %R inverts to the overbought zone (above -20), the asset may seek 37.00 again.
A breakout of 37.00 with above-average buying volume may lead the price to test 39.00.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 34.00, selling pressure may lead it to the lower band of the weekly VWAP (33.00).
A breakout of 33.00 would open space for more significant falls, possibly towards 30.00.
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XRP 2-hour chart
1. General Context:
The current price is at 1.0572, down -5.68% over the analyzed period.
The weekly VWAP is positioned as a dynamic support below the current price (~0.95), suggesting that the asset is still trading above the volume-weighted average value.
2. Technical Indicators:
Williams %R:
It is currently in an oversold region (below -80), indicating a possible exhaustion of selling pressure.
If there is an upward reversal and the indicator returns above -80, this could suggest a resumption of buying strength.
Moving Averages:
The price remains above an upward sloping support moving average (possibly 50-period), reinforcing the uptrend in the short term.
3. Important Levels:
Supports:
VWAP Weekly at ~0.95.
Green zone: 1.1336 to 1.1244 as immediate support.
Resistances:
Red zone: 1.1816 to 1.1913 as key resistance.
Higher resistance at 1.3555 if price breaks above previous levels.
--
4. Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
If Williams %R breaks out of the oversold zone and price breaks above the resistance at 1.1816, the next target is at 1.1913.
A consistent breakout of this region could lead price to test 1.3555.
Bearish Scenario:
If the Williams %R remains in the oversold region and the price loses the Weekly VWAP, the asset may seek support at ~1.1244 or lower levels at 0.95.
5. Recommendations:
For buyers: Wait for a reversal signal from the Williams %R above -80, along with the break of the 1.1816 resistance.
For sellers: Watch for the Williams %R to remain at oversold levels and for the break of supports such as the Weekly VWAP or 1.1244.
This analysis reinforces the importance of monitoring the indicator's movements and price behavior at critical levels.
1. General Context:
The current price is at 1.0572, down -5.68% over the analyzed period.
The weekly VWAP is positioned as a dynamic support below the current price (~0.95), suggesting that the asset is still trading above the volume-weighted average value.
2. Technical Indicators:
Williams %R:
It is currently in an oversold region (below -80), indicating a possible exhaustion of selling pressure.
If there is an upward reversal and the indicator returns above -80, this could suggest a resumption of buying strength.
Moving Averages:
The price remains above an upward sloping support moving average (possibly 50-period), reinforcing the uptrend in the short term.
3. Important Levels:
Supports:
VWAP Weekly at ~0.95.
Green zone: 1.1336 to 1.1244 as immediate support.
Resistances:
Red zone: 1.1816 to 1.1913 as key resistance.
Higher resistance at 1.3555 if price breaks above previous levels.
--
4. Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
If Williams %R breaks out of the oversold zone and price breaks above the resistance at 1.1816, the next target is at 1.1913.
A consistent breakout of this region could lead price to test 1.3555.
Bearish Scenario:
If the Williams %R remains in the oversold region and the price loses the Weekly VWAP, the asset may seek support at ~1.1244 or lower levels at 0.95.
5. Recommendations:
For buyers: Wait for a reversal signal from the Williams %R above -80, along with the break of the 1.1816 resistance.
For sellers: Watch for the Williams %R to remain at oversold levels and for the break of supports such as the Weekly VWAP or 1.1244.
This analysis reinforces the importance of monitoring the indicator's movements and price behavior at critical levels.
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Crypto Correlation
Here is an analysis of the correlation for cryptocurrencies XRP, XLM, ADA, and AVAX with other coins, based on their ecosystems, functions, and market trends.
1. XRP (Ripple)
Focus: International transfers and partnerships with banks.
Highly correlated:
Stellar (XLM): Both share similar goals of facilitating international transfers.
HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph): Also focused on enterprise solutions.
Algorand (ALGO): Similar in approach to institutional adoption.
1. XRP (Ripple)
Focus: International transfers and partnerships with banks.
Highly correlated:
Stellar (XLM): Both share similar goals of facilitating international transfers.
HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph): Also focused on enterprise solutions.
Algorand (ALGO): Similar in approach to institutional adoption.
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SETUP VWAP _ W% RANGE
To analyze correlated movements between cryptocurrencies using sessional and weekly VWAP and Williams Percent Range (W%R), you can combine these indicators to identify support and resistance levels, accumulation/distribution zones, and reversal points. Here’s how you can use them.
1. Session and Weekly VWAP
Session VWAP
Objective: To identify the trading-weighted average price levels in a single session.
Practical use:
Above Session VWAP: Indicates buying pressure and an uptrend in the short term.
1. Session and Weekly VWAP
Session VWAP
Objective: To identify the trading-weighted average price levels in a single session.
Practical use:
Above Session VWAP: Indicates buying pressure and an uptrend in the short term.
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Top Crypto Sectors, Portfolio Strategies and Risk Management for Holdings
The cryptocurrency market is divided into sectors, each playing a strategic role in the evolution of blockchain technology. Knowing these sectors, their main currencies and dividing your portfolio strategically is essential to maximize gains and mitigate risks.
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1. Main Sectors of the Crypto Market
a) Base Currencies and Payments
Description: Focused on value transfers and wealth storage.
Main Assets: Bitcoin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC), Bitcoin Cash (BCH).
Advantages: High liquidity, global adoption, and use as a store of value (in the case of BTC).
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1. Main Sectors of the Crypto Market
a) Base Currencies and Payments
Description: Focused on value transfers and wealth storage.
Main Assets: Bitcoin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC), Bitcoin Cash (BCH).
Advantages: High liquidity, global adoption, and use as a store of value (in the case of BTC).
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How to Build a Diversified Portfolio in the Crypto Market 💡
📊 Check out an example of a strategic division for a holding company with the main sectors and currencies:
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🏛 Base Currencies (35%)
🔹 BTC
🔹 LTC
💻 Smart Contract Platforms (25%)
🔹 ETH
🔹 ADA
🔹 SOL
🌍 Global Solutions (15%)
🔹 XRP
🔹 XLM
💸 Decentralized Finance - DeFi (10%)
🔹 UNI
🔹 AAVE
🎮 NFTs and Metaverse (10%)
🔹 MANA
🔹 SAND
🔗 Infrastructure (5%)
🔹 LINK
🔹 FIL
📊 Check out an example of a strategic division for a holding company with the main sectors and currencies:
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🏛 Base Currencies (35%)
🔹 BTC
🔹 LTC
💻 Smart Contract Platforms (25%)
🔹 ETH
🔹 ADA
🔹 SOL
🌍 Global Solutions (15%)
🔹 XRP
🔹 XLM
💸 Decentralized Finance - DeFi (10%)
🔹 UNI
🔹 AAVE
🎮 NFTs and Metaverse (10%)
🔹 MANA
🔹 SAND
🔗 Infrastructure (5%)
🔹 LINK
🔹 FIL
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💡 Bitcoin Halving Cycles: Opportunities and Challenges in the Crypto Market 💡
📊 Check out the accumulation, bull run and bear market phases in the last cycles:
🔄 2012-2016
• Accumulation: 2012-2013
• High: Nov/2013 (BTC at $1,000)
• Correction: 2014-2015
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📈 2016-2020
• Accumulation: 2016-2017
• High: Dec/2017 (BTC at $20,000)
• Correction: 2018-2019
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🚀 2020-2024
• Accumulation: 2019-2020
• High: Nov/2021 (BTC at $69,000)
• Correction: 2022 (Terra/LUNA Crisis)
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🌟 2024-2028 (Forecast)
• Accumulation: 2022-2024
• High: Late 2024 / Early 2025
• Correction: 2025-2026
Here is a table with the months of high, accumulation and corrections observed in the last Bitcoin halving cycles, which are widely used as a reference for the crypto market:
Observations:
1. Accumulation: Usually occurs in the years leading up to the halving, when the market finds low prices and relative stability.
2. Bull Runs: Are driven about 6-12 months after the halving, due to the reduction in Bitcoin supply and increase in demand, leading to significant rallies.
3. Corrections: After bull runs, the market often experiences sharp declines due to profit-taking and waning speculative enthusiasm.
#doge #xrp #avax #eth #Solana
📊 Check out the accumulation, bull run and bear market phases in the last cycles:
🔄 2012-2016
• Accumulation: 2012-2013
• High: Nov/2013 (BTC at $1,000)
• Correction: 2014-2015
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📈 2016-2020
• Accumulation: 2016-2017
• High: Dec/2017 (BTC at $20,000)
• Correction: 2018-2019
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🚀 2020-2024
• Accumulation: 2019-2020
• High: Nov/2021 (BTC at $69,000)
• Correction: 2022 (Terra/LUNA Crisis)
---
🌟 2024-2028 (Forecast)
• Accumulation: 2022-2024
• High: Late 2024 / Early 2025
• Correction: 2025-2026
Here is a table with the months of high, accumulation and corrections observed in the last Bitcoin halving cycles, which are widely used as a reference for the crypto market:
Observations:
1. Accumulation: Usually occurs in the years leading up to the halving, when the market finds low prices and relative stability.
2. Bull Runs: Are driven about 6-12 months after the halving, due to the reduction in Bitcoin supply and increase in demand, leading to significant rallies.
3. Corrections: After bull runs, the market often experiences sharp declines due to profit-taking and waning speculative enthusiasm.
#doge #xrp #avax #eth #Solana
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Holding Altcoins Tips
Holding altcoins can be a profitable strategy, but it requires discipline and market knowledge. Here are some important tips for those who are following this approach:
1. Choose Altcoins with Strong Fundamentals
Prioritize projects with clear use cases, experienced staff, and strong partnerships.
Examples include Ethereum (ETH) (leader in smart contracts), Polygon (MATIC) (scalability solutions), and Avalanche (AVAX) (high-performance blockchain).
2. Diversification is Key
1. Choose Altcoins with Strong Fundamentals
Prioritize projects with clear use cases, experienced staff, and strong partnerships.
Examples include Ethereum (ETH) (leader in smart contracts), Polygon (MATIC) (scalability solutions), and Avalanche (AVAX) (high-performance blockchain).
2. Diversification is Key
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Currently, some of the top meme coins in the cryptocurrency market include:
1. Dogecoin (DOGE): The pioneering meme coin, with a large community support and often promoted by celebrities such as Elon Musk. Its market cap is approximately $22.7 billion, remaining relevant in the market.
2. Shiba Inu (SHIB): Inspired by Dogecoin, Shiba Inu brought innovations such as Shibarium, a layer 2 solution to increase transaction efficiency. It also implements burn policies to create scarcity and increase the value of tokens.
3. Pepe (PEPE): Based on the famous meme “Pepe the Frog”, it quickly gained prominence due to its popular theme and community support.
4. Floki (FLOKI): Linked to Viking culture and inspired by the name of one of Elon Musk’s dogs, the coin relies on community initiatives and marketing to attract investors.
5. Bonk (BONK): A memecoin on the Solana blockchain, known for its focus on transaction efficiency and community adoption. Its market cap is around $600 million.
6. Baby Doge Coin (BabyDoge): A variation of Dogecoin that focuses on fast transactions and supporting charitable causes, in addition to introducing an AI image generator.
7. Milady Meme Coin (LADYS): It gained popularity after being associated with memes shared by Elon Musk. Despite its low unit price, it is an affordable bet for many investors.
These coins stand out for their combination of strong community appeal, pop culture and, in some cases, technological innovation. However, due to the high volatility of meme coins, it is essential that investors carefully consider the risks before getting involved.
1. Dogecoin (DOGE): The pioneering meme coin, with a large community support and often promoted by celebrities such as Elon Musk. Its market cap is approximately $22.7 billion, remaining relevant in the market.
2. Shiba Inu (SHIB): Inspired by Dogecoin, Shiba Inu brought innovations such as Shibarium, a layer 2 solution to increase transaction efficiency. It also implements burn policies to create scarcity and increase the value of tokens.
3. Pepe (PEPE): Based on the famous meme “Pepe the Frog”, it quickly gained prominence due to its popular theme and community support.
4. Floki (FLOKI): Linked to Viking culture and inspired by the name of one of Elon Musk’s dogs, the coin relies on community initiatives and marketing to attract investors.
5. Bonk (BONK): A memecoin on the Solana blockchain, known for its focus on transaction efficiency and community adoption. Its market cap is around $600 million.
6. Baby Doge Coin (BabyDoge): A variation of Dogecoin that focuses on fast transactions and supporting charitable causes, in addition to introducing an AI image generator.
7. Milady Meme Coin (LADYS): It gained popularity after being associated with memes shared by Elon Musk. Despite its low unit price, it is an affordable bet for many investors.
These coins stand out for their combination of strong community appeal, pop culture and, in some cases, technological innovation. However, due to the high volatility of meme coins, it is essential that investors carefully consider the risks before getting involved.
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Currently, some of the altcoins with high potential for appreciation due to their solid projects include:
1. Kaspa (KAS): A high-speed blockchain with an innovative consensus model. Kaspa recently launched the KRC20 smart contract standard, which could significantly expand its ecosystem.
2. Avalanche (AVAX): Focused on scalability and transaction speed, Avalanche has been gaining traction in the Web3 gaming sector, in addition to offering support for custom blockchains (subnets).
3. Polygon (MATIC): Recognized for its interoperability with Ethereum and low transaction costs, Polygon continues to be a favorite for developing decentralized applications and scalable solutions.
4. Filecoin (FIL): A decentralized storage network that seeks to challenge traditional providers by offering innovative and more affordable cloud storage solutions.
5. Render (RNDR): Focused on decentralized graphics processing, this is an attractive project for media professionals and developers, with potential for growth in visual applications.
6. Ripple (XRP): Despite legal battles, Ripple has established itself as a leader in the decentralized finance and tokenization of real-world assets space.
These altcoins stand out for their advanced technology, growing adoption, and well-established ecosystems. As always, it is essential to conduct your own analysis before investing.
1. Kaspa (KAS): A high-speed blockchain with an innovative consensus model. Kaspa recently launched the KRC20 smart contract standard, which could significantly expand its ecosystem.
2. Avalanche (AVAX): Focused on scalability and transaction speed, Avalanche has been gaining traction in the Web3 gaming sector, in addition to offering support for custom blockchains (subnets).
3. Polygon (MATIC): Recognized for its interoperability with Ethereum and low transaction costs, Polygon continues to be a favorite for developing decentralized applications and scalable solutions.
4. Filecoin (FIL): A decentralized storage network that seeks to challenge traditional providers by offering innovative and more affordable cloud storage solutions.
5. Render (RNDR): Focused on decentralized graphics processing, this is an attractive project for media professionals and developers, with potential for growth in visual applications.
6. Ripple (XRP): Despite legal battles, Ripple has established itself as a leader in the decentralized finance and tokenization of real-world assets space.
These altcoins stand out for their advanced technology, growing adoption, and well-established ecosystems. As always, it is essential to conduct your own analysis before investing.
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Here are the latest updates on Cardano (ADA) and Gala (GALA):
Cardano (ADA)
1. Ouroboros Leios Upgrade: The Ouroboros protocol has received improvements that optimize decentralization, increase transaction speeds, and reduce network saturation. This upgrade aims to improve the efficiency and security of the blockchain.
2. Governance and Decentralization: Following the "Chang" hard fork implemented in September 2024, Cardano has introduced greater community participation in key ecosystem decisions.
3. Bullish Market Trend: Analysis indicates the potential for a 40% increase in the price of ADA in November 2024, driven by historical patterns and increased market activity. The current price is near $$ 0.35, with prospects of reaching resistances at $$ 0.77 and even $$ 1.22 in the medium term.
Gala (GALA)
1. New Roadmap: The Gala Games team has revealed a new plan to better integrate games and NFTs, aiming to strengthen its presence in the blockchain entertainment industry.
2. Strategic Partnerships: Expansion into new games and collaborations with renowned studios were recently announced, highlighting the commitment to increasing the adoption of the token in the industry.
3. Market Performance: GALA faces challenges in the short term due to volatility, but its long-term vision remains focused on solidifying its gaming and digital collectibles ecosystem.
Cardano (ADA)
1. Ouroboros Leios Upgrade: The Ouroboros protocol has received improvements that optimize decentralization, increase transaction speeds, and reduce network saturation. This upgrade aims to improve the efficiency and security of the blockchain.
2. Governance and Decentralization: Following the "Chang" hard fork implemented in September 2024, Cardano has introduced greater community participation in key ecosystem decisions.
3. Bullish Market Trend: Analysis indicates the potential for a 40% increase in the price of ADA in November 2024, driven by historical patterns and increased market activity. The current price is near $$ 0.35, with prospects of reaching resistances at $$ 0.77 and even $$ 1.22 in the medium term.
Gala (GALA)
1. New Roadmap: The Gala Games team has revealed a new plan to better integrate games and NFTs, aiming to strengthen its presence in the blockchain entertainment industry.
2. Strategic Partnerships: Expansion into new games and collaborations with renowned studios were recently announced, highlighting the commitment to increasing the adoption of the token in the industry.
3. Market Performance: GALA faces challenges in the short term due to volatility, but its long-term vision remains focused on solidifying its gaming and digital collectibles ecosystem.