Analysis of the Differences Between On-Chain Projects and Secondary Projects
On-chain projects and secondary projects belong to entirely different types.
In terms of market value and rising cycles, there are significant differences between the two.
On-chain projects often exhibit high control characteristics, with smaller fund pool sizes, making their market value easily manipulable. This often results in arbitrary price surges and crashes, which is why their retracement can reach as high as 80%.👗+: Vir4400
In contrast, once secondary projects are listed on mainstream trading platforms like Binance (bn) and OKX (ok), their price fluctuations are not as drastic and rapid as those of on-chain projects, and their market value is relatively more genuine and reliable.
For example, even if I create an AI Agent project now and set its control ratio at 99.9%, theoretically I could directly inflate its market value to 1 billion USD, but such a market value has no practical significance.
Of course, the above example is quite extreme. In reality, the control levels of many on-chain Agent projects range between 80% and 90%. With such control, they can indeed push their market value to several hundred million USD.
However, the market value direction of these on-chain projects largely depends on the intentions of the manipulators and the “pyramid scheme-style” (cx) speculation willingness of a few large investors, rather than being based on the true value of the project itself and broad market recognition.
Current Situation and Operational Suggestions of the Cryptocurrency Market Currently, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is extremely close to the important threshold of 100,000 US dollars.
At such a critical juncture, everyone must maintain a clear and calm mind, and absolutely must not act impulsively or recklessly.
One must understand that those manipulators hidden behind the scenes are very likely to seize this opportunity to cash out. After all, being so close to a key price level, market emotions are volatile, which is an excellent time for them to take action.
Looking at Ethereum (ETH), although its previous increase was not particularly significant, it has now approached the pressure level near 3,500 US dollars.
Reviewing past market patterns, it is common for Bitcoin to enter a consolidation phase on Saturdays and Sundays. During this period, altcoins may seize the opportunity to shine and perform in the market.
However, for Ethereum, it can only be considered to have the conditions to continue to push upwards and further expand its gains when its daily closing price firmly stands above 3,500 US dollars.
In summary, when engaging in all short-term operations, everyone should not be overly attached to the profits brought by the market, and must understand the importance of timely profit-taking and loss-cutting, effectively controlling the rhythm of trading.
For those who place orders based on market trends, it is even more necessary to manage the drawdown positions properly, in order to effectively reduce risks and ensure the stability and safety of the trading process.
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ACT Investment Opportunities and AI Meme Trend Analysis
ACT is about to迎来 an excellent opportunity for the second shipment! It is estimated that this could bring up to 10 times the profit! This can be considered another major opportunity after going live on the BN platform, whether one can seize it depends entirely on your own judgment and decision.
Currently, AI memes have undoubtedly become the most critical development trend of this cycle. From a market capitalization perspective, it can be compared to those established VC coins, such as RENDER and FET.
Therefore, at this stage, there is actually no need to pay too much attention to its price, because once this trend really starts and gains momentum, it may rocket up in price within just a week.
What everyone needs to do is to patiently wait, as this great opportunity is about to come!
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Discussion on Altcoin Investment Strategies and New Coin Focus
I. Current Altcoin Holding Operations
(1) Ssata You can continue to hold. If the price rises to around 50, from a risk control and profit locking perspective, it is recommended to sell all. In terms of medium-term investment, there is a possibility of rising to around 80. At that time, depending on market conditions, such as overall trends, technical indicators, news dynamics, etc., decide whether to continue holding for higher returns or partial profit-taking.
(2) People Currently performing poorly. Investors should choose according to their own investment plans and risk preferences. If you still believe it has room for growth or hasn't fully demonstrated its value, you can continue to hold and observe, paying attention to price trends, project developments, public opinion, and other changes; if you want to efficiently utilize short-term funds or are concerned about future performance, you may consider reallocating.
(3) Ckb First, reduce holdings to lower costs and risks. Then hold the remaining positions and patiently wait for its ecological explosion value opportunity. Since the timing and effects of the ecological explosion are uncertain, reducing holdings can balance risk and return, allowing investors to seize opportunities without excessive risk.
(4) Fim Just maintain your holdings, but pay attention to subsequent developments, such as project technical upgrades, community expansion, market cooperation, price fluctuations, and other information, so as to adjust strategies in a timely manner, such as increasing holdings to expand returns or stop-loss to control risks.
(5) FB Although there has been a price surge recently due to the addition of Binance mining pool, it is not a substantive benefit for the ecology, which still needs improvement. Those holding FB can continue to hold and pay attention to relevant developments, such as ecological construction progress, technological innovation results, promotional activities, cooperation situations, etc.
If there is a breakthrough or significant benefit in the ecology, the price may rise again; if there are obstacles or negative news, assess the risks and consider adjusting strategies.
II. New Altcoin Focus
Pay close attention to the act coin. Its community construction is good, belonging to the AIMEME series, in a new track and new sector.
The same series, GOAT, has not yet been listed on major platforms, with a market cap of only 1 billion, indicating great market potential. Act is expected to become a new leader, with the potential to reach a market cap of over 1 billion.
For those who have already invested in act, it is recommended to continue holding, seize opportunities, and closely monitor its market performance, technological innovations, community activity, cooperation dynamics, etc., adjusting strategies in a timely manner for maximum returns.
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Behind the Global Market Surge: Analysis of Multi-Asset Driving Factors
Yesterday, the global market showed a prosperous scene of widespread gains. The US dollar index soared, successfully reaching a new high; Bitcoin also did not lag behind, steadily climbing towards the high of 100,000 US dollars;
Gold broke through the 2,660 US dollar mark and successfully stood above the 50-day moving average; US crude oil prices also performed excellently, successfully breaking through 70 US dollars; the three major US stock indices were all in the green, showing a strong upward trend.
Such a large-scale market synchronized rise might seem like the “second wave of the Trump rally” at first glance, but in reality, the performances of different markets are driven by various factors.👗+: Vir4400
1. Driving Factors of Dollar Appreciation The continued rise of the US dollar is mainly attributable to strong support from economic data. After a series of positive economic data were released, market confidence in the dollar greatly increased, driving the dollar index to strengthen continuously, occupying a more favorable position in the global currency market.
2. The Driving Forces Behind the Rise of Gold and Crude Oil The rise in gold and crude oil prices is primarily due to the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The intensification of geopolitical tensions has triggered a surge in market demand for energy supply stability and safe-haven assets.
As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold naturally rises with the warming of market risk aversion sentiment;
On the crude oil side, concerns about the potential impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on global crude oil supply patterns have driven oil prices to rise sharply.
3. The Driving Force Behind the Stock Market Rise The strong performance of the US stock market has largely benefited from Trump’s trade agenda.
The advancement and adjustment of his trade policies have created a more favorable business environment for related companies, enhancing market expectations for corporate profit prospects, thereby attracting a large influx of funds into the stock market, pushing all three major stock indices higher.
In summary, although the global market showed a general upward trend yesterday, a deeper analysis reveals that the driving factors behind each asset class are indeed quite different.
When investors conduct asset allocation and market analysis, they must fully consider the impact of these different factors to make more precise and reasonable decisions.
November 22 Crypto Market Dynamics: Friday Sprint in Progress Today happens to be Friday. Bitcoin (BTC) has performed exceptionally well, reaching a high of 98.9k, just a step away from 99k, while the sprint towards the 100k milestone is also within reach. Its upward momentum is impressive, and the bullish trend is becoming increasingly evident. Investors are eagerly anticipating significant asset appreciation driven by this surge.
In the current strong market conditions, it is clear that relying solely on the limited funds of retail investors is insufficient to create effective price driving force.
Given this, the operational strategy should primarily focus on a low-buy strategy, meaning to enter long positions when prices are relatively low. This approach aligns with the upward market trend, allowing investors to seize this rare investment opportunity and achieve desirable returns in the current crypto market wave.
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Market structure and investment strategy after Bitcoin breakthrough
At present, Bitcoin has taken the lead in achieving a breakthrough and has stood firmly above the price of 90,000. This iconic breakthrough has injected strong momentum and confidence into the entire cryptocurrency market.
Some cryptocurrencies with strong trends are gradually approaching their previous highs, and some other currencies have successfully broken through their previous highs, showing a strong market and positive development trend in the local market.
In such a market context, the strategy we should take next is to patiently wait for Ethereum (ETH) to complete the breakthrough and successfully bottom out and stabilize above its previous high. This process requires investors to remain calm and patient and avoid blind actions.
At the same time, it is important to remind investors that it is not recommended to frequently perform swing operations. The cryptocurrency market is volatile and its speed of change is staggering. There is often a sluggish and desperate market in the morning.
However, in the evening, the value of assets soars to a new high. And in the subsequent market trend, this violent intraday fluctuation is very likely to become a normal phenomenon.
From the macro perspective of the overall market, a relatively positive signal is that the bottom of the market shows a trend of gradual rise, which means that the market still has certain upward momentum and potential in the dimension of long-term development.
It provides investors with a relatively favorable market environment, but it also comes with risks and challenges that cannot be ignored. Investors need to respond cautiously and plan investment strategies reasonably.
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Dajin Dog ChillGuy Recent Situation and Prospect Analysis
I. Recent Performance In the past two days, Dajin Dog ChillGuy has been the center of attention. When Brother Nan first noticed it, its market value was still below 20M. At that time, he thought its IP had a bit of a 'Heisei otaku' style, which was somewhat interesting but not particularly appealing. Further research revealed that the chip structure had 'conspiracy' elements, and the market maker could instantly break through the market.
However, its trend has been exceptionally strong in the past two days, with the market value soaring to 200M. It was only then that Brother Nan realized its incredible popularity in Web2. Today, after being endorsed by Musk and the Prime Minister of El Salvador, the market value has peaked at 500M, with over 100,000 holding addresses. 👗+: Vir4400
II. Key Points to Note
(1) Web2 Popularity The current Web2 popularity is declining, and the sentiment is nearing a critical point. Any further rise will not rely on 'popularity and stories,' but rather on whether it can be listed on Binance (Cosmos Exchange).
(2) Future Keys
1. Attitude of Cosmos Exchange The large number of addresses for ChillGuy is attractive to Binance, but Meme coins on Binance often require 'small market cap, well-fed market makers' before they can be listed on the spot market. With its market value of 400M, it is uncertain whether Binance can generate a wealth effect.
2. Sentiment Switch Currently, the popularity has cooled down. Without new stories, it may enter a high-level consolidation or correction phase.
III. Summary ChillGuy's logic is contradictory, and its market value is already at a high level. Participation should be cautious, and everyone should decide whether to intervene based on their own judgment and risk tolerance. #MEME趋势风向 #BTC何时突破10万?
11.22 Friday Morning Cryptocurrency Market Analysis and Key Operation Points
I. Overall Situation The cryptocurrency market is strong on Friday morning, with Bitcoin's price continuing to rise, breaking the 99000 mark in the early hours, dominated by bulls, showing a strong upward trend.
II. Technical Signals The four-hour chart shows the Bollinger Bands opening upward, the KDJ crossing and moving strongly upward, and the MACD in the bullish zone, indicating there is still room for growth, approaching the 100000 mark.
III. Intraday Strategy
(I) Key Levels to Watch Pay attention to the pressure above 98500 and support below 95600 in intraday trading, which are critical for judging market trends and setting strategies.
(II) Operation Suggestions Adopt a pullback buying strategy. Buy Bitcoin in the 97500 - 98000 range, targeting around 100000; for the second coin (assuming a specific coin), buy in the 3280 - 3310 range, targeting around 3450.
Investors should closely monitor market changes, flexibly adjust strategies, and ensure trading safety and returns.
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Market analysis and entry suggestions for Squirrel (Punt) Coin
For Squirrel (Punt) Coin, its key support level is in the 1.45 area. If there is a plan to enter the market to buy before, it is more feasible to buy in batches in this area.
However, judging from its subsequent price trend, despite two consecutive rebounds, unfortunately, it failed to successfully hold this key support level and fell below the 1.45 support area.
Now that this support area has been broken and the support and resistance levels have been converted, it means that the current market situation has changed significantly. Based on this, it is recommended that investors do not rush to enter the market for the time being.
A more prudent approach is to at least wait for the reversal structure of Squirrel (Punt) Coin before comprehensively considering whether to enter the market for investment, which can reduce investment risks to a certain extent and improve the rationality of investment decisions.
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I. Overall Market Dynamics (1) Bitcoin Hits New High On November 21, BTC performed brilliantly, and the price rose to a new high.
The price of Bitcoin is steadily rising, astonishing everyone, showcasing its leading position in the cryptocurrency market.
(2) Ethereum Exchange Rate Dips The ETH to BTC exchange rate continues to decline, market sentiment is low, and investors are worried about whether its future development will improve.
(3) Solana Keeps Up SOL performed excellently, stable as a rock, currently almost the only one that can keep pace with Bitcoin, with increasing attention.
(4) Binance Coin Project Cools Down The latest Launchpool project from Binance is receiving lukewarm interest, and the price of BNB is under pressure, raising concerns among holders.
II. Hot Events
(1) Tether Increases Supply Tether issued an additional 1 billion USDT on the Ethereum network, which may help liquidity, but the specific impact remains to be seen.
(2) FLOKI Surges After Listing FLOKI received approval for listing on Coinbase, and the price skyrocketed like a rocket, delighting the holders.
(3) MicroStrategy Increases Purchases MicroStrategy increased its Bitcoin purchases, with MSTR trading volume exploding, surpassing Nvidia, highlighting the popularity of Bitcoin and its impact on its own stock.
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The way to invest in the cryptocurrency market under the market frenzy: be cautious and prudent
As the current market continues to be hot, investors should put risk awareness first, rather than blindly chasing high prices.
For investors who already hold a certain amount of cryptocurrencies, it is a wiser choice to continue holding existing positions, but do not impulsively chase high positions.
If the current position is less than 60%, you can adopt a fixed investment strategy and gradually build positions by buying on dips when prices fall.
The current market is extremely crazy, and the price trend of Bitcoin is likely to rush to 100,000.
However, when the market generally expects Bitcoin to break through 100,000, there are often huge risks and reverse fluctuations are very likely to occur.
Similar situations have been common in the history of the cryptocurrency circle. When market sentiment is overly optimistic, reversals may come suddenly.
If Bitcoin really keeps going up and has no intention of callback, our existing positions are enough to reap considerable profits. In the field of cryptocurrency investment, restraining greed is the foundation for long-term survival.
Excessive greed often causes investors to suffer heavy losses when the market reverses. Only by being rational and prudent can we move forward steadily in the volatile cryptocurrency market and achieve asset preservation and appreciation and long-term investment goals.
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Six Principles of Position Management (Brief Edition)
1. Do Not Fill Positions Completely Do not fill positions completely, always leave part of the funds as reserves.
2. Trade in Batches for Optimization Buy and sell in batches to reduce risk, dilute costs, and expand profits, achieving a better average price.
3. Determine Position According to Market Trend Light positions in a weak market; do not exceed 50% in a bear market; can increase to 80% in a strong market, keeping the rest for short-term trades or reserves.
4. Dynamic Adjustment of Positions Adjust positions timely according to market changes.
5. Stay Out of the Market for Opportunities During a sluggish market, maintain a short-term cash position to wait for opportunities.
6. Exchange Strong for Weak Keep strong coins in your position and sell weak coins to optimize your portfolio.
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Altcoin Market Trends and Operation Guidance (Short Version)
Recently, altcoins have experienced slight declines along with Ethereum's pullback.
I. SATS Hold, when the price reaches around 50, you can liquidate to secure profits. If the market and its own development are favorable in the medium term, the target can be set at 80, and during this period, pay attention to dynamic strategy adjustments.
II. PEOPLE Performance is lacking, consider partially reallocating to more stable and potential assets. If you still believe in its fundamentals and various development prospects, you can continue to hold while remaining highly vigilant, monitoring indicators and project progress to respond to adverse changes.
III. CKB After reducing positions, continue to hold. Its ecological construction has potential; although it hasn't exploded yet, in the long run, with progress in technological innovation, application expansion, and user growth, the price is expected to rise. Patience is needed to track ecological progress and await opportunities.
IV. FTM Maintain your positions; there are currently no significant major change signals. Continue to observe market trends and deeply analyze various dynamic factors for future timely adjustments in investment decisions, such as holding, reducing positions, or liquidating.
V. FB Recently, due to Binance mining pool involvement, there has been unusual upward movement, but this is not based on any substantial ecological benefits. Its ecosystem is still in the early exploration phase and requires significant investment in many key areas to improve.
Investors should be cautious and closely monitor the subtle progress of the ecosystem, flexibly and prudently adjusting strategies to control risks and seize opportunities in conjunction with market trends.
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Altcoin Trends and Strategies Altcoins are experiencing a slight decline following ETH's pullback.
Hold SATS, sell at 50, with a medium-term target of 80.
PEOPLE is underperforming; consider swapping. Those confident may hold.
After reducing CKB, wait for ecological growth to continue holding.
Maintain FTM positions.
FB has seen a rise due to Binance mining pool, but the ecosystem still needs development.
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1. Pyramid bottom-fishing method Applicable to foreseeable plunges. Bottom-fishing operation: 80% of the currency price is entrusted to buy, accounting for 1/10 of the bullet position; 70% is entrusted to buy, accounting for 2/10; 60% is entrusted to buy, accounting for 3/10; 50% is entrusted to buy, accounting for 4/10.
2. Moving average method K-line knowledge is required. The indicators are set as MA5, MA10, MA20, MA30, MA60, and one-day line is selected. Hold the current price above MA5 and MA10. Sell the currency if MA5 falls below MA10, and buy if MA5 rises above MA10.
3. Violent hoarding method Focus on familiar coins, use them for long-term high-quality coins, and prepare liquidity. For example, if the current price of the coin is 8 US dollars, entrust it to buy at 7 US dollars, and entrust it to sell at 8.8 US dollars after success.
Hoard coins with profits, withdraw liquidity and wait for the next opportunity. The opening price is the current price × 90%, and the selling price is the current price × 110%. If you have three opportunities in a month, you can hoard a lot of coins.
4. Violent gameplay of small coins 10,000 yuan is divided into ten parts, and ten small coins with a value of less than 3 yuan are bought. After buying, no matter if it does not rise 3-5 times or is locked, do not sell it, and you can transfer it to the long-term. After a certain coin triples, take out 1,000 yuan of principal and invest in a small coin, and the compound interest income will be considerable.
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XRP/USDT Trading Situation Analysis The current trading price of XRP/USDT is at 1.09. In the past 24 hours, its highest price reached 1.1510, while the lowest price was 1.0556.
From a technical indicator perspective, the BOLL indicator shows an upward trend, indicating that there is momentum for further price increases. The potential breakout price level is around 1.1620; if this level is successfully breached, it may initiate a new round of upward movement.
In terms of key levels, the support level is at 1.0496, which is crucial for maintaining the current upward trend. If the price falls back to this support level and manages to gain effective support, there is still potential for further increases;
The resistance level is at 1.1510, which is an important checkpoint that the price needs to break through during the recent upward movement.
To control trading risk, it is recommended to set a stop-loss level at 1.05. If the price falls below this stop-loss level, it may indicate a reversal of the upward trend, and timely stop-loss can effectively prevent greater losses.
Overall, XRP/USDT currently demonstrates strong upward momentum, attracting the attention of many investors.
However, market conditions change rapidly, and it is still necessary to closely monitor the dynamic changes of various indicators and the impact of market news to make more accurate trading decisions. If you want to delve deeper into the crypto space but can't find a clue, and want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #上市公司比特币战略 #DeSci热度上涨
We always hold the view that when Bitcoin's price retraces, it is a good time to enter the market.
In the early hours, after a rapid surge, Bitcoin's price dropped to around 93100, but then initiated an upward trend, climbing again to near the high of 95000 by 9 AM. Currently, Bitcoin's price has begun to show sideways movement again, with signs of retracement appearing.
From the perspective of the four-hour chart, we can observe that the k-line continues to operate along the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. On the daily chart, we have welcomed a good situation of three consecutive bullish candles.
After nearly a week of consolidation at high levels, Bitcoin has seen a significant price release this week. Based on the strong momentum of this current surge, it seems to have the trend and potential to challenge the 100,000 mark.
In terms of operation, we should not develop fear or a height phobia due to Bitcoin's price being high; we should still follow the strategy of entering when there is a retracement.
Here, the recommended entry point is in the range of 93500 - 93000; when the price is within this range, consider entering the market, with a target price of 96000.
Investors should also closely monitor the real-time dynamics of the market while considering various factors comprehensively, in order to grasp trading opportunities and rhythm more accurately.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) Trend Analysis: A Mix of Optimism and Caution
1. Optimistic Expectations 1. Bullish Gaussian Channel: Crypto analysts predict that DOGE's price could rise to $5 based on the Gaussian channel analysis. After a 159% increase from November 6 to November 12, it is now consolidating at high levels, with a bottom formed on November 18, heading towards $0.73.
2. Historical Patterns Support: Another analyst claims that DOGE has historically bounced back to the middle track after hitting it three times, with prices quickly rising to $3 - $5.
2. Cautious Considerations 1. Changes in Musk Factor: During the Trump election, Musk supported DOGE but did not invest. There are rumors about using DOGE to purchase Tesla, pay for tips on X, etc., which have not materialized, hindering application expansion and raising doubts about value support.
2. Key Resistance to Break: $0.73 is an important resistance level, and if DOGE breaks through this level, the challenge will be significant due to the high level of uncertainty.
3. Key Question Analysis 1. To Enter or Not: Those with a high-risk tolerance and confidence in a rise may consider entering with a small position; those with a low-risk appetite should wait for clearer market signals, such as a break of key levels with bullish signals.
2. Entry Position: Look for opportunities when the price retraces to important support levels with positive market conditions and signs of buying, such as short-term moving averages or previous consolidation platforms, and assess using volume and other indicators.
3. Strategy for Being Stuck: Those optimistic about the long-term and confident in the bullish logic may hold for a recovery; those with insufficient confidence or concerns about losses should consider reducing positions during rebounds to stop losses.
4. $1 Outlook: If the analysis points to a rise and the market is favorable with applications breaking through, $1 might be achievable; however, due to several unfavorable factors, the difficulty of realization is high. If you want to delve deeper into the crypto world but can't find your footing, and wish to quickly understand the information gap, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my personal profile.
Dogecoin (DOGE) Trend Analysis: A Mix of Optimism and Caution
I. Optimistic Expectations 1. Gaussian Channel Bullish: Crypto analysts predict that DOGE price may rise to $5 based on Gaussian channel analysis. After a 159% increase from 11.6 to 11.12, it entered a high-level consolidation, with a bottom formed on 11.18, heading towards $0.73.
2. Historical Patterns Support: Another analyst states that DOGE, following the Gaussian channel, has historically seen the price rise rapidly to $3 - $5 after receiving support from the middle track on three occasions.
II. Cautious Considerations 1. Changes in Musk Factor: During the Trump election, Musk supported DOGE but did not invest. Rumors of using DOGE to purchase Tesla or pay for X tipping have not materialized, and the expansion of applications is hindered, raising doubts about value support.
2. Key Resistance Yet to Be Broken: $0.73 is an important resistance level, and breaking through this point presents significant challenges due to high uncertainty.
III. Key Issue Analysis 1. To Enter or Not: Those who are highly confident in a price increase may consider entering with a small position; those with lower risk tolerance should wait for market clarity, and only decide after key levels are broken with bullish signals.
2. Entry Position: Look for retracement to significant support levels with positive market conditions and signs of buying, such as short-term moving averages or previous consolidation platforms, in conjunction with volume indicators.
3. Strategy for Being Stuck: Long-term holders who believe in the upward logic can hold out for a rebound; those lacking confidence or fearing further losses may reduce positions and stop-loss during rebounds.
4. $1 Outlook: If the analysis predicts an increase and the market is favorable with application breakthroughs, $1 could be achievable; however, achieving this is challenging due to various adverse factors.
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