12 years of experience tells you that if you like to play contracts and can't quit, but you want stability.
If you choose the target, choose BTC. There is no other choice. Only BTC can ignore any news, and the pure technical trend is very standard.
Even if you benchmark BTC to do other altcoin contracts, there will be no good reference, because when BTC rises, most altcoins will not rise with it, only the leading coins can follow.
Although ETH sometimes makes a big catch-up, it is unreasonable when it is inserted, so this is why Brother Bin's BTC contract has a higher winning rate.
When you understand these principles, perhaps you have already changed from a novice in the market to an old leek who can argue with others.