The contract is a product of the exchange. The data is transparent to it. So why do you need to do the corresponding actions in the corresponding period? Clarify which segment of the trend you are engaging with. When you exceed the period, what you want is profit, but the exchange wants your principal.

After trading for a long time, you will understand that it's not your technical analysis that drives the market, but rather the current market happens to match your analysis. Respect the market, avoid subjectivity, and strictly adhere to discipline.

Good trading status:
Light positions without watching the market, fluctuations do not cause distress, patiently wait for results, time spent with family

The feeling I get from trading is that fear is even harder to overcome than greed. Every day I worry about making mistakes, losing money, and missing opportunities. Compared to greed, after gaining relatively rich practical experience, it is actually easier to control because the market will often slap you in the face, and after a while, you will understand. However, the psychology of fear always accompanies us, which often leads to distorted actions:
1. Closing positions too early;
2. Widening stop losses;
3. Being afraid to enter the market;
4. Pursuing the holy grail;
5. Trading without a plan;
6. Building positions too early;
7. Holding positions for too long;
8. Ignoring exit signals;
9. Having oversized positions, etc.

There are no so-called 'gods' in the cryptocurrency world, so don't trust too much. When configuring, the key is to establish your own logical system and a little faith.

Share a quote from 'Gary (author of Stock Depth Trading Psychology)':
【If the entry model itself is already satisfactory, adding extra information will not affect the trading results, but it will influence our feelings about the trade, possibly filling us with confidence. Perhaps this seems beneficial, but in reality, it is merely a blind and hollow confidence, as adding extra information does not improve accuracy. Worse still, we may feel overly confident and take on too large a position because much information points towards a certain predictive direction.
Here, we also mistakenly use technical information to adjust our feelings and boost our confidence. In this process, we may become overly bold, not acting according to the objective probabilities of the entry model, but rather acting based on the feelings generated by this trade.】

Recently revisiting trading psychology, I was deeply touched to see this quote again. I tend to unconsciously integrate multiple theories or pursue so-called multi-indicator resonance, but this does not necessarily prove a higher success rate in trading; it merely boosts confidence and still cannot change the outcome of losses. Moreover, when integrating various technical theories, different analytical results can lead to decision-making confusion. Finding the one that best suits me is enough.

When we feel optimistic, we often expect positive outcomes to continue. This is known as the “affect heuristic bias,” and it’s a very common phenomenon. We can view optimism as a signal that we should be vigilant and use prudent thinking.

Messari 190-page report on the 2025 crypto outlook. In summary, here are the areas and investment directions worth paying attention to in 2025 (filtered for brevity with Dog Pigeon Tongue, specific details can be read independently)

1. Meme coins and related ecosystems: With the help of high-performance chains and user-friendly platforms, meme coins remain an important entry point for retail investors.
2. Stablecoin payment scenarios and their supporting platforms: Particularly widespread applications in payments, remittances, and financial services in emerging markets.
3. DePIN field: Focus on sectors with real demand, such as energy (e.g., Glow, Daylight) and wireless communication (e.g., Helium).
4. AI x Crypto: Decentralized AI computing, AI agents, and innovative projects that combine on-chain economic models.
5. High-performance public chains and Layer 2: Solana, Base, and emerging high-performance chains (e.g., Monad) and scaling technologies (e.g., MegaETH).
6. Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Focus on real-world asset tokenization (RWA), MEV countermeasures, and derivatives protocols (e.g., Hyperliquid).
7. Consumer applications: Web3 games shifting from Play2Airdrop to Pay2Airdrop; NFT consumer chains (e.g., Abstract Chain) empowering digital IP.
8. Layer 1 and infrastructure: Supporting modular and high-performance infrastructure projects (e.g., Avalanche, Celestia).
9. Decentralized social and content (SocialFi & content distribution): AI-driven SocialFi and new content platforms may become new highlights for user growth.
10. Chain abstraction and cross-chain interoperability: Focus on protocols that improve user experience (e.g., Particle Network) and cross-chain technology.
11. Integration of traditional finance and crypto: Asset tokenization, payment technology innovation, and further positioning of financial institutions in the crypto ecosystem.

I wish you all a Merry Christmas in advance!

Organizations are all about recouping costs and creating various smokescreens

Who has switched careers as much as I have? 😂

"Everyone needs it, no one can stop it, most people don't understand it, and those that meet these three criteria are the best investment." --Micheal J. Saylor

Next year will be the year of AI applications, so pay more attention to the AI sector.

The cow is still there, another drop should lead to a rebound!

6 Trading Principles:
1. Don't chase high prices
2. Add positions on pullbacks
3. Don't buy during a downtrend
4. Buy aggressively during a big drop
5. Never be fully invested
6. Always remember to take profits

9w Bull-Bear Boundary If it doesn't break, it won't turn Bear $BTC

12-5 Market Analysis for Bitcoin

Bitcoin has broken through the upward channel resistance, continually setting new highs. To prevent a pullback after the third wave rise, it's advised to manage risk carefully due to significant market volatility.

Trading Recommendations:
1. Short near 108888, stop loss at 110000, target 103000.
2. Aggressively short near 105800, stop loss at 106800, target 103000.
3. Go long if it breaks 102800, stop loss at 101800, target 106000.

12-5 Market Analysis for Ethereum

The overall trend for Ethereum remains bullish, continuously setting new highs, with a high probability of consolidating and then choosing a direction during the day.

Trading Recommendations:
1. Short near 3970-4000, stop loss at 4010, targets at 3900 and 3830;
2. Short near 3880-3920, stop loss at 3930, targets at 3830 and 3780;
3. Go long near 3710-3740, stop loss at 3700, targets at 3800 and 3860;
4. Go long near 3630-3660, stop loss at 3625, targets at 3700 and 3760;
5. Go long near 3560-3580, stop loss at 3550, targets at 3620 and 3660;

【Investing involves risks; strategies are for reference only, and profits or losses are your own responsibility.】

Microstrategy is one of the top five BI companies in the world, now going all in on 'Bitcoin', and the founder has been very active recently 😂