缠中圣手

The self-cultivation of leeks is something that needs to be learned as a qualified leek, but the learning of leeks is often enjoyable and full of emotional value. First, open the square and see what the famous people said, how friendly and funny, I am not worse than a certain famous person, and then comment on it, as if I have been sublimated. At this time, the famous person asks his younger brother, have most people seen what I said? I said, "Don't worry, boss. The square is full of our content." Boss said, "Okay, you go and arrange to wait for most people to fall into the trap and then quickly harvest. After a day, the harvest was done. I asked the boss, "What should I do next?" Boss said, "You should quickly increase the price first, then harvest it. When it is almost done, tell the square about my new remarks." I arranged it. Then the leeks followed the remarks of famous people like fools, and fell into traps one after another. I came to report and said, "Boss, the leeks are a little resentful now." Boss said, "You should put some chicken soup in the square to let the leeks experience the feelings of life." I said, "Okay." After a while, Boss said, "You should give these leeks a little sweetness. After experiencing life, you should make them feel that they are doing well again." Then the leeks made a little profit and began to imagine the future. Boss said, "Old leeks cannot be harvested all the time." He told me to promote it. You will be rewarded for every new leeks you pull in. During this period, we should harvest lightly and attract and raise more leeks. Then the gods in the square began to point out the situation. After pointing out the situation, the boss said, "Go and call the gods to the heaven, and hold a Peach Festival in the name of the Queen Mother. Then the gods will show off their lives in heaven, and the leeks on earth will be excited to become gods and get rich!" The boss said to the younger brother, "The leeks are almost grown, and the emotions are also cultivated and excited. Go and tell our partners that they can start the project. By the way, go and give the celebrities some money, or send some coins with their names. We want to become bigger and stronger, create glory again, and cultivate a new Gao Qiqiang in heaven." Then the boss said to the younger brother, "Start cutting them continuously now. Don't worry, the leeks are full of energy and will not be easily frustrated. The more you cut, the braver you will be. Take this opportunity to cut all the leeks directly. This batch of leeks will not be used after cutting this time, so don't hold back."

A post for newcomers. If you are new to digital currency, don’t have any delusions, because you don’t deserve to make money! Don’t you understand? You don’t deserve to make money! ! ! Because if you are a leader in other industries, you know more or less about the concept of exploring rules and regulations, because the top talents in various industries are basically people who can restrain their human weaknesses, unless your profession has nothing to do with people... But it’s hard, isn’t it? So newcomers enter the digital currency market, no matter what you think, you are garbage, this is an irreversible probability, so when you are garbage, you still use a lot of money to play, then you will soon be worse than garbage, because you will become a gambler, this is also an objective fact, how big is the spot volume? How big is the contract volume? The choice is obvious at a glance, you are a gambler, and the worst gambler, the leverage of digital currency is very large, which will guide you to leverage amplification, this is the ecological environment effect, but the leverage is large, congratulations, you have magnified your disadvantages, this time is basically not far from death, after you die, you will miss the time when you were garbage, and think that it was your luck at that time! In addition, there will be a lot of information here, enthusiastic bloggers on the square, various theories, everything seems to be that you have entered a beautiful world like heaven, but the balance of your account will continue to decline. When you start to question everything, congratulations, you may only have the ability to complain at this time, the scammers no longer need you, you have no use value, if you stay here, you can either continue to gamble, but still lose, or accept the reality or leave! All of these sequences are the care that this digital currency world welcomes newcomers. Does it seem like it will always care until you die in this world? Hospice care is love!!! So you have to use the least money at the beginning to try all you understand, so that after these routines are completed, you have learned experience and have not lost wealth, and then you can start to learn and make money! Don't be smart and think that you are the chosen one! You don't deserve it. Your mentality, knowledge, logic, observation and self-discipline are not good enough. You don't deserve it...

Shorting Bitcoin is not worthwhile before the end of June; the delivery date for Bitcoin in the second quarter is in June, and large transactions are the main hedging and profit model for institutions in Bitcoin positions. Don't place too much importance on the price; those who predict distant prices are often actors, leading men.
Just give enough time for fluctuations, provide enough contracts for hedging and delivery, and have enough patience to watch a stage play in which both actors and leading men participate fully. Only then will the curtain fall.

This world is like a makeshift stage, everyone sets up a platform to perform, and everything can change back and forth. So why are you in such a hurry to play your cards?

Read more books and cultivate learning habits; otherwise, you will spend your entire life working hard and paying the price for your blind spots...

It is said that digital currency is decentralized, so when stablecoins are pegged to US Treasury bonds, is this centralized or decentralized?

The stablecoin bill should only be liked by the US government; any other sovereign nation probably wouldn’t like it. After all, they don't even particularly like US Treasury bonds.

So what constitutes good news? What constitutes bad news?

One can only say that telling stories is top-notch, but short-term benefits in real money are hard to say in the long term.

The market is about to make a big move, as the short range has completely run out of volume.

Is there a possibility for the price of Bitcoin to rise indefinitely?

It is highly unlikely, because in terms of pricing systems, there are two pricing mechanisms.

One is the consensus price, and the other is the cash price.

The consensus price depends on the price after leverage that can be mobilized by cash; it exists within a stable leverage mathematical model, which can be manipulated by market information and policy support. The friend of the consensus price is time, and its enemy is also time.

The difference between these two times is that during the price rise phase, the consensus price cannot have too much oscillation time; this oscillation time cannot exceed one month. If it does not exceed one month, the market chip structure will not have sufficient turnover, which means you can understand that the mathematical model of the consensus price has not been disrupted.

The cash price exists during the deleveraging phase of the consensus price; this number will not be reached, but will only get infinitely close. You can understand it as the accumulation capacity of bad market factors, which is the degree of deleveraging and how close it can approach the cash price. However, if one day the cash price truly appears in the market, then it is the time when the market has completely collapsed, because the market no longer has investment and speculation attributes, and thus the market will no longer be patronized by money.

As a professional investor or speculator, one hopes to achieve two goals from the market, and it would be even better if both can be achieved simultaneously: one is to make money, and the other is to add permanence to this money-making attribute.

On one hand, it is necessary to make the cake bigger, and on the other hand, to continuously eat the cake. Logically, if the cake is being eaten, there should be no possibility of making it bigger. This requires continuous inflow, constantly bringing in new funds, then consuming them, reintroducing them, and repeating this process.

At the dinner hosted by Trump that Sun Ge attended, there wasn't even a group photo, and then he held a gift that looked like a thank-you gift from a banquet, smiling and praising it.

On the way to the dinner, he was the first to sell Trump coins. It seems that Trump's advisory team knows Sun Ge's ability to ride coattails too well, so with this treatment, Sun Ge must be feeling quite frustrated inside.

He thinks of himself as someone important, but he didn't expect to be treated like a small fry.

You can always believe in Buffett's philosophy, but don't get too caught up in the words of speculators.

It is very easy to determine that Bitcoin has reached its peak; a month of fluctuations has occurred, and the price is very close to the highest point, which indicates that the highest point that has already appeared has almost no chance of being effectively sustained above it. Therefore, there is no need to guess the peak in a short time. The nature of time and the matching price will give you the answer; this is meaningful from a purely graphical perspective.

A blogger predicting Bitcoin will rise to 1 million USD

Today I saw many bloggers say that the stablecoin answers have brought positive significance to the Bitcoin price, which makes me very sad.

To be frank, most of what they say about government bonds and the attitude of the US government is reasonable, but the only problem is, why didn't they say it earlier, and why say it at this time and price point?

Some truths, when not fully stated or expressed at a time that has already occurred and been realized, have an effect that is essentially no different from lies.

Let me talk about the significance of stablecoins; it will lead to a lot of capital flowing into the market, but this can be determined by the timing of the inflow through the issuance of stablecoins, especially the issuance scale of USDT.

In April, USDT issued 5 billion USD, and in May, USDT issued 6 billion USD. So what is the current situation? It just happens to be in a phase where the expectations for the next issuance in June are lowered after May; there will still be issuance in June, so there is a possibility of breaking new highs in June, but what about May? That difficulty is very high, and instead, the probability of consolidation or a pullback is emerging, especially with Trump’s tariff remarks and the recent theft of Sui, which just happens to create a short-term adjustment probability.

So look at the timing, and don't let partial truths and truths not aligned with the timing influence your thinking.

In fact, everyone can think, but some people can integrate information with strict logic, which is very difficult. More people still cannot achieve profound understanding and can only see information because they are influenced by fear and greed regarding the information!

Stablecoins are a reservoir for U.S. debt. Once issued in increased amounts, it means that the liquidity in the market has been increased and replenished, which inevitably leads to an upward trend in the market with new increments and fluctuations. Without an increase in issuance, it means that the liquidity in the market has been temporarily harvested and will not be replenished, leading to a situation where market trends become a game of existing stock and a higher probability of correction.

Therefore, looking at so-called technical patterns is nonsense; just focus on the actual role of the U.S. government's support for cryptocurrencies. The issuance of stablecoins is the supportive effect that needs to ferment; without increased issuance, it indicates that the support is temporarily resting. You can't just stubbornly oppose the real monetary support, right? So the so-called corrections and reversals have never been what you think they are; just understand them through the real monetary increments and reductions.

Is there anyone who can promptly see the information address for stablecoin issuance? Please send it to me. In terms of policy market, I can only keep an eye on it, it's too risky for me.

I am waiting for news about new issuances of USDT. If there is any, I will close my position and go long immediately. If not, I will hold for a while longer.

The issuance of stablecoins is really frightening; it always seems so perfectly timed. However, I have a gut feeling that the probability of issuance this month is not high. In April, they issued 5 billion, and it seems like they also issued 6 billion in May. Trading now is truly speechless.

Focusing on the issuance of stablecoins is really a policy market.

The time and price points at which the market can trade have only two characteristics.

Seeing good news has occurred while the market price has significantly risen before the good news. At the same time, the trading volume is far above normal.

Seeing bad news has occurred while the market price has significantly fallen before the bad news. At the same time, the trading volume is far above normal.

How to choose? Trade in the opposite direction.

Sun Ge, after receiving the invitation to the Trump dinner, told his subordinates to sell the Trump coins on the way to the dinner, becoming the first to crash the market.

Sun Ge's character is questionable, but his market sensitivity is trustworthy.

The current market is like the scene just before the final push of a first sprint; there is still a bit of potential, but it is unsustainable, so a spike in May is expected, possibly occurring over the weekend or on Monday.

Therefore, the essence of digital currency is also a unilateral high tariff imposed by the U.S. government on the world; however, this tariff is collected through the dollar's seigniorage. Thus, only the U.S. government will encourage digital currency, while other countries either openly resist or subtly set restrictive thresholds. There is no way to make it completely legal. Now, even U.S. Treasury bonds are not being bought; who would be foolish enough to buy U.S. Treasury derivatives, stablecoins?

So whether the U.S. government passes the stablecoin bill is fundamentally meaningless, because allowing legality domestically simply means allowing state governments and institutions to hold U.S. Treasury derivatives. If U.S. Treasury bonds are popular, is there still a need for stablecoins as a reservoir? This is just a setup.

Outside of the U.S., apart from unstable countries and gray wealth that exploit legal loopholes, no legitimate country will allow or support its citizens to actively participate in digital currency, as they are reluctant to even buy U.S. Treasury bonds, let alone U.S. Treasury derivatives. They are wary of the risks associated with U.S. Treasury bonds because the desire to purchase them has decreased, leading to an increase in U.S. Treasury interest rates.

MicroStrategy's financing rate for purchasing Bitcoin has reached 8%, which means that this portion of funds is even less secure, destined for a future explosion.

The entire digital currency market is created by the demand for U.S. Treasury reservoirs from the U.S. government, coupled with institutions discovering this trend, continuously attracting speculative funds with high-interest rates.

Thus, the foundation for the bull market in digital currency originates from this, while the foundation for the bear market stems from significant events that disrupt the U.S. Treasury reservoir and institutions like MicroStrategy being unable to meet high-interest payouts, leading to explosions.

Therefore, Dongda cannot open the digital currency market to individuals, because opening the digital currency market means allowing participants to directly purchase U.S. Treasury bonds, which are dollar assets. The issuance of stablecoins flows into the purchase of U.S. Treasury bonds, and Dongda itself is unwilling to buy U.S. Treasury bonds.

Why is Bitcoin rising? Because Bitcoin has the largest capacity, consumes liquidity the fastest, and can swiftly promote the issuance of stablecoins to purchase U.S. Treasury bonds. Additionally, Bitcoin can absorb more funds obtained from financing and stock issuance.

Using the funds raised to buy Bitcoin means that after the funds that can be raised in the market over the next month or two are fully consumed, it will either attract more people to participate in the digital currency market or lead to a historically significant crash.

Another 2 billion US dollars have been issued, it’s truly frightening. Market liquidity is harvested and then reinvested, harvested again, and there’s absolutely no allowance for insufficient market liquidity. Is this a perpetual motion machine? Then use the newly issued USDT to immediately buy US Treasury bonds, and regularly pump 5-10 billion US dollars into US Treasury bonds every month through the cryptocurrency market?

Even scams aren’t this professionally fishing continuously.