大黑哥_威科夫野生信徒
@Square-Creator-5d52a5515edd
Following
Followers
Liked
Shared
See original
PINNED
There are many loopholes in this world
December 23, 2025
My son just started elementary school, and to let him experience the charm of nature, sometimes I guide him to observe ants. Naturally, a child has no mercy; they either poke at them or step on them.
Sometimes I try to see the world from the perspective of an ant. For it, a weak child is not something it can resist; it can only be manipulated. Coming from the countryside, my long-standing mindset has been like that of an ant, merely subject to the whims of this world.
This mindset breeds a thought in my subconscious, that for this powerful world, for those who can manipulate it, there are no loopholes that someone like me can exploit.
My son just started elementary school, and to let him experience the charm of nature, sometimes I guide him to observe ants. Naturally, a child has no mercy; they either poke at them or step on them.
Sometimes I try to see the world from the perspective of an ant. For it, a weak child is not something it can resist; it can only be manipulated. Coming from the countryside, my long-standing mindset has been like that of an ant, merely subject to the whims of this world.
This mindset breeds a thought in my subconscious, that for this powerful world, for those who can manipulate it, there are no loopholes that someone like me can exploit.
See original
PINNED
Why I Resigned from a State-Owned Enterprise to Enter the Cryptocurrency World
December 22, 2025
After graduating with my bachelor's in 2012, I joined a small state-owned enterprise, whose main business is automotive parts. Arriving in a city with no background and no relatives, as a small-town person from the countryside, I knew it was slim chances to stand out. I understood that my advantages were my willingness to learn and the lack of personal connections. Later, I did the following based on these two points: 1. I complied with the leadership's need for personnel transition and worked in various roles such as on-site quality management, supplier management, workshop technician, quality management system promoter, corporate culture administrator, general manager's secretary, and party branch secretary. 2. I kept learning, from Japanese lean production to TS16149 (automotive industry quality management standard), from ignition systems to automotive engines, from making tea to the three meetings and one lesson. I became one of the most knowledgeable in the company about the hardest tools to master (like FMEA, MSA, which industry insiders should understand). 3. Later, I was promoted to middle management and did not show favoritism, doing what some within the system would not dare to do due to personal connections. Because I knew that if I didn't do these things, I couldn't compete with the second and third generation of factory workers. They could steadily climb up without mistakes, while I couldn't.
After graduating with my bachelor's in 2012, I joined a small state-owned enterprise, whose main business is automotive parts. Arriving in a city with no background and no relatives, as a small-town person from the countryside, I knew it was slim chances to stand out. I understood that my advantages were my willingness to learn and the lack of personal connections. Later, I did the following based on these two points: 1. I complied with the leadership's need for personnel transition and worked in various roles such as on-site quality management, supplier management, workshop technician, quality management system promoter, corporate culture administrator, general manager's secretary, and party branch secretary. 2. I kept learning, from Japanese lean production to TS16149 (automotive industry quality management standard), from ignition systems to automotive engines, from making tea to the three meetings and one lesson. I became one of the most knowledgeable in the company about the hardest tools to master (like FMEA, MSA, which industry insiders should understand). 3. Later, I was promoted to middle management and did not show favoritism, doing what some within the system would not dare to do due to personal connections. Because I knew that if I didn't do these things, I couldn't compete with the second and third generation of factory workers. They could steadily climb up without mistakes, while I couldn't.
See original
$BTC
The daily level bottom is a shrinking cross star, and the selling pressure has been exhausted.
Many in the square believe there will be one more major drop, but I don't believe it.
The daily level bottom is a shrinking cross star, and the selling pressure has been exhausted.
Many in the square believe there will be one more major drop, but I don't believe it.
See original
A couple of days ago, I drove for 3 hours to a friend's place to drink, and he told me he sold $DOGE
completely and exchanged it for $BTC
I was shocked. I always felt he had a good mindset, yet he told me he couldn't handle the pullback.
It seems that the situation is really not easy!
completely and exchanged it for $BTC
I was shocked. I always felt he had a good mindset, yet he told me he couldn't handle the pullback.
It seems that the situation is really not easy!
See original
Temporary crises with no significant change in fundamentals are opportunities! For example, the current pullback shows no significant difference in fundamentals compared to a month ago, and there are even major positive factors enhancing the fundamentals, such as Trump's presidency, friendly cryptocurrency regulations, forced buying due to MicroStrategy joining the Nasdaq 100, and increased liquidity from ETH ETF staking. Crises at this time can be great opportunities amidst good ones.
However, any crisis at the end of next year could be a real trap.
There is no universal method in the investment market; strategies that do not differentiate timing have elements of deception.
However, any crisis at the end of next year could be a real trap.
There is no universal method in the investment market; strategies that do not differentiate timing have elements of deception.
See original
Such a good double bottom structure has not brought about a rapid rise, and there is even a trend of continuing to turn downwards. This further illustrates the dangers of 'gambling' in the cryptocurrency world. If you are not the chosen one, then following the four-year cycle trend for long-term spot investment is the right path.
Even if the 0.34 of $ADA retraces by 40%, there is no need to panic. The recent increase at 0.56$YGG has only lost 10%, and a day's increase can bring it back to breakeven, so there is no need to worry. The key to maintaining a good mindset is 1. I only hold spot 2. My selling point is between June and October next year.
Many things in the near future will bring significant fluctuations to our emotions; keep your perspective broad, as 'major events' often turn out to be nothing special.
This mindset is not only applicable for adjusting fear during losses but also suitable for adjusting excessive expansion after asset surges next year.
Even if the 0.34 of $ADA retraces by 40%, there is no need to panic. The recent increase at 0.56$YGG has only lost 10%, and a day's increase can bring it back to breakeven, so there is no need to worry. The key to maintaining a good mindset is 1. I only hold spot 2. My selling point is between June and October next year.
Many things in the near future will bring significant fluctuations to our emotions; keep your perspective broad, as 'major events' often turn out to be nothing special.
This mindset is not only applicable for adjusting fear during losses but also suitable for adjusting excessive expansion after asset surges next year.
See original
It’s that tedious waiting time again, a time that is perfect for us to focus on our main business and spend time with our families! Staring at the market every day will only make you more anxious, leading to poor decisions. Think about the purpose of investing to make money? If it’s for your partner's happiness, then you can spend more time with her now; if it’s to be filial to your parents, then you can visit them more often now; if it’s for your children’s excellence, then you can take them out to play and read together now...
See original
$BTC Short-term market analysis:
Seeing that many people are still recommending short selling, it is a great misleading for novices!
1. The investment masters I know do not operate against the trend. If you don’t know the profit and loss ratio, you can’t set the stop loss in advance and execute it according to the plan, you don’t have a long-term statistics of the winning rate of your strategy, and you don’t know what the winning rate of the profit and loss ratio is to be a strategy with a positive expected value, you don’t even know what the mathematical expectation is!
Operation against the trend + leverage = shattered
2. The successful secondary test has told us that the supply side has overcome the recent panic and tends to be reluctant to sell. The subsequent rise tells us that the demand side has defeated the supply side. The three-hour callback shrinkage is the demand side’s observation window, confirming that the selling pressure is insufficient. Next, as long as the demand side resumes buying, it can be easily pulled up.
3. Will I be slapped in the face? Of course it is possible. No one can predict the short-term market trend. But what we can do is to follow the trend.
For novices, do not add leverage, hold the spot, and wait patiently. Not operating is the most frequent operation of investment masters.
Seeing that many people are still recommending short selling, it is a great misleading for novices!
1. The investment masters I know do not operate against the trend. If you don’t know the profit and loss ratio, you can’t set the stop loss in advance and execute it according to the plan, you don’t have a long-term statistics of the winning rate of your strategy, and you don’t know what the winning rate of the profit and loss ratio is to be a strategy with a positive expected value, you don’t even know what the mathematical expectation is!
Operation against the trend + leverage = shattered
2. The successful secondary test has told us that the supply side has overcome the recent panic and tends to be reluctant to sell. The subsequent rise tells us that the demand side has defeated the supply side. The three-hour callback shrinkage is the demand side’s observation window, confirming that the selling pressure is insufficient. Next, as long as the demand side resumes buying, it can be easily pulled up.
3. Will I be slapped in the face? Of course it is possible. No one can predict the short-term market trend. But what we can do is to follow the trend.
For novices, do not add leverage, hold the spot, and wait patiently. Not operating is the most frequent operation of investment masters.
See original
What beginners need to improve the most is their understanding! Today, a new friend asked me what to do if they missed the bottom a few days ago?
In cryptocurrency investment, buy in a bear market, sell in a bull market; the strategy is so simple that you can earn 10 times, but many people just can’t make it. Because the costs involved are volatility, fear, doubt, uncertainty, and regret. You can bear these costs, and then you can earn this money.
My recent average bottom price is 0.56, and you can still buy cheaper than me now!
Stand at the wind outlet, just hold onto the spot! Be ready to take off at any time!
19588014172
In cryptocurrency investment, buy in a bear market, sell in a bull market; the strategy is so simple that you can earn 10 times, but many people just can’t make it. Because the costs involved are volatility, fear, doubt, uncertainty, and regret. You can bear these costs, and then you can earn this money.
My recent average bottom price is 0.56, and you can still buy cheaper than me now!
Stand at the wind outlet, just hold onto the spot! Be ready to take off at any time!
19588014172
See original
Beneath the calm sideways fluctuations, there are hidden currents, reminiscent of the feeling before a mountain storm approaches!
See original
$YGG
Recent Trading Summary: From April to September, I traded YGG in waves, and at the beginning of October, I planned to switch to $ADA for long-term holding. This round of correction is far from the cost price of ADA, and increasing my ADA position to raise the average cost feels a bit uncomfortable, so I decided to increase my position in $YGG . On December 15th, when I encountered the upward trend line, I started to increase my position, and the price was 0.64 at that time. After that, I kept buying as the price dropped to 0.45, and the current average price is 0.56.
Reflection: After clearly breaking down the upward trend line and facing the uncertainty of the interest rate meeting, I should have slowed down the pace of increasing my position.
Although the average price isn't ideal, it's good that my position has reached the desired level. If it drops below 0.48, I will continue DCA, and if it rises to 0.8, I will take some cash out of the position.
Accepting my imperfections.
Recent Trading Summary: From April to September, I traded YGG in waves, and at the beginning of October, I planned to switch to $ADA for long-term holding. This round of correction is far from the cost price of ADA, and increasing my ADA position to raise the average cost feels a bit uncomfortable, so I decided to increase my position in $YGG . On December 15th, when I encountered the upward trend line, I started to increase my position, and the price was 0.64 at that time. After that, I kept buying as the price dropped to 0.45, and the current average price is 0.56.
Reflection: After clearly breaking down the upward trend line and facing the uncertainty of the interest rate meeting, I should have slowed down the pace of increasing my position.
Although the average price isn't ideal, it's good that my position has reached the desired level. If it drops below 0.48, I will continue DCA, and if it rises to 0.8, I will take some cash out of the position.
Accepting my imperfections.
See original
$BTC Perfect backtest, the knockoff backtest is actually further from the bottom. Is the knockoff season about to start?
See original
The U.S. stock market will open in 4 and a half hours. Will it lead the cryptocurrency market to rebound or continue to fall? Think of countermeasures for both situations and don’t be afraid of the market!
See original
When a crash occurs and the volume increases at the bottom, it is always retail investors panicking and selling, while smart money is collecting the bloodied chips. After that, as it slowly tests the bottom without an increase in volume, it indicates that the public has calmed down and is unwilling to sell at low prices. Continue DCA into altcoins $YGG $ETH , stand together with smart money!
See original
Does BlackRock's Bitcoin explanatory video imply a modification of the 21 million cap?
Since launching the Bitcoin ETF, BlackRock has been educating investors about related investments. A 3-minute Bitcoin introduction video on December 18 mentioned, 'There is no guarantee that the supply of 21 million Bitcoins will not change.' This statement has made Bitcoin supporters uneasy and even raised doubts about whether BlackRock is laying the groundwork for possible future hard forks or modifications to the Bitcoin protocol.
I think this is overthinking.
1. Promoting fundamental changes to Bitcoin requires the support of 51% of the computing power, rather than just enough purchases by BlackRock to influence it.
2. This is not in the interest of Bitcoin holders; such fundamental changes pose a significant risk to Bitcoin and are fundamentally not in the interest of large players like BlackRock.
I think this is overthinking.
1. Promoting fundamental changes to Bitcoin requires the support of 51% of the computing power, rather than just enough purchases by BlackRock to influence it.
2. This is not in the interest of Bitcoin holders; such fundamental changes pose a significant risk to Bitcoin and are fundamentally not in the interest of large players like BlackRock.
See original
Do you all think these 5 points are correct? I believe there are quite a few issues. Taking the third point as an example, according to Wyckoff's theory, a volume spike at the top is a risk warning. If the volume spike leads to a substantial increase, the short-term risk is relatively low, but this buying frenzy also serves as the first risk alert for us. If the volume spikes but the price stagnates, it indicates that efforts are yielding no results, suggesting an increased possibility of a reversal, and the major players are inclined to sell. In a bull market, a decrease in volume during a pullback indicates that selling pressure is low, and the bull market trend remains unchanged.
5 Laws of Trading in the Cryptocurrency Market
1. Rapid price increase and slow decrease indicate accumulation. A rapid rise followed by a slow fall indicates that the market makers are accumulating positions in preparation for the next round of price increase.
2. Rapid price decrease and slow increase indicate distribution. A rapid decline followed by a slow rise suggests that the market makers are gradually selling off, signaling that the market is about to enter a downtrend.
3. Don’t sell when there is high volume at the top; run when there is no volume at the top. High trading volume at the top may indicate further price increases; however, if volume at the top shrinks, it suggests a lack of upward momentum, and one should exit the market quickly.
4. Don’t buy when there is high volume at the bottom; you can buy when there is sustained volume. Volume at the bottom may indicate a continuation of the downtrend and requires observation; sustained volume indicates continuous inflow of capital, making it a potential buying opportunity.
5. Trading in cryptocurrencies is about trading emotions; consensus is reflected in trading volume. Market sentiment determines price fluctuations, and trading volume reflects market consensus and investor behavior!
In fact, many people understand these concepts, but they cannot control their impulses or manage their mindset, ultimately leading to significant losses! Risk management is a discipline! Listen to advice, eat well! Wisdom equals being able to follow trends; if the market doesn’t look good, it’s okay to stay out!
1. Rapid price increase and slow decrease indicate accumulation. A rapid rise followed by a slow fall indicates that the market makers are accumulating positions in preparation for the next round of price increase.
2. Rapid price decrease and slow increase indicate distribution. A rapid decline followed by a slow rise suggests that the market makers are gradually selling off, signaling that the market is about to enter a downtrend.
3. Don’t sell when there is high volume at the top; run when there is no volume at the top. High trading volume at the top may indicate further price increases; however, if volume at the top shrinks, it suggests a lack of upward momentum, and one should exit the market quickly.
4. Don’t buy when there is high volume at the bottom; you can buy when there is sustained volume. Volume at the bottom may indicate a continuation of the downtrend and requires observation; sustained volume indicates continuous inflow of capital, making it a potential buying opportunity.
5. Trading in cryptocurrencies is about trading emotions; consensus is reflected in trading volume. Market sentiment determines price fluctuations, and trading volume reflects market consensus and investor behavior!
In fact, many people understand these concepts, but they cannot control their impulses or manage their mindset, ultimately leading to significant losses! Risk management is a discipline! Listen to advice, eat well! Wisdom equals being able to follow trends; if the market doesn’t look good, it’s okay to stay out!
See original
A bull market is like a shy and charming beauty. She occasionally throws a tantrum, sometimes being enthusiastic towards you and suddenly cold at other times. You can only win her over by maintaining patience, outward passion, and inner calmness.😍
See original
$BTC
Hope to slowly reduce the volume test around the position of 92,000, give me more time to add to the altcoins!
Hope to slowly reduce the volume test around the position of 92,000, give me more time to add to the altcoins!